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The Jets are back in the same spot they were for last Thursday night’s game, listed as 13.5-point underdogs. 

The Jets narrowly covered the spread in a competitive 27-14 loss to the Patriots (although the result landed as a push in our Post contest, which captured the line as of Wednesday night).

On Sunday in Baltimore, the Jets again are +13.5, this time against the Ravens. It’s the identical number, but there are some differences in the situations. The Patriots entered that game on a massive roll, 8-2 straight up, first seed in the AFC, and 7-3 against the spread. Their quarterback, Drake Maye, is among the favorites for MVP. 

The Ravens are coming to this huge minus number from another direction. They’ve won four in a row to get back to .500 after a disastrous 1-5 start in which many of their best players were injured. But while the Patriots’ -13.5 was wholly earned, it feels as if some of the Ravens’ -13.5 is still on spec — an expectation of what they should be when healthy.

There are a couple of encouraging things about the Jets as they trudge through their 15th playoff-less season in a row. 

1. They’re covering spreads. They are 6-4 ATS this season and have a shot at a winning record against the number for the first time since 2017. Adam Gase, Robert Saleh, and Jeff Ulbrich couldn’t do it. Aaron Glenn might.

2. I’m not inside the walls at 1 Jets Drive. I watch the games on TV and read the coverage like all of you. But my sense is that Glenn still has the players engaged and focused each week. The enthusiasm didn’t seem to wane after the trades of Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams. 

If the Jets can get some competent quarterback play from Tyrod Taylor, who replaces Justin Fields, and heaven help ’em, get a turnover or two, they can pay off as large underdogs for a second week in a row.

The pick: Jets +13.5. 

New York Giants (+10.5) over DETROIT LIONS

Like the Jets, the Giants are a team that’s been covering spreads this season despite a bad straight-up record. They have taken backers to the (now largely proverbial) window in four of the past six weeks, and those payouts came against some of the top competition in the NFL.

The Giants covered in their victory over the Eagles and in losses to the Broncos, Bears and Packers. They could have, even should have, won those last three. All four of those teams are in playoff position.

The Lions likewise are 6-4 against the spread, which matches their overall record. They have five wins this season by 13 points or more and are certainly capable of chopping up the Giants defense and leaving it in small pieces all over the Ford Field carpet.

But Detroit has a cluster of injuries in the offensive line and secondary, and Jameis Winston should have better continuity in his second start for interim coach Mike Kafka. There seems to be enough life in this Giants team to keep the damage to single digits and maybe even give the Lions a scare.

New York Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart runs out of the pocket. Charles Wenzelberg / New York Post

Minnesota Vikings (+6.5) over GREEN BAY PACKERS

J.J. McCarthy is playing at a bottom-tier level and now has to go to Lambeau Field, where the Packers defense can terrorize a shaky quarterback. I get that, but I’m wondering about a Pack offense that scored 13 and seven points in recent home losses to the Panthers (at -13.5!) and Eagles, respectively. Tucker Kraft is out, and there are a lot of Qs on the injury report for Josh Jacobs and the receivers. 

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) over CHICAGO BEARS

This line has been teetering between 2.5 and 3 on the Aaron Rodgers wrist injury. The Bears are 7-3, but that lofty mark includes one-point survivals vs. the lowly Commanders and Raiders and a four-point near-miracle win over the Giants. 

Aaron Rodgers #8 of the Pittsburgh Steelers warms up prior to a game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Acrisure Stadium on November 16, 2025 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Getty Images

New England Patriots (-6) over CINCINNATI BENGALS

Joe Burrow was practicing midweek and aiming to return. Even if he does, he won’t have Ja’Marr Chase, suspended for last week’s spitting incident. Mike Vrabel’s Patriots are a no-nonsense bunch with a quarterback in Maye who can make mincemeat out of a Bengals defense that ranks last in yards and points allowed by telescopic margins. 

TENNESSEE TITANS (+13) over Seattle Seahawks

This is the third double-digit spread on the board, and I’m taking all of those points, this time on a home underdog. This will be a rough one to watch because Seattle’s so much better, but it’s a huge spread on a low-total gam,e and that’s often a nice combination of circumstances for a bettor. Also wondering if the Rams put a bit of a dent in Sam Darnold’s confidence with the four interceptions last week.

Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs. Getty Images

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-3.5) over Indianapolis Colts

This is where we find out if Daniel Jones and the Colts are for real. At Arrowhead, vs. Steve Spagnuolo’s blitzes, Patrick Mahomes on the other side. Indy split two games at SoFi against the Rams and Chargers, but the closest thing to a hostile environment was in Pittsburgh, which was Jones’ worst game.

Cleveland Browns (+4) over LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

It was kind of sad watching Ashton Jeanty try to lean out of the end zone on a safety against the Cowboys on Monday night. He wouldn’t have broken the tape in a race. Figuring Myles Garrett and the Browns defense will have a great time in Vegas and maybe even help Shedeur Sanders with the scoring. 

Shedeur Sanders will make his first NFL start in Las Vegas against the Raiders on Sunday.
Scott Galvin-Imagn Images Scott Galvin-Imagn Images

ARIZONA CARDINALS (+3) over Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jags are 6-4 and have had their moments, such as last week’s destruction of the Chargers. Yet they’re the same team that a week earlier blew a 29-10 lead in the fourth quarter to the Texans’ backup quarterback. Can’t say I’d trust them as a road favorite against anyone.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) over DALLAS COWBOYS

Cowboys were full of emotion in crushing the Raiders in the first game after Marshawn Kneeland’s death. Now they have a short week to get back to business against the Eagles. While it could be too close for comfort — remember, Dallas almost won the season opener in Philly — we’re getting 1.5 points of value from -4.5 earlier in the week.

Atlanta Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins (18) looks to pass in the fourth quarter at Bank of America Stadium. Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-2) over Atlanta Falcons

Kirk Cousins is in, and Drake London is out for the Falcons, whose season has been mostly a disaster. Tyler Shough can’t wait to get at an Atlanta defense that allowed 448 yards passing to Bryce Young.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) over LOS ANGELES RAMS

This spread is only one score — one Matthew Stafford flip to Puka Nacua or Davante Adams. Yet it still feels like a pretty big number to be laying against Baker Mayfield and whoever is left of his injury-ravaged supporting cast. It took an all-time performance by Josh Allen to beat the Bucs by 12 last week. 

Betting on the NFL?

Monday

Carolina Panthers (+7) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Might as well grab the last touchdown’s worth of points offered on the card. Carolina figures to have its most balanced offense of the season as Young is becoming a viable passing option to augment Rico Dowdell’s ground yards. The 49ers defense ranks last in the NFL in pressure rate, according to PFF, which could help keep the backdoor open if the Panthers fall behind.

BEST BETS: Browns, Patriots, Chiefs.

LOCK OF THE WEEK: Browns (Locks 4-7 in 2025).

LAST WEEK: 8-5-2 overall, 2-1 Best Bets.

THURSDAY: Bills.