{"id":188080,"date":"2025-08-30T22:50:12","date_gmt":"2025-08-30T22:50:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/188080\/"},"modified":"2025-08-30T22:50:12","modified_gmt":"2025-08-30T22:50:12","slug":"in-a-booming-stock-market-hype-is-all-that-matters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/188080\/","title":{"rendered":"In a booming stock market, hype is all that matters"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a style=\"display:block\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/resizer\/v2\/SF7LRJSOIRDOVB7Q7DWYIEAZGM.jpg?auth=c1e76e00026d1128eceaf626aacdf83255c06e315f2abfdc0d0c0e0fa24c3f7e&amp;width=600&amp;height=400&amp;quality=80&amp;smart=true\" aria-haspopup=\"true\" data-photo-viewer-index=\"0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Open this photo in gallery:<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"figcap-text\">Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange Aug. 22, 2025.Spencer Platt\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Don\u2019t toss that SPF 50 just yet. Summer may be fading, but the stock market is still throwing off plenty of heat. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Since the spring, stocks have staged a monster comeback from the brink of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/tariff\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/tariff\/\">tariff<\/a>-induced despair to the unchecked exuberance we\u2019re seeing today. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">The S&amp;P 500 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/indices\/INX\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/investing\/markets\/indices\/INX\/\">INX<\/a> index is up 30 per cent from its low point. Canadian stocks, in apparent denial of the country\u2019s economic crisis, have gained 27 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Everywhere in financial markets is the whiff of excess. Retail investors are all in. Valuations on U.S. stocks are towering. And the artificial-intelligence hype machine has drowned out concerns about tariffs and trade wars.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-td-cibc-higher-than-expected-q3-results-tariffs-trade-confidence\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TD, CIBC report higher-than-expected third-quarter results, driving confidence despite tariffs<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">It\u2019s starting to feel a lot like 2021, when a booming bull market morphed into a speculative hysteria of meme stocks and non-fungible tokens.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">A harsh reckoning soon followed that episode. Is the current cycle doomed as well?<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">It would be futile to say either way. Markets can continue to rise long past the point one might consider irrational. Only after everything has come crashing down does it become obvious the market was in a bubble.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">One thing is clear, however. There will be far fewer winners of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/artificial-intelligence\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/topics\/artificial-intelligence\/\">artificial intelligence<\/a> revolution than investors are currently clamouring for. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">When the stock market coalesces around a transformative technology like AI, it\u2019s easy for companies to bask in the glow of the new thing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Last week, a mattress company called Eight Sleep announced it had raised US$100-million to \u201cbuild the AI that finally fixes sleep.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Best of luck to them \u2013 and their investors. But they should keep in mind that time sets the bar for success much higher than a euphoric stock market does.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">A mass culling in AI is inevitable. A Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) paper that caused a stir in financial markets last week gave a glimpse into this near future. It found that 95 per cent of businesses it studied realized zero return from spending on generative AI projects.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">\u201cIn most \u2018new, new things,\u2019 investors tend to treat far too many companies \u2013 and often the wrong ones \u2013 as likely to succeed,\u201d renowned investor Howard Marks wrote in his latest newsletter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Back in 2017, it was blockchain technology that seized the investing masses. In a blatant attempt to cash in on the hype, a New York-based beverage company changed its name from \u201cLong Island Iced Tea Corp.\u201d to \u201cLong Blockchain Corp.\u201d Its stock price soon quintupled. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Companies around the world launched more than 80,000 blockchain projects around that time. By mid-2019, at least 92 per cent of them had failed, according to the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text mv-16 l-inset text-pb-8\" data-sophi-feature=\"interstitial\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-nvidia-ceo-ai-boom-sales-forecast\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nvidia CEO says AI boom far from over after chip maker releases tepid sales forecast<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Blockchain has its practical uses today in the crypto asset space, but it vanished as an investment theme.