{"id":176878,"date":"2025-08-26T11:26:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T11:26:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/176878\/"},"modified":"2025-08-26T11:26:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T11:26:09","slug":"mark-carney-had-no-choice-but-to-go-elbows-down-all-our-allies-already-have","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/176878\/","title":{"rendered":"Mark Carney had no choice but to go \u2018elbows down\u2019 \u2013 all our allies already have"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a style=\"display:block\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/resizer\/v2\/KYVAT3MFHFBOXDXNILJSN2IMGA.JPG?auth=12d8eb09fbf562cfb472c1d71bbeb5ac0645d770a656829509ad17f035c74da7&amp;width=600&amp;height=400&amp;quality=80&amp;smart=true\" aria-haspopup=\"true\" data-photo-viewer-index=\"0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Open this photo in gallery:<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"figcap-text\">Spencer Colby\/The Canadian Press<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Prime Minister <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/mark-carney\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/mark-carney\/\">Mark Carney<\/a> loves to reach for hockey metaphors. He doesn\u2019t always catch the right one. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Explaining why he was ditching most of the retaliatory <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/tariff\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/tariff\/\">tariffs<\/a> against the United States, the PM said on Friday that \u201cthere is a time in the game when you drop the gloves,\u201d to \u201csend a message,\u201d and a time when you \u201cwant to put the puck in the net.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">It\u2019s a nice image, but it doesn\u2019t capture what\u2019s going on. Nor does it explain why Ottawa was left with no choice but to take a step back.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Canada\u2019s best strategy in the first period, when U.S. President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump<\/a> dropped the tariff gloves, was to respond in kind. The Carney government met tariffs with levies of our own. Depending on how the Americans responded, that could have remained the game plan for the second period, the third period and overtime. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">But Canada can\u2019t fight the U.S. by itself. We need everyone else to also go over the boards. Otherwise, it\u2019s Lady Byng versus <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/hLBy_A-53io?si=oRmskJUrm-_ClPTK\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/hLBy_A-53io?si=oRmskJUrm-_ClPTK\">Ogie Ogilthorpe<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-trade-tariff-dominic-leblanc-howard-lutnick-meeting-washington\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LeBlanc to meet with Lutnick in Washington as Canada eyes sectoral tariff relief<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">And with the exception of China, other trading partners declined to dance with the U.S. They\u2019ve already left the ice and hit the showers. The Europeans aren\u2019t dropping the gloves. Nor are the British, the Japanese or the South Koreans. All reached trade deals with the Trump administration \u2013 one-sided deals where, in return for being hit with sweeping American tariffs, they promised to not retaliate, and to invest more in the U.S. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">They agreed to allow Washington to punch them, and to not punch back. Instead, they took the blows, said thank you and quietly picked up their teeth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Canada can stay out on the ice if we want. But at this point, it\u2019s just us and Ogie Trumpilthorpe.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">It\u2019s also important to remember that countertariffs were never designed to be permanent. Their aim was always deterrence: to shock the Americans into retreating and returning to the status quo ante of low tariffs and free trade. If other countries had joined Canada, maybe better results would have been possible. But they didn\u2019t.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The best economic models, such as those <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/commentary\/article-why-the-damage-to-canada-from-trumps-tariffs-has-been-small-so-far\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/commentary\/article-why-the-damage-to-canada-from-trumps-tariffs-has-been-small-so-far\/\">from the Bank of Canada<\/a> and the Peterson Institute for International Economics, show that while U.S. tariffs will hurt our economy, Canadian retaliation will have an even bigger impact \u2013 on us. The price is worth paying if it pushes the Americans to change course. But the Trump administration hasn\u2019t changed course, and the rest of the world, at least for the moment, has given up trying to force the matter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">So here we are.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/politics\/article-canada-china-us-trade-tariffs-strategy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Canada needs new playbook for relations with China amid Trump chaos: report<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Mr. Carney keeps saying that the average tariff on Canada is \u201cthe best deal of anyone in the world right now.