As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reach record highs, investors are keenly observing market movements amid ongoing economic developments such as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts and a prolonged government shutdown. In this buoyant yet uncertain environment, identifying undervalued stocks can be an effective strategy for those looking to capitalize on potential market inefficiencies.
Name
Current Price
Fair Value (Est)
Discount (Est)
Wix.com (WIX)
$135.08
$260.69
48.2%
Metropolitan Bank Holding (MCB)
$75.49
$150.26
49.8%
McGraw Hill (MH)
$12.50
$24.53
49%
Investar Holding (ISTR)
$22.985
$45.40
49.4%
Hess Midstream (HESM)
$33.43
$66.31
49.6%
HCI Group (HCI)
$194.72
$376.13
48.2%
First Commonwealth Financial (FCF)
$16.73
$32.97
49.3%
First Busey (BUSE)
$23.37
$45.30
48.4%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
$450.68
$886.56
49.2%
AGNC Investment (AGNC)
$10.16
$19.46
47.8%
Let’s take a closer look at a couple of our picks from the screened companies.
Overview: Firefly Aerospace Inc. is a space and defense technology company offering mission solutions to national security, government, and commercial clients, with a market cap of $4.17 billion.
Operations: Firefly Aerospace Inc. generates revenue of $102.81 million from its Aerospace & Defense segment, serving national security, government, and commercial sectors.
Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 15.7%
Firefly Aerospace is trading at US$31, below its estimated fair value of US$36.77, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent volatility and a significant net loss in the latest quarter, revenue is projected to grow at 44.8% annually, outpacing market averages. The company anticipates profitability within three years and has secured a $10 million NASA contract addendum for lunar data acquisition, enhancing its strategic positioning in aerospace ventures.
FLY Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
Overview: Vertex, Inc. offers enterprise tax technology solutions for the retail, wholesale, and manufacturing sectors both in the United States and internationally, with a market cap of $3.95 billion.
Operations: The company’s revenue segment is primarily derived from Software & Programming, totaling $710.51 million.
Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 34.5%
Vertex, Inc. is trading at US$25.57, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$39.02, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a recent net loss and lowered full-year guidance due to extended sales cycles, revenue grew to US$184.56 million in Q2 2025 from the previous year and is expected to grow faster than the overall market at 12.4% annually. Profitability is anticipated within three years with a high forecasted return on equity of 38.3%.
VERX Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
Overview: Corpay, Inc. is a payments company that facilitates the management of vehicle-related expenses, lodging expenses, and corporate payments for businesses and consumers in the United States, Brazil, the United Kingdom, and internationally with a market cap of $20.41 billion.
Operations: Corpay’s revenue is primarily derived from three segments: Vehicle Payments at $2.02 billion, Corporate Payments at $1.41 billion, and Lodging Payments at $484.93 million.
Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 46.8%
Corpay, Inc. is trading at US$292.27, well below its estimated fair value of US$549.19, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent strategic expansions with Mastercard and integration into the UK Faster Payment Service enhance global payment capabilities and client offerings. Despite high debt levels, Corpay’s earnings are forecasted to grow 17.17% annually, outpacing the market average with a strong expected return on equity of 35.5% within three years.
CPAY Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include FLY VERX and CPAY.
This article was originally published by Simply Wall St.
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