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">In fact, the usefulness of the technology itself is kind of beside the point. The internet really did change the world, but that didn\u2019t stop the stock market from crashing when the dot-com bubble popped.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">In the case of crypto assets, which have next to no practical use, hype is everything.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Much like the blockchain freeloaders of 2017, some underperforming companies have taken to simply buying bitcoin as a business model. They are following in the footsteps of Strategy Inc., a software company turned bitcoin hoarder that has amassed US$70-billion worth of the crypto asset.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">U.S.-based thermal energy company KULR Technology Group Inc. started buying up bitcoin in November, a move that initially elevated its stock by more than tenfold. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Never mind that crypto has nothing to do with your core business. It\u2019s a foolproof way to attract attention and give a faltering stock a jolt of adrenaline.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">In July, a company called CEA Industries Inc., which owns a chain of vape stores in central Canada, announced it was raising US$500-million to buy Binance Coin. Its stock then shot up by 550 per cent in one day.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">Doesn\u2019t it feel like this market is starting to give off 2021 vibes, when NFTs of bored apes could go for millions of dollars? It does when you combine the hype with worrying signals around valuation and market concentration. A sampling of some of the indicators:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"c-article-body__li text-pr-7\">The price-to-sales ratio of the S&amp;P 500 sits at about 3.2, higher than the peak of the 2021 bull market<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-article-body__li text-pr-7\">The ratio of growth to value stocks in the U.S. is at a record high<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-article-body__li text-pr-7\">The three largest stocks make up more than 21 per cent of the S&amp;P 500, while the Top 10 account for 38 per cent \u2013 both are record highs<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-article-body__li text-pr-7\">The ratio of total U.S. stock market capitalization to GDP \u2013 a favourite metric of Warren Buffett \u2013 is also at a record high<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">None of which is a reason to bail on the stock market or veer away from a suitable long-term investment plan.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-article-body__text text-pr-5\">But it\u2019s worth taking a hard look at just how much of the market\u2019s hype you\u2019re exposed to. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Open this photo in gallery: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange Aug. 22,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":188081,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[2148,2138,671,104,2132,692,64,2147,2131,2143,2144,2140,2133,2130,79,407,746,2142,2137,2159,2134,2135,454,2139,1165,728,2149,135,108,2154,2155,2157,2152,2156,2150,2153,2136,85,2146,80,2145,2151,1458,158,1164,2141,67,132,68,1154,107,2158],"class_list":{"0":"post-188080","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-alberta","9":"tag-arts-news","10":"tag-bc","11":"tag-breaking-news","12":"tag-breaking-news-video","13":"tag-british-columbia","14":"tag-business","15":"tag-canada","16":"tag-canada-news","17":"tag-canada-sports","18":"tag-canada-sports-news","19":"tag-canada-trafficcanada-weather","20":"tag-canadian-breaking-news","21":"tag-canadian-news","22":"tag-economy","23":"tag-education","24":"tag-environment","25":"tag-federal-government","26":"tag-foreign-news","27":"tag-globe-and-mail","28":"tag-globe-and-mail-breaking-news","29":"tag-globe-and-mail-canada-news","30":"tag-government","31":"tag-life-news","32":"tag-lifestyle","33":"tag-local-news","34":"tag-manitoba","35":"tag-markets","36":"tag-national-news","37":"tag-new-brunswick","38":"tag-newfoundland-and-labrador","39":"tag-northwest-territories","40":"tag-nova-scotia","41":"tag-nunavut","42":"tag-ontario","43":"tag-pei","44":"tag-photos","45":"tag-political-news","46":"tag-political-opinion","47":"tag-politics","48":"tag-politics-news","49":"tag-quebec","50":"tag-sports-news","51":"tag-technology","52":"tag-travel","53":"tag-trudeau","54":"tag-united-states","55":"tag-unitedstates","56":"tag-us","57":"tag-us-news","58":"tag-world-news","59":"tag-yukon"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":"Validation failed: Text character limit of 500 exceeded"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=188080"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188080\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/188081"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=188080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=188080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=188080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}