{"id":100632,"date":"2025-07-28T23:47:10","date_gmt":"2025-07-28T23:47:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/100632\/"},"modified":"2025-07-28T23:47:10","modified_gmt":"2025-07-28T23:47:10","slug":"scottie-scheffler-or-the-sp-500-which-has-been-more-profitable-over-the-last-4-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/100632\/","title":{"rendered":"Scottie Scheffler or the S&#038;P 500: Which has been more profitable over the last 4 years?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s no secret Scottie Scheffler is the best golfer in the world and has been for quite some time. He has been ranked <a href=\"https:\/\/datagolf.com\/datagolf-rankings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">No. 1 in the Data Golf world rankings<\/a> every week since early September 2023, and his current rating <a href=\"https:\/\/datagolf.com\/all-time-ranking\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">is the best by anybody<\/a> since <a href=\"https:\/\/neilpaine.substack.com\/p\/tiger-at-pebble-is-still-untouchable?utm_source=publication-search\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Tiger Woods\u2019 untouchable 2000 season<\/a>. After wrapping up his fourth career major \u2014 and second of the 2025 season \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6505318\/2025\/07\/20\/open-championship-2025-what-to-know-scottie-scheffler-win\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">with a win at the Open Championship<\/a> on July 20, Scheffler finished one of the all-time seasons at the major championships in style. Now he\u2019ll try to become the first player ever to defend his FedEx Cup crown as we head down the home stretch of the PGA Tour schedule.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s all pretty impressive stuff, even though Scheffler tends to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/live-blogs\/the-open-2025-live-updates-round-4-leaderboard\/P1MLJzPF1O97\/7LLYZyC8Jx6b\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">shy away from the all-time comparisons<\/a>. But did you know Scheffler also doubles as a high-yield retirement fund? If you\u2019d timed things right at the start of his peak, you could have beaten the stock market \u2014 by a lot \u2014 just by betting on Scheffler to win every time he teed it up.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s a good case to be made that Scheffler himself is the greatest growth stock in sports. That\u2019s why we\u2019re introducing the SCOTTIE index \u2014 aka the Scheffler-Centric Outperformance Tracker for Tournament Investment Efficiency \u2014 a hypothetical fund based solely around betting on Scheffler to win golf tournaments.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s how it works: We\u2019ll track how much in net profits an investor would have made if he or she had either:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Bet $100 on Scheffler to win any tournament he entered (including team events such as the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Zurich_Classic_of_New_Orleans\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Zurich Classic<\/a>), priced at the <a href=\"https:\/\/datagolf.com\/past-results\/majors\/100\/2025#:~:text=%2B500-,%2B487,-2\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">closing odds<\/a> listed on Data Golf\u2019s leaderboard pages.<\/li>\n<li>Invested $100 in the <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/SP500\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">S&amp;P 500<\/a> whenever Scheffler plays a tournament, at the index\u2019s closing value on the last previous trading day before the end of the tournament (usually a Friday).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Early in Scheffler\u2019s PGA Tour career, this would admittedly not have looked like a great financial plan. He <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pgatour.com\/player\/46046\/scottie-scheffler\/results\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">didn\u2019t win any of his first 60 tournaments<\/a> after joining the Tour full-time in 2019-20, so a bet-100-bucks-each-time-he-plays strategy would have left you $6,000 in the hole at the low point of that drought, if you\u2019d bet on every tournament in that span.<\/p>\n<p>However, once Scheffler began to hit his stride, the money started to stack up.<\/p>\n<p>You could have made back $2,425 on a $100 play when he won the 2022 WM Phoenix Open at +2425 odds \u2014 and by the end of his <a href=\"https:\/\/datagolf.com\/player-profiles?dg_id=18417#:~:text=%E2%80%94-,MAJ,%E2%80%94%20Apr%2010%2C%202022,-28.00\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">stretch of four wins in six tournaments<\/a> early that year, culminating in his first major W at the Masters, you would have actually been up $1,775 despite the early losses. And that\u2019s if you began using the SCOTTIE index when he made the leap from the Korn Ferry to the PGA Tour in 2019. If you\u2019d waited a few years to start playing, you could have really made bank.<\/p>\n<p>If someone bet $100 on Scheffler to win every tournament he entered since the beginning of the 2022 season, they would currently be up by a cumulative total of $8,964 after banking another $487 with Scheffler\u2019s win at the Open Championship. That\u2019s a 101.9 percent overall return on our $8,800 total investment in the SCOTTIE index \u2014 or a 20 percent <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Compound_annual_growth_rate\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">compound annual growth rate<\/a>, more than doubling our money in just under four full seasons of action.<\/p>\n<p>By comparison, our alternative investor who dropped $100 in the S&amp;P 500 every time Scheffler teed it up would currently be up just $3,092 on that $8,800 investment. A 35.1 percent overall return on investment is nothing to sneeze at \u2014 it\u2019s an 8.2 percent annual growth rate, which is respectable in any portfolio \u2014 but it\u2019s not quite a SCOTTIE-level return.<\/p>\n<p>Sure, betting on golf winners is what the pros call a \u201chigh-volatility\u201d asset class. The $487 net profit we would have earned from the Open is indicative of how the SCOTTIE index is also experiencing diminishing returns lately. Oddsmakers have caught up to his dominance, so his odds have shortened accordingly \u2014 the more he wins now, the less you win when he wins. ($7,250 of our entire profits came through <a href=\"https:\/\/datagolf.com\/past-results\/pga-tour\/11\/2023\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">his win at the Players\u2019 Championship<\/a> in March 2023.)<\/p>\n<p>But still, Scheffler <a href=\"https:\/\/datagolf.com\/player-profiles?dg_id=18417\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">has won 24 percent of the events he\u2019s entered<\/a>\u00a0since the start of 2022, a rate that is <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LouStagner\/status\/1464629763738329093?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1464629763738329093%7Ctwgr%5E1d92a2fd476144e9300b2526bb6344db0a4a65db%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&amp;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.essentiallysports.com%2Fgolf-news-the-unreal-win-percentage-of-tiger-woods-that-puts-other-golfers-to-shame%2F\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">comparable to Woods\u2019<\/a> (him again!) and well ahead of any other contemporary golfer on the all-time list. With a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pgatour.com\/article\/news\/latest\/2025\/07\/20\/scottie-scheffler-by-the-numbers-dominates-field-to-win-british-open-2025-royal-portrush-tiger-woods\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">67 percent success rate<\/a>\u00a0at converting 54-hole leads (or co-leads) to victories \u2014 and a current streak of eight in a row \u2014 plus no finishes outside the top eight <a href=\"https:\/\/datagolf.com\/past-results\/pga-tour\/11\/2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">since March 16<\/a>, he is as solid an investment as it gets in the sport.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s true even if the SCOTTIE index is meant to be a bit of silly fun \u2014 obviously, this isn\u2019t a recommendation to liquidate your 401(k) and go all in on outright golf bets. But it says a lot about how dominant Scheffler\u2019s been lately that he has basically run out of other pro golfers to beat. Now he\u2019s beating the market, too \u2014 and by roughly as comfortable a margin as he laid on the field in his two major wins this year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\">(Photo: Andrew Redington \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"It\u2019s no secret Scottie Scheffler is the best golfer in the world and has been for quite some&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":100633,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[1430,62,8930,222,67,132,68],"class_list":{"0":"post-100632","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-golf","8":"tag-golf","9":"tag-sports","10":"tag-sports-betting","11":"tag-sports-business","12":"tag-united-states","13":"tag-unitedstates","14":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/114933533396577510","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100632"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100632\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/100633"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}