{"id":1010038,"date":"2026-08-19T04:12:39","date_gmt":"2026-08-19T04:12:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/1010038\/"},"modified":"2026-08-19T04:12:39","modified_gmt":"2026-08-19T04:12:39","slug":"what-early-estimates-say-about-your-social-security-cola-boost-in-2027-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/1010038\/","title":{"rendered":"What Early Estimates Say About Your Social Security COLA Boost in 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">We don&#8217;t have the official number just yet; we won&#8217;t get that until October.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">But based on the inflation data we do have through July, we&#8217;ve got a pretty good idea of what 2027&#8217;s cost-of-living adjustment &#8212; or COLA &#8212; to <a data-ylk=\"slk:Social Security;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/retirement\/social-security\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=fbaea086-cb4a-494b-bca6-5ccfad099a96\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Social Security<\/a>&#8216;s benefits payments will be. Following last week&#8217;s update to the Bureau of Labor Statistics&#8217; measure of consumer inflation, retiree advocacy group The Senior Citizens League now predicts that beginning in January 2027, Social Security payments will grow 3.6% from their current levels. That would push the average retiree&#8217;s monthly payment up to roughly $2,146.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\"><strong>Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again.<\/strong>\u00a0In 2009, a &#8220;Double Down&#8221; signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia.\u00a0For the first time in years, that same &#8220;Total Conviction&#8221; signal is flashing for a company 1\/100th the size of Nvidia.\u00a0<a data-ylk=\"slk:Continue \u00bb;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=55223f87-78ae-42e6-bf0a-953e17a122a9&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fa-sa-dd-total-conviction%3Faid%3D11123%26source%3Disaediica0000074%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-dd-4%26ftm_veh%3Dtop_incontent_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19375&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=fbaea086-cb4a-494b-bca6-5ccfad099a96\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Continue \u00bb<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Here&#8217;s what you need to know.<\/p>\n<p>Inching toward certainty<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">If you&#8217;re reading this and aren&#8217;t aware, the Social Security Administration raises its beneficiaries&#8217; payments every year to offset the impact of inflation. It&#8217;s not an arbitrary cost-of-living adjustment, though. It&#8217;s determined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics measure of inflation, although not the one you might be thinking.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The headline figure widely circulated every month is the annualized change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all urban consumers, or CPI-U. Social Security&#8217;s COLA, however, is based on the average year-over-year change of its Consumer Price Index for urban wage earners and clerical workers, or CPI-W, specifically for the months of July, August, and September. That&#8217;s why we won&#8217;t know 2027&#8217;s cost-of-living adjustment until October of this year, when September&#8217;s inflation report is finally posted.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"A retired couple is high-fiving one another.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"640\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"rounded-lg\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/https:\/\/media.zenfs.com\/en\/motleyfool.com\/d791e12953ad108fc81e864c608070da.jpg\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The two different consumer price indexes are usually quite close, though. For perspective, the United States&#8217; CPU-I was up 3.4% year over year in July, while the annualized change of the CPI-W for last month was also 3.4%.<\/p>\n<p>Where we are should be pretty close to where we&#8217;ll be<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Obviously, something could change in August and September to lower the three-month average change in the CPI-W, which ultimately determines the following year&#8217;s cost-of-living adjustment to Social Security&#8217;s benefits payments. Not much is likely to change, however. Price changes are relatively slow. It&#8217;s also even possible that price increases could accelerate again, particularly if the conflict with Iran that&#8217;s <a data-ylk=\"slk:preventing the free flow of crude oil;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2026\/07\/16\/the-strait-of-hormuz-closure-sent-gas-prices-up-ev\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=fbaea086-cb4a-494b-bca6-5ccfad099a96\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">preventing the free flow of crude oil<\/a> through the Strait of Hormuz lingers, or even heats up.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">In other words, where things are now and where The Senior Citizens League thinks they&#8217;ll be by the end of September are probably pretty good estimates of what&#8217;s in store, and how big the coming year&#8217;s cost-of-living adjustment to Social Security payments will be.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Just bear in mind that a 3.6% COLA means a 3.6% increase in what individual beneficiaries are currently receiving. Those who are recipients enjoying larger payments now will see a larger dollar adjustment when the time comes, simply because they&#8217;ve got a higher starting point on which their 3.6% increase is based.<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0$23,760\u00a0Social Security bonus most retirees completely overlook<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">If you&#8217;re like most Americans, you&#8217;re a few years (or more) behind on your retirement savings. But a handful of little-known\u00a0<a data-ylk=\"slk:&quot;Social Security secrets&quot;;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=eac815e5-52fb-4792-9797-383b220211de&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-social-security%2F%3Faid%3D10953%26source%3Disaeditxt0001182%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-retirement%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D18782&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=fbaea086-cb4a-494b-bca6-5ccfad099a96\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>&#8220;Social Security secrets&#8221;<\/strong><\/a> could help ensure a boost in your retirement income. For example: <strong>one easy trick could pay you as much as $23,760 more<\/strong>&#8230; each year! Once you learn how to maximize your Social Security benefits, we think you could retire confidently with the peace of mind we&#8217;re all after.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Many Americans leave money on the table in retirement. Learn more about these retirement strategies and more, available when you join Stock Advisor.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\"><a data-ylk=\"slk:View the &quot;Social Security secrets&quot; \u00bb;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=eac815e5-52fb-4792-9797-383b220211de&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-social-security%2F%3Faid%3D10953%26source%3Disaeditxt0001182%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-retirement%26ryr-ss-intro-report%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D18782&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=fbaea086-cb4a-494b-bca6-5ccfad099a96\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>View the &#8220;Social Security secrets&#8221; \u00bb<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The Motley Fool has a <a data-ylk=\"slk:disclosure policy;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/legal\/fool-disclosure-policy\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">disclosure policy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\"><a data-ylk=\"slk:What Early Estimates Say About Your Social Security COLA Boost in 2027;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;link&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;article_link&quot;}\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/retirement\/2026\/08\/18\/early-estimates-say-about-social-security-cola\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">What Early Estimates Say About Your Social Security COLA Boost in 2027<\/a> was originally published by The Motley Fool<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"We don&#8217;t have the official number just yet; we won&#8217;t get that until October. But based on the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1010039,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[15],"tags":[13635,64,4683,13325,4685,255,58425,711,3566,67,132,68],"class_list":["post-1010038","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-personal-finance","tag-bureau-of-labor-statistics","tag-business","tag-cola","tag-consumer-price-index","tag-cost-of-living-adjustment","tag-personal-finance","tag-senior-citizens-league","tag-social-security","tag-social-security-administration","tag-united-states","tag-unitedstates","tag-us"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/117120228903923537","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1010038","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1010038"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1010038\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1010039"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1010038"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1010038"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1010038"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}