Heads up aurora chasers! The northern lights may light up skies across the northern U.S. tonight (Jan. 2-3) according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC).

An incoming coronal mass ejection (CME) — a vast plume of plasma and magnetic field from the sun — is forecast to deliver Earth a blow sometime on late Jan. 2 but more likely in the early hours of Jan. 3, according to the U.K. Met Office. If it arrives as expected, the CME could trigger minor (G1) to moderate (G2) geomagnetic storm conditions.

Aurora forecast courtesy of NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center. (Image credit: Map: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. Graphic created in Canva Pro.)

Based on the latest NOAA aurora forecast map, the following 18 U.S. states appear fully or partially above the aurora view line:

  1. Alaska
  2. North Dakota
  3. Minnesota
  4. Montana
  5. Wisconsin
  6. South Dakota
  7. Michigan
  8. Idaho
  9. Maine
  10. Vermont
  11. New Hampshire
  12. Washington
  13. Iowa
  14. Oregon
  15. New York
  16. Wyoming
  17. Nebraska
  18. Illinois

But remember, auroras can be very fickle. The list is based on current forecast data at the time of publication, but if conditions strengthen, northern lights could reach much farther south than expected. Equally, if conditions don’t align, we could end up twiddling our thumbs, with no auroras at all.

NOAA’s 3-day forecast, geomagnetic storm activity is expected to be best at the following times:

  • 4 p.m. – 10 p.m. EST (2100-0300 GMT): Minor (G1) geomagnetic storm conditions possible.
  • 10 p.m. – 4 a.m. EST (0300-0900 GMT): Moderate (G2) geomagnetic storm conditions possible.

iOS and Android. However, any similar app should work well.

I also use the “Space Weather Live” app, which is available on iOS and Android, to get a deeper understanding of whether the current space weather conditions are favorable for aurora sightings.

Want to capture the perfect photo? Our how to photograph auroras guide can help.