{"id":180825,"date":"2025-08-27T22:21:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-27T22:21:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/180825\/"},"modified":"2025-08-27T22:21:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-27T22:21:09","slug":"zohran-mamdani-would-easily-win-nyc-mayor-race-but-hed-have-a-real-fight-in-a-one-on-one-battle-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/180825\/","title":{"rendered":"Zohran Mamdani would easily win NYC mayor race — but he’d have a real fight in a one-on-one battle: poll"},"content":{"rendered":"

Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani<\/a> would easily win the race for New York City mayor \u2014 but he\u2019d have a true dogfight on his hands in a one-on-one contest, a new survey claims.<\/p>\n

The socialist candidate would lose 41%-52% in a head-to-head battle against ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo<\/a> and face a much tighter 45%-42% race if incumbent Mayor Eric Adams<\/a> were his only opponent, according to the poll conducted for the New York Apartment Association.<\/p>\n

But campaign strategists not affiliated with the campaigns on Wednesday laughed off the findings as \u201cfantasy\u201d as Mamdani faces three opponents on the November election ballot with none so far willing to step aside.<\/p>\n

Socialist Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani\u2019s frontrunner status evaporates in a one-on-one mayoral battle, a new poll claims \u2014 although that scenario has little chance of playing out. Matthew McDermott<\/p>\n

In a full slate, Mamdani was projected to run away with 42% of voters, the poll by Tulchin Research found. <\/p>\n

In that scenario, Cuomo would only net 26%, while Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa<\/a> would take 17%, Adams 9% and independent Jim Walden<\/a> 3%, according to the survey.<\/p>\n

But remove the other two candidates and Cuomo jumped up to 52% to 41%, the poll found \u2014 concluding nearly all of the other candidates\u2019 supporters would side with the ex-governor over Mamdani.<\/p>\n

\u201cCuomo is currently leading Mamdani in a head-to-head matchup, with a broader and more diverse coalition and Mamdani\u2019s appeal limited to his progressive base,\u201d Ben Tulchin, Kelsey Bullis and Corey Teter of Tulchin Research said in an Aug. 26 memo to the association.<\/p>\n

Mamdani leads Adams by a slim 45 to 42% in a one-on-one matchup, according to the survey. <\/p>\n

Tulchin worked for Adams\u2019 2021 mayoral campaign<\/a> while the association backed Cuomo in the June Democratic primary where Mamdani handily defeated the ex-governor and a slew of other local candidates.<\/p>\n

The poll from the New York Apartment Association reveals that Mamdani would lose 41%-52% in a head-to-head battle against ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo. Matthew McDermott<\/p>\n

\u201cLooks like a fantasy poll commissioned by Andrew Cuomo,\u201d said Democratic strategist Ken Frydman.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf the election were held today, Cuomo would not beat Mamdani in a one-on-one race.\u201d<\/p>\n

Those participating in the poll were not asked about a Mamdani-Sliwa contest.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis poll strains credulity,\u201d said Sam Raskin, senior vice president of Slingshot Strategies, who worked for ex-comptroller and mayoral candidate Scott Stringer in the Democratic primary..<\/p>\n

\u201cThese are people who don\u2019t want Mamdani. They are trying to create a scenario that doesn\u2019t exist. They\u2019re better off trying to accept reality.\u201d<\/p>\n

If incumbent Mayor Eric Adams were Mamdani\u2019s only opponent in the race for NYC mayor, he would be in a slightly closer 45%-42% race. Michael Nigro<\/p>\n

During the primary, nearly all the polls overstated Cuomo\u2019s support and underestimated Mamdani\u2019s, whose campaign benefited from a larger turnout of younger voters aged 40 and under.<\/p>\n

In the apartment owners\u2019 poll, nearly two-thirds of voters queried \u2014 63% \u2014 were aged 50 or older, while just 37% were under 50.<\/p>\n

Sliwa, the Republican nominee and founder of the vigilante group the Guardian Angels, is polling a strong third in the race. <\/p>\n

He has continually said he has no intention of bowing out of the race.<\/p>\n

Analysts said Sliwa, who will have an advantageous ballot position as the GOP nominee, will likely get a higher percentage of the vote in the November general election than the polls suggest.<\/p>\n

Multiple campaign strategists claim that result is a fantasy, as a poll conducted by Tulchin Research indicates Mamdani wins in a landslide with 42% of the vote, Cuomo netting 26%, Curtis Sliwa taking 17%, and Adams at 9%. Matthew McDermott<\/p>\n

Adams, a Democrat who skipped his party\u2019s primary as he grappled with corruption scandals, also is standing for re-election as an independent despite his low standing in the polls.<\/p>\n

The poll asked 1,000 likely voters via phone and online surveys about housing issues and the mayor\u2019s race from Aug. 7-14.<\/p>\n

It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1-percentage points.<\/p>\n

Of those queried in the poll, 74% were Democrats, 12% Republicans, 11% independents and 3% \u201cother.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani would easily win the race for New York City mayor \u2014 but he\u2019d have…\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":180826,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5122],"tags":[5229,5297,5340,5289,6335,5248,405,403,5226,5225,5228,5227,5341,80,9641,67,586,132,5230,68,1154,2969,5301],"class_list":{"0":"post-180825","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york","8":"tag-america","9":"tag-andrew-cuomo","10":"tag-curtis-sliwa","11":"tag-eric-adams","12":"tag-exclusive","13":"tag-metro","14":"tag-new-york","15":"tag-new-york-city","16":"tag-newyork","17":"tag-newyorkcity","18":"tag-ny","19":"tag-nyc","20":"tag-nyc-mayoral-election-2025","21":"tag-politics","22":"tag-polls","23":"tag-united-states","24":"tag-united-states-of-america","25":"tag-unitedstates","26":"tag-unitedstatesofamerica","27":"tag-us","28":"tag-us-news","29":"tag-usa","30":"tag-zohran-mamdani"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/115103064761950789","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180825","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=180825"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180825\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/180826"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=180825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=180825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=180825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}