{"id":26083,"date":"2025-06-30T03:10:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T03:10:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/26083\/"},"modified":"2025-06-30T03:10:12","modified_gmt":"2025-06-30T03:10:12","slug":"world-economy-faces-pivotal-moment-central-bank-body-bis-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/26083\/","title":{"rendered":"World economy faces &#8216;pivotal moment,&#8217; central bank body\u00a0BIS\u00a0says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Trade tensions and fractious geopolitics risk exposing deep fault lines in the global financial system, the central bank umbrella body, Bank for International Settlements, said in its latest assessment of the state of the world economy.<\/p>\n<p>The outgoing head of the\u00a0BIS, often dubbed the central bankers\u2019 central bank, Agust\u00edn Carstens, said <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2025\/06\/29\/us-news\/trump-now-suggests-he-wont-extend-july-tariff-deadline-while-teasing-mystery-tiktok-buyer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the US-driven trade war<\/a> and other policy shifts were fraying the long-established economic order.<\/p>\n<p>He said the global economy was at a \u201cpivotal moment,\u201d entering a \u201cnew era of heightened uncertainty and unpredictability,\u201d which was testing public trust in institutions, including central banks.<\/p>\n<p>General Manager of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Agust\u00edn Carstens speaks at the forum Tokenization and the Financial System during the World Bank\/IMF Spring Meetings at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) headquarters in Washington, Wednesday, April 23, 2025.  AP<\/p>\n<p>The bank\u2019s report is published just over a week before President Trump\u2019s trade tariff deadline of July 9 and comes after six months of intense geopolitical upheaval.<\/p>\n<p>When asked about Trump\u2019s\u00a0criticisms\u00a0of Federal Reserve Jerome Powell, which have included Trump labeling the Fed chair as \u201cstupid,\u201d he was not overly critical.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is to be expected at certain points in time that there will be friction,\u201d former Mexican central bank governor Carstens told reporters, referring to the relationship between governments and central banks. \u201cIt is almost by design.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0BIS\u2019 annual report, published on Sunday, is viewed as an important gauge of central bankers\u2019 thinking given the Switzerland-based forum\u2019s regular meetings of top policymakers.<\/p>\n<p>The Bank for International Settlement\u2019s report was released just over a week before President Trump\u2019s July 9 trade tariff deadline.  AP<\/p>\n<p>Rising protectionism and trade fragmentation were \u201cparticular concerning\u201d as they were exacerbating the already decades-long decline in economic and productivity growth, Carstens said.<\/p>\n<p>There is also evidence that the world economy is becoming less resilient to shocks, with population aging, climate change, geopolitics and supply chain issues all contributing to a more volatile environment.<\/p>\n<p>The post-COVID spike in inflation seems to have had a lasting impact on the public\u2019s perception about price moves too, a study in the report showed.<\/p>\n<p>Bank for International Settlements chief Agust\u00edn Carstens was not overly critical of President Trump\u2019s criticisms of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, above.  Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>High and rising public debt levels <a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2025\/06\/29\/us-news\/trump-unsure-whether-republicans-will-meet-fourth-of-july-deadline-to-pass-big-beautiful-bill\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">are increasing the financial system\u2019s vulnerability<\/a> to interest rates and reducing governments\u2019 ability to spend their way out of crises.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis trend cannot continue,\u201d Carstens said referring to the rising debt levels and he said that higher military spending could push the debt up further.<\/p>\n<p>Hyun Song Shin, the\u00a0BIS\u2019s main economic adviser, also flagged the sharp fall in the\u00a0dollar. It is down 10% since the start of the year and on track to be its biggest first-half drop since the free-floating exchange rate era began in the early 1970s.<\/p>\n<p>Hyun Song Shin, the\u00a0BIS\u2019s main economic adviser, flagged the sharp fall in the\u00a0dollar, which is down 10% since the start of the year. AFP via Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Shorter-term analysis, though, showed \u201chedging\u201d by non-US investors holding Treasuries and other US assets appears to have made an \u201cimportant contribution\u201d to the dollar\u2019s slide over the last few months.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe haven\u2019t seen anything (yet) that would give us any cause for alarm,\u201d Shin added.<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0BIS\u00a0had already published one part of its report last week that gave a\u00a0stark warning\u00a0about the rapid rise of so-called stablecoins.<\/p>\n<p>The Bank for International Settlements headquarters in Basel, Switzerland.  doganmesut \u2013 stock.adobe.com<\/p>\n<p>He said there was no evidence that this was the start of a \u201cgreat rotation\u201d away from US assets as some economists have suggested, but acknowledged that it was still too early to know given sovereign funds and central banks move slowly.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of the\u00a0BIS\u2019 own finances, it said it made a net profit of $1.2 billion, while its total comprehensive income reached a record high of $5.3 billion and currency deposits at the bank also reached a new high.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is important that the\u00a0BIS\u00a0has the highest creditworthiness out there,\u201d Carstens said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Trade tensions and fractious geopolitics risk exposing deep fault lines in the global financial system, the central bank&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":26084,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[64,821,69,79,1597,142,2175,67,132,68,15393],"class_list":{"0":"post-26083","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-cryptocurrency","10":"tag-donald-trump","11":"tag-economy","12":"tag-federal-reserve","13":"tag-jerome-powell","14":"tag-tariffs","15":"tag-united-states","16":"tag-unitedstates","17":"tag-us","18":"tag-us-dollar"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/114770124725266687","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26083","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26083"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26083\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26084"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}