{"id":391021,"date":"2025-11-20T00:17:17","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T00:17:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/391021\/"},"modified":"2025-11-20T00:17:17","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T00:17:17","slug":"espn-ranks-sec-football-teams-from-first-to-last-after-week-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/391021\/","title":{"rendered":"ESPN ranks SEC Football teams from first to last after Week 12"},"content":{"rendered":"

With just two weeks left in the 2025 regular season, Power Four conference races are nearing their climax as contenders continue to battle it out for a chance to compete in their league championship game in three weeks. It\u2019s especially intense in the SEC, where four teams are still in the mix to make it to Atlanta for the SEC Championship Game.<\/p>\n

The\u00a0ESPN Football Power Index<\/strong>\u2019s latest update continues to favor three of those SEC contenders \u2014 No. 10 Alabama<\/a><\/strong>, No. 4 Georgia<\/a><\/strong>, and No. 3 Texas A&M<\/a><\/strong> \u2014 over the rest of the field ahead of the Week 13 slate. ESPN\u2019s FPI is a measure of a team\u2019s strength as the best predictor of a team\u2019s potential performance moving forward through the rest of the regular season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.<\/p>\n

With that in mind, here\u2019s how\u00a0ESPN\u2019s FPI ranked the SEC\u2019s 16 teams through the first 12 weeks<\/a> of the regular season:<\/p>\n

The SEC has a new leader in the clubhouse after the Bulldogs overtook Alabama for the top spot in FPI\u2019s updated ranking following Week 12\u2019s shakeup that saw Georgia dominate No. 10 Texas in Athens and the Crimson Tide losing to Oklahoma in Tuscaloosa.<\/p>\n

ESPN\u2019s FPI gives the Bulldogs the SEC\u2019s best chance to not only make the College Football Playoff<\/strong> national championship (26.9%) but win it (13.6%), with undefeated Texas A&M just behind in both. Georgia is also among three SEC teams with a greater-than-80% chance to make the Playoffs (98.8%).<\/p>\n

\"AlabamaGary Cosby Jr.-Imagn Images)<\/p>\n

Despite sliding six spots in the latest CFP Top 25, the two-loss Crimson Tide dropped just one spot in the FPI and are still viewed quite favorably by ESPN\u2019s analytics, which still gives Alabama the best chance to win the SEC at 36.6%, just ahead of Georgia\u2019s 34.4.<\/p>\n

That said, the FPI dropped the Tide\u2019s chances of reaching the Playoffs to 62.9% and just a 7.9% chance of making the national championship game, both of which rank fourth in the SEC, following Saturday\u2019s surprising home loss to Oklahoma. <\/p>\n

As one of just three undefeated teams remaining in college football, and the only in the SEC, the Aggies are still facing disrespect from FPI\u2019s analytics. That included giving Texas A&M the league\u2019s 10th-best chances (25.6%) of winning out with a Nov. 28 road game at rival Texas still ahead.<\/p>\n

Beyond that, though, the Aggies still rank in the Top 3 in the SEC in multiple categories, including leading the way with a 99.5% chance to make the Playoffs, ranking second to both make the national title game (17.9%) and win it (7.2%), and having the third-best chances at winning the SEC (26.4%).<\/p>\n

The Longhorns, meanwhile, held steady in fourth place in the FPI ranking despite being run out of Athens following Saturday\u2019s 35-10 loss to Georgia, which mathematically eliminated Texas from being able to make the SEC Championship Game next month.<\/p>\n

Atlanta aside, ESPN\u2019s analytics still gives the Longhorns a 42.5% chance to win out \u2014 suggesting odds favor them beating No. 3 Texas A&M in the regular-season finale \u2014 as well as a slight 7.1% to make the College Football Playoffs, which represents the SEC\u2019s seventh-best chances.<\/p>\n

\"MississippiPetre Thomas-Imagn Images<\/p>\n

While Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin<\/a><\/strong> keeps fans all over the SEC wondering what\u2019s next for him, ESPN\u2019s FPI reveals several reasons to favor Ole Miss, especially given its league-leading 71.0% chance to win out and the conference\u2019s third-best chances (84.4%) of making the Playoffs.<\/p>\n

