{"id":38822,"date":"2025-07-04T19:20:10","date_gmt":"2025-07-04T19:20:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/38822\/"},"modified":"2025-07-04T19:20:10","modified_gmt":"2025-07-04T19:20:10","slug":"more-americans-staying-on-unemployment-amid-slight-slowdown-of-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/38822\/","title":{"rendered":"More Americans Staying On Unemployment Amid \u2018Slight Slowdown\u2019 Of Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Topline<\/p>\n<p>The Department of Labor reported the number of Americans remaining on unemployment benefits multiple times rose to its highest level since 2021\u2014indicating the labor market might be slightly softening, experts say, although largely remaining stable in the face of economic uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">About 1,974,000 Americans remained on unemployment rolls in June, the Department of Labor reported &#8230; More last month.<\/p>\n<p>Copyright 2020 The Associated Press. All rights reservedKey Facts<\/p>\n<p>The number of Americans continuing to apply for unemployment benefits rose in June to its highest level since November 2021, with 1,974,000 receiving continuing claims, according to the Department of Labor\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dol.gov\/sites\/dolgov\/files\/OPA\/newsreleases\/ui-claims\/20251082.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.dol.gov\/sites\/dolgov\/files\/OPA\/newsreleases\/ui-claims\/20251082.pdf\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.dol.gov\/sites\/dolgov\/files\/OPA\/newsreleases\/ui-claims\/20251082.pdf\" aria-label=\"most recent data\">most recent data<\/a> released June 26, adjusted for seasonal discrepancies.<\/p>\n<p>The number of Americans applying for new unemployment benefits decreased over the same period by about 241,500, while the economy <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2025\/07\/03\/labor-market-stays-afloat-as-hiring-tops-forecasts-again\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2025\/07\/03\/labor-market-stays-afloat-as-hiring-tops-forecasts-again\/\" data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/dereksaul\/2025\/07\/03\/labor-market-stays-afloat-as-hiring-tops-forecasts-again\/\" aria-label=\"added roughly 147,000 jobs\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">added roughly 147,000 jobs<\/a> in June, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\" aria-label=\"most recent report\">most recent report<\/a> published on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>The most recent <a href=\"https:\/\/adpemploymentreport.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/adpemploymentreport.com\/\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/adpemploymentreport.com\/\" aria-label=\"ADP Employment Report\">ADP Employment Report<\/a> released on Wednesday found that private sector employment shrank by 33,000 jobs in June after months of declining growth.<\/p>\n<p>And while jobs in some sectors, including construction, manufacturing and trade and transportation grew slightly, larger losses in the service-providing industries including education, professional services, and finance spurred negative job growth for the first time since March 2023, according to ADP\u2019s data.<\/p>\n<p>These figures have not seen major changes since January, Dr. Ioana Marinescu, an economics professor at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania told Forbes, which she said was \u201csurprising given the turmoil that\u2019s going on and the high level of policy uncertainty.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>How Are Experts Interpreting This Data?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe fact that the continuing claims are rising more would mean that people are beginning to be unemployed for longer,\u201d Marinescu told Forbes. \u201cAnd so for that reason, if the economy is slowing down just a tiny bit, some of those people who maybe were unemployed for longer, now they might find it a tiny bit harder to get into the door.\u201d Marinescu said the hiring outlook is also a bit tougher for more inexperienced workers trying to land a first job, such as recent college graduates.<\/p>\n<p>How Are Recent College Graduates Faring?<\/p>\n<p>One group that has seen a particularly tough job market are young people entering the workforce after finishing college. The unemployment rate for recent college graduates between the ages of 22 to 27 rose to 5.8% in the first quarter of 2025, according to data from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorkfed.org\/research\/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.newyorkfed.org\/research\/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.newyorkfed.org\/research\/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment\" aria-label=\"Federal Reserve\">Federal Reserve<\/a>. That\u2019s much higher than the 2.7% unemployment rate for all college graduates, suggesting that entering the job market is getting harder for young people even if they have a four-year degree. The unemployment rate for recent college graduates rose steadily during the Great Recession, finally peaking at 7.9% in 2010. That figure trended downward for a decade, according to the Fed\u2019s data, but spiked again when the COVID-19 pandemic hit in early 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Contra<\/p>\n<p>Marinescu said the numbers could point to a \u201cslight slowdown\u201d in the economy, but did not necessarily indicate a larger trend just yet, saying the shift was actually \u201csurprisingly small\u201d given the amount of economic policy uncertainty, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.policyuncertainty.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.policyuncertainty.com\/\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.policyuncertainty.com\/\" aria-label=\"citing data\">citing data<\/a> compiled by economists at Northwestern and Stanford. \u201cI would expect that businesses would be a little more concerned about hiring.\u201d Instead, hiring has remained fairly flat, albeit lower, than the previous year, Marinescu said.<\/p>\n<p>How Has The Fed Responded?<\/p>\n<p>Despite the stagnant numbers, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has resisted lowering interest rates to stimulate the economy, primarily citing economic uncertainty <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/01\/powell-confirms-that-the-fed-would-have-cut-by-now-were-it-not-for-tariffs.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/01\/powell-confirms-that-the-fed-would-have-cut-by-now-were-it-not-for-tariffs.html\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/01\/powell-confirms-that-the-fed-would-have-cut-by-now-were-it-not-for-tariffs.html\" aria-label=\"at least partially driven\">at least partially driven<\/a> by President Donald Trump\u2019s tariff policy implemented earlier this year. He also cited largely stable conditions in the labor market for keeping rates stable, telling reporters \u201cthe labor market is not crying out for a rate cut,\u201d in June. \u201cOverall, a wide set of indicators suggests that conditions in the labor market are broadly in balance and consistent with maximum employment,\u201d Powell wrote in his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/testimony\/powell20250624a.htm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"color-link\" title=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/testimony\/powell20250624a.htm\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/testimony\/powell20250624a.htm\" aria-label=\"June 24 report\">June 24 report<\/a> to Congress. \u201cThe labor market is not a source of significant inflationary pressures.\u201d Powell pointed to the overall unemployment rate, which ticked down to 4.1% in June, as well as moderating wage growth on track to outpace inflation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Topline The Department of Labor reported the number of Americans remaining on unemployment benefits multiple times rose to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":38823,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[64,420,67,132,68],"class_list":{"0":"post-38822","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-jobs","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-jobs","10":"tag-united-states","11":"tag-unitedstates","12":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/114796588199785773","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38822","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38822"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38822\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38823"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38822"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38822"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38822"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}