Season record:<\/strong> 5-4, +0.60 units, 6.0% ROI<\/p>\nFive bets to kick off Week 3, and at least three that are a half-point off from getting onto the card, so stay tuned there. Hopefully we can have a big week, but I\u2019ll settle for a modest winning one like last week. As always, shop around for the best price and good luck!<\/p>\n
College football Week 3 best betsColorado +4.5 (-110) at Houston<\/p>\n
I don\u2019t like this bet one bit, but the numbers are what they are. I think Houston is improved and Colorado is trending down, but this is a bit too much for my taste. This seems like a buy-low spot on Colorado and a sell-high spot on Houston. My numbers actually have this game closer to a pick \u2019em, so getting 4.5 is a must-buy.<\/p>\n
Worst price to bet:<\/strong> Colorado +4 (-110)<\/p>\nArkansas at Ole Miss under 61.5 (-110)<\/p>\n
Well, both of these teams like to play at a lightning pace and have scored 50-plus points in three of the four games they\u2019ve played so far this season. Arkansas hasn\u2019t played anybody good yet, and Ole Miss played Kentucky in their only game against solid competition. The total points in that game ended up being 53. I\u2019m not saying we will see this game go into the low 50s, but I\u2019m not as scared of the pace if I believe you\u2019re going to struggle to find consistent offense down to down.<\/p>\n
Worst price to bet:<\/strong> Under 61 (-110)<\/p>\nSouth Alabama at Auburn under 55.5 (-115)<\/p>\n
Maybe I\u2019m overrating the Auburn defense, but I think South Alabama is going to have loads of problems in this matchup. I also have an edge on Auburn against the spread here, but don\u2019t really care to get involved in such a big spread. Similarly to the game above, South Alabama will want to play at a fast pace, but it doesn\u2019t matter too much when you\u2019re not able to move the ball. My only worry here is Auburn scoring a ton, but with two consecutive ranked road games on deck to precede a stretch of four ranked opponents in five weeks, I think they\u2019ll want to get in and out with a clean bill of health.<\/p>\n
Worst price to bet:<\/strong> Under 54.5 (-110)<\/p>\nWestern Michigan at Illinois over 50.5 (-110)<\/p>\n
The pace won\u2019t be anything to get excited about here, but I think Western Michigan will play faster than expected. Last week against North Texas, the Broncos played incredibly slowly, but they were in the lead for the majority of the game. They\u2019ll likely be trailing in this matchup, and their pace will likely match closer to their game against Michigan State. They\u2019ll still need to find a way to move the ball, but my number on this total is in the mid-50s.<\/p>\n
Worst price to bet:<\/strong> Over 51 (-110)<\/p>\nDuke at Tulane under 54.5 (-105)<\/p>\n
BetMGM is giving us the best price in the market by a considerable margin here, so I\u2019ll gladly scoop this up. Tulane is good, but I think the Duke defense will have a talent advantage to slow them down and keep this a lower-scoring game. Sure, some will say Duke quarterback Darian Mensah will want to put up a big game against his former team, but I\u2019m not buying into that narrative. Let\u2019s keep the fireworks to a minimum here, please.<\/p>\n
Worst price to bet:<\/strong> Under 52.5 (-110)<\/p>\nNew bets added FridaySouth Carolina -3 (-110) vs. Vanderbilt<\/p>\n
Worst price to bet:<\/strong> South Carolina -3 (-115)<\/p>\n(Photo of Darian Mensah: Lance King \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u201cSometimes it\u2019s best to be lucky\u201d sums up last week\u2019s best bets from my College Football Projection Model.…\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":224012,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[8803,8804,1428,22748,1372,3915,1716,62,8930,35598,67,132,68],"class_list":{"0":"post-224011","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-sports","8":"tag-arkansas-razorbacks","9":"tag-auburn-tigers","10":"tag-college-football","11":"tag-colorado-buffaloes","12":"tag-duke-blue-devils","13":"tag-illinois-fighting-illini","14":"tag-ole-miss-rebels","15":"tag-sports","16":"tag-sports-betting","17":"tag-tulane-green-wave","18":"tag-united-states","19":"tag-unitedstates","20":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224011","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=224011"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224011\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/224012"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=224011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=224011"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=224011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}