{"id":1045786,"date":"2026-09-05T23:03:39","date_gmt":"2026-09-05T23:03:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/1045786\/"},"modified":"2026-09-05T23:03:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-05T23:03:39","slug":"wage-growth-cant-compete-with-inflation-right-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/1045786\/","title":{"rendered":"Wage growth can&#8217;t compete with inflation right now"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The August jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday morning had some bright spots, but wages were not among them. <\/p>\n<p>Average hourly earnings \u2014 the broadest measure of compensation for working in this economy \u2014 were up just <a class=\"externallink\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\">3.1% year-over-year<\/a> last month. That\u2019s the <a class=\"externallink\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/CES0500000003#\">slowest pace in more than five years<\/a>. And there has been a pretty sharp slowdown in just the past six months. <\/p>\n<p>Wages were growing 3.7% year-over-year back in February. And that\u2019s the same period \u2014 since the Iran war started \u2014 when prices spiked higher for everything from <a title=\"\" class=\"interallink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketplace.org\/story\/2026\/07\/20\/gas-prices-hit-4-a-gallon-again\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">gas<\/a> to <a title=\"\" class=\"interallink\" href=\"http:\/\/marketplace.org\/story\/2026\/07\/31\/food-prices-predicted-to-jump\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">groceries<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As I was working on this story at the office Friday morning, I kept getting interrupted by workers from a local HVAC firm installing new cables and ductwork in the ceiling above my desk. <\/p>\n<p>So, I figured I might as well ask them: how\u2019s the job going, compensation-wise? <\/p>\n<p>\u201cI mean, trending in the last couple of years, I\u2019ve been getting consistent raises, but it doesn\u2019t seem to really affect how much money that I\u2019m able to spend,\u201d said Kyle Wallis, a journeyman controls technician. \u201cIt\u2019s like, I make more and more every year, but everything else is more and more expensive.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Since spring, after the Iran war started, <a class=\"externallink\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/realer.nr0.htm\">wages have been losing ground to prices<\/a>, according to Kyle Moore, chief economist at The Century Foundation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe American worker is working harder, productivity is up, wage growth is tepid, prices are continuing to rise,\u201d Moore said.<\/p>\n<p>Wages are tepid for a few reasons, starting with the <a title=\"\" class=\"interallink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketplace.org\/story\/2026\/08\/31\/why-the-meh-job-market-hasnt-slowed-consumer-spending-much\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u201clow-hire, low-fire\u201d<\/a> job market, which has made workers hesitant to quit, said Bill Adams, chief U.S. economist at Fifth Third Commercial bank.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnd one of the big drivers of workers getting higher wages is when they switch jobs to a higher-paying one,\u201d Adams said.<\/p>\n<p>So, what would generate more wage growth?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA job market with more competition among employers for workers,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>But right now, it\u2019s employers who have all the leverage. Frank Fiorille, vice president of risk and compliance at small-business payroll processor Paychex has one idea why: \u201cMaybe the threat of AI is preventing people from asking for wage increases,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>So, is there any light at the end of this wage-growth tunnel?<\/p>\n<p>Fiorille said weekly wages are rising for small-business workers. They\u2019re working more hours, because their employers \u201care trying to squeeze out as much from the existing folks that they have,\u201d he said. \u201cSooner or later that leads to more hiring.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Add that to Friday\u2019s out-of-the-ballpark 162,000 new jobs from the jobs report, and Adams said there is likely to be more job creation and more demand for workers going forward.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo, that means the job market is likely to tighten over the next 12 months,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Which Adams predicts will push wage growth higher again. <\/p>\n<p>Related Topics<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The August jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday morning had some bright spots, but wages&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1045787,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[64,79,266,12857,50846,81599,67,132,68,14417],"class_list":["post-1045786","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-inflation","tag-job-market","tag-jobs-report","tag-real-wages","tag-united-states","tag-unitedstates","tag-us","tag-wages"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/117220934107899858","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1045786","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1045786"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1045786\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1045787"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1045786"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1045786"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1045786"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}