{"id":339996,"date":"2025-10-29T05:09:15","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T05:09:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/339996\/"},"modified":"2025-10-29T05:09:15","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T05:09:15","slug":"australias-inflation-tops-forecasts-at-3-2-highest-in-over-a-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/339996\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia\u2019s inflation tops forecasts at 3.2%, highest in over a year"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Tourists sit on a bollard at the Sydney Opera House.<\/p>\n<p>Afp Contributor | Afp | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Australia&#8217;s inflation accelerated in the third quarter, with consumer prices rising 3.2% from a year earlier \u2014 the fastest pace in more than a year \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/media-centre\/media-releases\/cpi-rises-13-september-2025-quarter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Australian Bureau of Statistics<\/a> said Wednesday. <\/p>\n<p>The increase topped the 2.1% rise in the second quarter and came in above the 3% forecast by economists polled by Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>The ABS said the most significant price rises were in housing, recreation and culture, and transport.<\/p>\n<p>Trimmed mean inflation rate, which excludes extreme price changes in consumer goods and services,\u00a0rose to 3%, up from 2.7% last quarter. It was the first increase in trimmed mean inflation since December 2022, the bureau said.<\/p>\n<p>The 3.2% headline rate pushed inflation beyond the Reserve Bank of Australia&#8217;s 2%\u20133% target band for the first time since the second quarter of 2024, underscoring the challenge policymakers face in taming persistent price pressures.<\/p>\n<p>Following the data release, the Australian <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.AXJO\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">S&amp;P\/ASX 200<\/a> fell 0.76%, while the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/AUD=\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Australian dollar<\/a> strengthened 0.21% against the greenback to 0.6596.<\/p>\n<p>Stock Chart IconStock chart icon<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static-redesign.cnbcfm.com\/dist\/a54b41835a8b60db28c2.svg\" class=\"Collapsible-dismissButton\" alt=\"hide content\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The latest inflation figure means that expectations of RBA rate cuts will be &#8220;almost certainly&#8221; pushed back, Josh Gilbert, market analyst at\u00a0market services firm eToro said in a note.<\/p>\n<p>He added that the RBA&#8217;s goal of bringing inflation under control will take longer than anticipated, and that further rate relief may still be some way off for investors.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This reinforces that the disinflation process is stalling while bringing stagflation concerns into the conversation, especially if unemployment keeps picking up,&#8221; Gilbert added.<\/p>\n<p>Diana Mousina, Deputy Chief Economist at AMP, said the latest figures were too high for the RBA to be comfortable cutting the cash rate next week.<\/p>\n<p>As a result, the RBA is likely to hold the cash rate at 3.6% at both the upcoming November and December meetings, she added.<\/p>\n<p>The RBA had cautioned in its September Statement on Monetary Policy that inflation for the quarter could come in &#8220;higher than expected,&#8221; citing sticky prices in housing and market services.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rba.gov.au\/speeches\/2025\/mc-gov-2025-09-30.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RBA Governor Michelle Bullock said<\/a> last month that inflation in those areas was &#8220;a little higher than we were expecting,&#8221; though she stressed that it did not indicate that inflation was &#8220;running away.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In August, the central bank had forecast that underlying inflation would continue to moderate to around the midpoint of the\u00a02%\u20133%\u00a0range, with the cash rate assumed to follow a &#8220;gradual easing path.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Recent headline CPI readings for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/statistics\/economy\/price-indexes-and-inflation\/monthly-consumer-price-index-indicator\/aug-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">July and August<\/a> came in above expectations for both months, at 2.8% and 3% respectively. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/statistics\/economy\/price-indexes-and-inflation\/monthly-consumer-price-index-indicator\/sep-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">September inflation figures<\/a> stood at 3.5%, its highest since July 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Australia&#8217;s central bank kept its policy rate steady at its last meeting, noting that inflation remained stubborn in some parts of the economy.<\/p>\n<p>The country&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/09\/03\/australias-gdp-expands-more-than-expected-fastest-pace-since-september-2023.html#:~:text=Australia&#039;s%20GDP%20expands%20more%20than%20expected%3B%20fastest%20pace%20since%20September%202023,-Published%20Tue%2C%20Sep&amp;text=The%20country&#039;s%20GDP%20grew%201.8,forecast%20in%20the%20Reuters%20poll.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">economy outperformed expectations<\/a> in the second quarter, growing 1.8% from a year earlier, marking the fastest pace of growth since September 2023. It was higher than the 1.6% expected by economists polled by Reuters and the 1.3% seen in the previous quarter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Tourists sit on a bollard at the Sydney Opera House. Afp Contributor | Afp | Getty Images Australia&#8217;s&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":339997,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[8000,7992,64,81,79,7996,67,132,68],"class_list":{"0":"post-339996","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-asia-economy","9":"tag-australian-dollar-us-dollar-fx-spot-rate","10":"tag-business","11":"tag-business-news","12":"tag-economy","13":"tag-sp-asx-200","14":"tag-united-states","15":"tag-unitedstates","16":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/115455732605256352","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/339996","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=339996"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/339996\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/339997"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=339996"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=339996"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=339996"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}