{"id":181615,"date":"2025-08-28T05:22:10","date_gmt":"2025-08-28T05:22:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/181615\/"},"modified":"2025-08-28T05:22:10","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T05:22:10","slug":"bank-of-korea-raises-gdp-and-inflation-forecasts-keeps-rates-unchanged","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/181615\/","title":{"rendered":"Bank of Korea raises GDP and inflation forecasts; keeps rates unchanged"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Aerial view of Seoul downtown city skyline with vehicle on expressway and bridge cross over Han river in Seoul city, South Korea.<\/p>\n<p>Mongkol Chuewong | Moment | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>South Korea&#8217;s central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 2.5% for its second straight meeting to assess housing prices in the capital further, after prices had spiked earlier in the year.<\/p>\n<p>The move was also in line with expectations of economists polled by Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Korea <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bok.or.kr\/eng\/bbs\/E0000627\/view.do?nttId=10093243&amp;searchCnd=1&amp;searchKwd=&amp;depth2=400417&amp;depth3=400022&amp;depth=400022&amp;pageUnit=10&amp;pageIndex=1&amp;programType=newsDataEng&amp;menuNo=400022&amp;oldMenuNo=400022\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">said<\/a> that inflation was stable and economic growth had shown &#8220;modest improvement,&#8221; but warned that housing prices in Seoul and its surrounding areas, along with household debt, needed closer monitoring.<\/p>\n<p>The central bank said household loan growth has slowed sharply, but expectations for higher home prices remain strong.<\/p>\n<p>The BOK also upgraded its inflation forecast for 2025 to 2% from its May forecast of 1.9%, while the GDP growth forecast for the year was also revised to 0.9% from 0.8% previously.<\/p>\n<p>It expects domestic demand to make a &#8220;modest recovery,&#8221; due to a supplementary budget and improvement in consumer sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Exports are likely to show favorable movements for some time, but are likely to gradually slow as the impacts of U.S. tariffs expand,&#8221; the central bank said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/10\/bank-of-korea-expectedly-keeps-rates-steady-at-an-almost-three-year-low.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">In its previous meeting,<\/a> the BOK had also held rates, citing a need to assess the impact of recent measures aimed at cooling Seoul&#8217;s housing market.<\/p>\n<p>The central bank decision came just days after South Korean President Lee Jae Myung <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/08\/26\/us-south-korea-washington-seoul-summit-trump-lee-kim-north-ships-planes-investment.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">met U.S. President Donald Trump<\/a> earlier this week, which led to a series of agreements between both sides.<\/p>\n<p>These include multibillion-dollar investment pledges from South Korean companies, record $50 billion aviation purchases by Korean Air, and cooperation in areas such as shipbuilding and energy.<\/p>\n<p>Under a July trade deal, Seoul would invest $350 billion in the U.S., including $150 billion for shipbuilding. Seoul then saw its so-called &#8220;reciprocal&#8221; tariffs for its exports to the U.S lowered to 15% from 25%, including for automobiles.<\/p>\n<p>The country had seen net exports power its growth in the April to June period to a better-than-expected showing, with GDP expanding 0.6% quarter over quarter and 0.5% from a year ago.<\/p>\n<p>Exports of goods and services make up about 44% of South Korea&#8217;s GDP in 2023, according to the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/data.worldbank.org\/indicator\/NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS?locations=KR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">latest figures from the World Bank<\/a>, with the U.S. as its second-largest export market, after China.<\/p>\n<p>A note by Bank of America analysts said the BOK would be open to cutting its policy rates in the next three months, with a possible rate cut in October.<\/p>\n<p>They also expected another cut in the first half of 2026 to keep rates stable at 2%.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation in South Korea also seems supportive of a rate cut, coming at 2.1% in July and just above the BOK&#8217;s target of 2%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Aerial view of Seoul downtown city skyline with vehicle on expressway and bridge cross over Han river in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":25804,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[8000,7998,64,81,11764,79,67,132,68],"class_list":{"0":"post-181615","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-asia-economy","9":"tag-breaking-news-asia","10":"tag-business","11":"tag-business-news","12":"tag-central-banking","13":"tag-economy","14":"tag-united-states","15":"tag-unitedstates","16":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/115104720057102914","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181615","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=181615"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181615\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25804"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=181615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=181615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=181615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}