{"id":3627,"date":"2025-06-21T23:28:11","date_gmt":"2025-06-21T23:28:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/3627\/"},"modified":"2025-06-21T23:28:11","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T23:28:11","slug":"alaskas-gdp-has-stagnated-with-growth-ranking-near-the-u-s-bottom-analysis-shows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/3627\/","title":{"rendered":"Alaska\u2019s GDP has stagnated, with growth ranking near the U.S. bottom, analysis shows"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" alt=\"\" class=\"c-image\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/RJOPBAH2LVAI3AH7H3SX43ABCI.JPG\"  width=\"800\" height=\"533\"\/>Shipping containers are moved at the Don Young Port of Alaska on November 22, 2024. (Marc Lester \/ ADN) <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Alaska\u2019s gross domestic product grew more slowly over the past decade than that of all other states except for one, according to a Department of Labor and Workforce Development analysis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">The state\u2019s GDP \u2014 the value of all goods and services \u2014 rose by only 0.4% annually on average from 2015 to 2025 when adjusted for inflation, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/live.laborstats.alaska.gov\/trends-magazine\/2025\/June\/alaska-gdp-everything-we-produce\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">analysis<\/a> in this month\u2019s Alaska Economic Trends, the magazine published by the department\u2019s research and analysis section. Only North Dakota has slower growth during the period, averaging 0.2% a year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">In comparison, the national annual growth rate for the period, adjusted for inflation, was 2.1% over the period, and the median growth rate \u2014 with half the states above and half below \u2014 was 1.7%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Without adjustments for inflation, the state\u2019s growth might appear robust: an annual average of 8.2% from 2020 to 2024. But that nominal rate is misleading because the period was marked by high inflation, the analysis points out.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">It focuses instead on \u201creal\u201d GDP, which factors in inflation. In real terms, Alaska\u2019s total GDP peaked more than a decade ago, when oil prices were highest. There were only three years between 2015 and 2024 when Alaska showed real GDP growth \u2014 2017, 2021 and 2022 \u2014 which also were the only years when Alaska\u2019s growth outpaced the national average, the analysis found.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">The statistics demonstrate the state\u2019s economic vulnerability, said Sam Tappen, the state economist who did the analysis and wrote the Trends article.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">\u201cThe fact that we\u2019ve had such long-term stagnation, I think, is troubling,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-chromatic=\"ignore\" alt=\"\" class=\"c-image\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/MXFII5HUEZE2LCHDURX6FJQJHE.png\"  width=\"800\" height=\"502\"\/>Alaska\u2019s gross domestic product, in real dollars, is shown in this graph that separates the oil-dominated mining from all other sectors. (Graph from Alaska Economic Trends\/Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development Research and Analysis) <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">The statistics reflect Alaska\u2019s dependence on oil and the price of that commodity, which depends on world markets and global events beyond the state\u2019s control.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">The volatility of <a href=\"https:\/\/alaskabeacon.com\/2024\/12\/12\/lower-prices-dim-expectations-for-alaska-oil-earnings-in-coming-years-revenue-forecast-says\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">oil prices<\/a> has an outsized impact on Alaska\u2019s economy, he said. \u201cOil just tends to push around the total,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Beyond the period of high oil prices, there were two different years of steep drops: 2015, when a plunge in oil prices caused a 9% drop in GDP, and 2020, when Alaska\u2019s real GDP fell 7.1% amid the global COVID-19 pandemic disruptions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Not coincidentally, other states at or near the bottom \u2014 North Dakota, Wyoming and Louisiana \u2014 are also highly dependent on oil and gas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">The good news in the statistics is that outside of the oil-dominated mining sector, the state\u2019s real gross domestic product has been increasing. \u201cAll the other industries are typically growing pretty steadily,\u201d Tappen said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">But even that good news is tempered by the reality that nonoil sectors of the economy depend to a large degree on oil.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">That includes the strong transportation and warehousing sector, which accounts for a little over 14% of Alaska\u2019s total gross domestic product and is among the sectors with the highest real growth. More than half of the sector\u2019s output is directly tied to the oil industry, Tappen pointed out.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Other sectors with notable growth, averaging around 3% annually, were leisure and hospitality, construction, private health and education. The oil-dominated mining sector declined at an average annual rate of 2.6%, and the natural resources sector, which includes seafood harvesting, declined at an annual average of 3.9%, Tappen\u2019s research found.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Gross domestic product is just one measure of an economy, Tappen\u2019s article points out. There are other measures, including employment and income.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph\">Originally published by the <a href=\"https:\/\/alaskabeacon.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Alaska Beacon<\/a>, an independent, nonpartisan news organization that covers Alaska state government.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Shipping containers are moved at the Don Young Port of Alaska on November 22, 2024. (Marc Lester \/&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3628,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[64,4687,4688,79,4689,4690,67,132,68],"class_list":{"0":"post-3627","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-cargo","10":"tag-dock","11":"tag-economy","12":"tag-port-of-alaska","13":"tag-shipping","14":"tag-united-states","15":"tag-unitedstates","16":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/114723953489730686","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3627"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3627\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3628"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}