The pick:<\/strong> Chiefs -6.5.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\nTyrod Taylor is set to start at quarterback for the Jets on Sunday against the Buccaneers. Getty Images<\/p>\n
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-7) over New York Jets<\/p>\n
The Bucs are 2-0, beating the Falcons 23-20 on a missed field goal and Texans 20-19 on the last play of the game. They\u2019re on a short week after a brutally physical Monday nighter and could be missing three starting offensive linemen. It\u2019s a chore to back the Jets after last week\u2019s no-show vs. the Bills, which ended with a charitable 30-10 on the scoreboard and Justin Fields out with a concussion.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Though the spread makes this a tricky call, and the Jets with Tyrod Taylor could be something or nothing, the one thing worth trusting is a good game by Baker Mayfield.<\/p>\n
TENNESSEE TITANS (+3.5) over Indianapolis Colts<\/p>\n
OK, so Daniel Jones has been a revelation and has gotten us two ATS wins so far. The one last week against Denver came on a leverage-penalty gift that provided a do-over on the game-ending field goal. Now he has to go on the road for the first time. Titans are 1-1 ATS and had a legit chance to beat the Rams last week for much of the game. Looking for Cam Ward to get a little better each time out.<\/p>\n
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love warms up before an NFL football game against the Washington Commanders Thursday, Sept. 11, 2025, in Green Bay, Wis. AP<\/p>\n
Green Bay Packers (-8) over CLEVELAND BROWNS<\/p>\n
Cleveland actually played a decent game in Baltimore and still lost 41-17. The Packers bring a punishing defense to the lake, and Jordan Love should be able to get them past this spread over the course of three hours.<\/p>\n
Cincinnati Bengals (+3) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS<\/p>\n
Battle of backup QBs Carson Wentz and Jake Browning. The latter stepped in and led the Bengals past the Jaguars after Joe Burrow\u2019s injury and has had some success starting games for the Bengals. This is the vagabond Wentz\u2019s first game as a Viking \u2026 behind an offensive line with injury concerns.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS<\/p>\n
Aaron Rodgers might have been able to figure out a way to beat the Seahawks if not for that awful blunder on the kickoff. Small spread and Christian Gonzalez\u2019s potential return suggest this could go either way, but I\u2019d embrace Rodgers a bit more off a loss than Drake Maye off a win.<\/p>\n
Aaron Rodgers reacts during the Steelers\u2019 win over the Jets on Sept. 7. Robert Sabo for the NY Post<\/p>\n
Los Angeles Rams (+3.5) over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES<\/p>\n
Rams return to the scene of their 28-22 playoff loss, where a potential upset died at the Eagles\u2019 22. L.A. is allowing just 14 ppg so far and has posted 100-plus-yard receiving games from Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. Happy to take the points here and see how this turns out.<\/p>\n
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (-3.5) over Las Vegas Raiders<\/p>\n
Marcus Mariota replaces the injured Jayden Daniels for the Commanders. That would normally be enough to produce a Raiders pick here. However, the schedule makers had other ideas. Washington had three extra days off after a TNF game, while the Raiders have a long trip after a physical, extra-late Monday nighter. Pretty unfair.<\/p>\n
Atlanta Falcons (-6) over CAROLINA PANTHERS<\/p>\n
Carolina\u2019s backdoor cover against the sleeping Cardinals aside, this is still among the worst teams in the league. And though the Falcons don\u2019t have a lot of wins by margin the past few years, this combo of Michael Penix Jr-Bijan Robinson-Drake London, and an improved secondary has opened some eyes.<\/p>\n
Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs against Minnesota Vikings linebacker Dallas Turner (15) during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 14, 2025, in Minneapolis. AP<\/p>\n
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (-2) over Houston Texans<\/p>\n
Truth be told, I really wanted to take a Texans team that should be ornery at 0-2 against the Jags. Again, though, the schedule tilts the selection as Houston travels off a physical MNF game and has to deal with the 84-degree Duval heat.<\/p>\n
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-3) over Denver Broncos<\/p>\n
Denver failed to cover vs. the Titans and didn\u2019t force a single punt by the Colts. Justin Herbert will be a handful, even with the Chargers in a tight turnaround after their late Monday night win.<\/p>\n
New Orleans SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-7.5) over New Orleans Saints<\/p>\n
Though Spencer Rattler and the Saints were competitive in home losses to the Cardinals and 49ers, the atmosphere gets more challenging against Seattle\u2019s tough defense in front of the 12th Man. Good battle that maybe gets away from the Saints late.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Brock Purdy #13 of the San Francisco 49ers throws a pass during the fourth quarter against the Seattle Seahawks during the game at Lumen Field on September 07, 2025 in Seattle, Washington. Getty Images<\/p>\n
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-2.5) over Arizona Cardinals<\/p>\n
This is one time where I\u2019d prefer to let the injury report play out a little more, with Brock Purdy iffy to return for the 49ers and rookie CB Will Johnson questionable for the Cardinals. For now, the selection is based on the 49ers\u2019 healthy defense and Levi\u2019s Stadium fans getting up for the first home game.<\/p>\n
Dallas Cowboys (-1) over CHICAGO BEARS<\/p>\n
Dallas gave up 37 points to the Giants. The Bears have given up 73 points to the Vikings and Lions in the past five quarters. Unreal. The angle here is that the Cowboys know how to win and the Bears don\u2019t, and Dallas\u2019 huge kicking edge should be worth a handful of points.<\/p>\n
Betting on the NFL? <\/p>\n
Monday<\/p>\n
BALTIMORE RAVENS (-5) over Detroit Lions<\/p>\n
These teams last met in 2023 in Baltimore when both entered 5-1. Game ended up 38-6 Ravens. Figuring the Lions score more here, but again their defense will get steamrolled by Lamar Jackson, this time with Derrick Henry\u2019s help.<\/p>\n
BEST BETS:<\/strong> Falcons, Chargers, Cowboys.<\/p>\nLOCK OF THE WEEK: <\/strong>Falcons (Locks 1-1 in 2025).<\/p>\nLAST WEEK: <\/strong>9-7 overall, 3-0 Best Bets.<\/p>\nTHURSDAY:<\/strong> Bills.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"New York Post may be compensated and\/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our…\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":243887,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[17530,119469,4716,5287,1232,18329,62,8930,2632,84024,67,132,68],"class_list":{"0":"post-243886","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-sports","8":"tag-betting","9":"tag-bettors-guide","10":"tag-new-york-giants","11":"tag-new-york-jets","12":"tag-nfl","13":"tag-nfl-betting","14":"tag-sports","15":"tag-sports-betting","16":"tag-sports-columnists","17":"tag-sports-picks","18":"tag-united-states","19":"tag-unitedstates","20":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/115242353703171618","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=243886"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243886\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/243887"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=243886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=243886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=243886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}