On the flip side, given an earlier loss to Georgia, the Rebels need absolute chaos to unfold in order to make it to Atlanta with just a 2.6% chance to make the SEC title game. Though a weekend off might prove beneficial given Ole Miss\u2019 9.0% chance of making the national title game, behind only Georgia and A&M.<\/p>\n

Following Saturday\u2019s 23-21 win in Tuscaloosa, the Sooners skyrocketed up the latest CFP Top 25 rankings to No. 8, further helping Oklahoma\u2019s chances of backing into the Playoffs at 53.4%, which would rank as the league\u2019s fifth-best odds.<\/p>\n

Those odds are boosted by the Sooners\u2019 45.2% chances to win out at home in their final two games against No. 22 Missouri<\/strong> and LSU<\/strong>. A win Saturday against the Tigers would be Oklahoma\u2019s third-consecutive Top 25 victory, further strengthening its Playoff resume.<\/p>\n

ESPN\u2019s FPI ranking drops considerably for the SEC\u2019s bottom 10 programs, beginning with the Vols, which have just a 38.4% chance to win out and a meager 0.7% chance at making the Playoff field.<\/p>\n

While the Playoffs might be out of the question following its home loss to Oklahoma two weeks ago, Tennessee can still secure one of the top non-Playoff bowls while also spoiling the Playoff chances of in-state rival Vanderbilt <\/strong>in the regular-season finale Nov. 29.<\/p>\n

\"DiegoMark Zaleski-The Tennessean\/USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images<\/p>\n

The upstart Commodores continue to threaten to crash the College Football Playoffs in what is shaping out to be No. 14 Vanderbilt\u2019s best season in more than a decade. Even ESPN\u2019s FPI gives the \u2018Dores a 17.7% chance of making the Playoffs for the league\u2019s sixth-best odds entering Week 13.<\/p>\n

And while it\u2019s unlikely the SEC were to receive six Playoff bids, chaos could reign in the other Power Four conferences and pave the way for Vanderbilt to make the 12-team field, especially if it can knock off rival Tennessee in Knoxville for a second Top 25 win.<\/p>\n

The 22nd-ranked Tigers rebounded from back-to-back Top 10 losses to Vanderbilt and Texas A&M to rout Mississippi State<\/a><\/strong>, 49-27, last Saturday. And while a Playoff spot is out of the question, Missouri still has a chance to impact the number of SEC teams in the field.<\/p>\n

That begins with this Saturday\u2019s road game against No. 8 Oklahoma, whose own revived Playoff hopes following last weekend\u2019s road win over Alabama would likely be doomed with a home loss to the Tigers.<\/p>\n

10. LSU Tigers<\/a><\/strong> (6-4, 3-4 SEC) \u2014 12.4<\/p>\n

Amid what has been a disappointing season for the Bayou Bengals, LSU fans are more focused on who will replace the fired Brian Kelly<\/a><\/strong> as the Tigers next head coach than anything happening on the field at the moment.<\/p>\n

Still, interim LSU coach Frank Wilson<\/strong> has things moving in the right direction after ending the Tigers\u2019 three game losing streak \u2014 during which Kelly was fired \u2014 with last Saturday\u2019s 23-22 victory over Arkansas<\/a><\/strong>. Can LSU do it again in two weeks against Oklahoma?<\/p>\n

Rest of the SEC in the FPI<\/p>\n

11. Auburn Tigers<\/a> (4-6, 1-6 SEC) \u2014 11.1
12. South Carolina Gamecocks<\/a> (3-7, 1-7 SEC) \u2014 9.2
13. Kentucky Wildcats<\/a> (5-5, 2-5 SEC) \u2014 8.7
14. Florida Gators<\/a> (3-7, 2-5 SEC) \u2014 8.6
15. Arkansas Razorbacks<\/a> (2-8, 0-6 SEC) \u2014 7.7
16. Mississippi State Bulldogs<\/a> (5-6, 1-6 SEC) \u2014 5.7<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"With just two weeks left in the 2025 regular season, Power Four conference races are nearing their climax…\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":391022,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[1318,1317,1315,1316,62,67,132,68],"class_list":{"0":"post-391021","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ncaa-football","8":"tag-football","9":"tag-ncaa","10":"tag-ncaa-football","11":"tag-ncaafootball","12":"tag-sports","13":"tag-united-states","14":"tag-unitedstates","15":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/115579155944165497","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/391021","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=391021"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/391021\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/391022"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=391021"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=391021"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=391021"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}