\u201d It would be more accurate to call it the least-bad deal. U.S. tariffs on Canada are not as high as what other countries are facing \u2013 but they\u2019re higher than they\u2019ve been in generations. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The Trump administration is, for now, honouring the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Or rather, partly honouring it. The U.S. President imposed a general 35-per-cent tariff, but USMCA-compliant goods are exempt and that covers nearly all Canadian exports. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">This arrangement is unique. However, Washington continues to impose sectoral tariffs on some of Canada\u2019s most important exports to the U.S.: automobiles, steel, aluminum, copper and lumber. These tariffs violate the spirit and the letter of the USMCA. As such, the Carney government is dropping the general retaliatory tariff while maintaining countertariffs in the affected sectors. It\u2019s not an unreasonable position.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">However, what Canada has mostly been doing is making concessions to the Trump administration \u2013 more spending on the border, more spending on defence, goodbye digital services tax \u2013 in return for nothing. But the rest of the world has made even bigger concessions, in return for nothing. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Canada\u2019s partial reprieve from (some) U.S. tariffs is a less-bad deal than the rest of the world got, but the arrangement may be about to get worse. The blows to the Canadian economy have been softened by the USMCA, and Washington\u2019s decision to partially respect it, but that\u2019s not necessarily a permanent state of affairs. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/opinion\/article-carneys-reciprocal-tariff-retreat-might-seem-like-a-betrayal-but-it\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Opinion: Carney\u2019s reciprocal tariff retreat might seem like a betrayal, but it makes sense<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The Trump administration is clearly determined to make tariffs a large and lasting part of the American policy tool box, and to use them to force companies to shift manufacturing to the U.S. This is a threat to Canada, given that our manufacturing industries \u2013 led by automobiles \u2013 are integrated into American supply chains. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">To the extent that Washington is willing to preserve and honour the USMCA \u2013 which would mean Canadian autos, steel, aluminum and other exports to the U.S. benefitting from lower trade barriers than competitors from the rest of the world \u2013 that close and integrated trading relationship could be mostly maintained.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">However, if the Trump administration\u2019s goal is boosting U.S. manufacturing by reversing continental integration, sidelining the USMCA, and hitting Canada with the same tariffs as the rest of the world, then the damage to our economy will be far greater. And the need to transform our economy and our trading relationships will be all the more urgent. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">For now, Canada\u2019s best bet is to rag the puck. Play for time. Hang on to the USMCA \u2013 and prepare for the possibility of its demise.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Open this photo in gallery: Spencer Colby\/The Canadian Press Prime Minister Mark Carney loves to reach for hockey&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":176879,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[2148,2138,671,104,2132,692,64,2147,2131,2143,2144,2140,2133,2130,79,407,746,2142,2137,2159,2134,2135,454,2139,1165,728,2149,108,2154,2155,2157,2152,2156,2150,2153,2136,85,2146,80,2145,2151,1458,158,1164,2141,67,132,68,1154,107,2158],"class_list":{"0":"post-176878","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-alberta","9":"tag-arts-news","10":"tag-bc","11":"tag-breaking-news","12":"tag-breaking-news-video","13":"tag-british-columbia","14":"tag-business","15":"tag-canada","16":"tag-canada-news","17":"tag-canada-sports","18":"tag-canada-sports-news","19":"tag-canada-trafficcanada-weather","20":"tag-canadian-breaking-news","21":"tag-canadian-news","22":"tag-economy","23":"tag-education","24":"tag-environment","25":"tag-federal-government","26":"tag-foreign-news","27":"tag-globe-and-mail","28":"tag-globe-and-mail-breaking-news","29":"tag-globe-and-mail-canada-news","30":"tag-government","31":"tag-life-news","32":"tag-lifestyle","33":"tag-local-news","34":"tag-manitoba","35":"tag-national-news","36":"tag-new-brunswick","37":"tag-newfoundland-and-labrador","38":"tag-northwest-territories","39":"tag-nova-scotia","40":"tag-nunavut","41":"tag-ontario","42":"tag-pei","43":"tag-photos","44":"tag-political-news","45":"tag-political-opinion","46":"tag-politics","47":"tag-politics-news","48":"tag-quebec","49":"tag-sports-news","50":"tag-technology","51":"tag-travel","52":"tag-trudeau","53":"tag-united-states","54":"tag-unitedstates","55":"tag-us","56":"tag-us-news","57":"tag-world-news","58":"tag-yukon"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":"Validation failed: Text character limit of 500 exceeded"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/176878","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=176878"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/176878\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/176879"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=176878"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=176878"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=176878"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}