{"id":396258,"date":"2025-11-22T05:42:43","date_gmt":"2025-11-22T05:42:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/396258\/"},"modified":"2025-11-22T05:42:43","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T05:42:43","slug":"is-colorados-car-market-flashing-a-check-engine-light-for-the-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/396258\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Colorado\u2019s car market flashing a check engine light for the economy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">This is a part of an occasional series looking at aspects of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpr.org\/2025\/11\/13\/colorado-economy-recession-explained\/?_gl=1*z1hf8b*_gcl_au*MTQ1MTk5ODM5Mi4xNzU4NTYyODA5LjU5MDk5NTIyMi4xNzYyMzkzNzYzLjE3NjIzOTM3NjM.*_ga*MTA1NTQ4NDEwNi4xNzU4NTYyODEw*_ga_Z6E7CTKBP0*czE3NjM2ODY3NTckbzM4JGcxJHQxNzYzNjkxMTEwJGo1OCRsMCRoMA..\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Colorado\u2019s faltering economy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The market for new cars in the U.S. hit a significant milestone in September. For the first time, the average price topped <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/antoniopequenoiv\/2025\/10\/13\/average-us-new-car-price-surpasses-50000-an-all-time-high-amid-surging-ev-sales\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$50,000<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s causing some major sticker shock for buyers. And it\u2019s not the only indicator of whether the industry might be sputtering, which has implications for the overall economy.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s a look at three factors at play in the state and beyond.<\/p>\n<p>The EV Craze consumed Colorado<\/p>\n<p>Bridget Myers of Boulder remembers when $50,000 could buy a home decades ago. And when she needed a new car, the price tags she saw led her to leasing an electric vehicle. Her first.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s because the deal she got on a new Nissan Leaf was too good to pass up.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey had a rebate system, so it was very economical,\u201d she said. \u201cInstead of paying several hundred a month, I have a leased vehicle that costs $54.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And she\u2019s not alone. Many Coloradans rushed to buy or lease EVs, lured in by those attractive\u00a0incentives.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/251023-ELECTRIC-VEHICLES-CARS-EV-1-1024x683.jpg\"\/>Kevin J. Beaty\/DenveriteA new Buzze electric vehicle charging station juices up a Ford truck at Koelbel and Company&#8217;s Sienna on Sloans Lake affordable apartments. Oct. 23, 2025.<\/p>\n<p>In the third quarter of this year, battery-powered EVs made up 26.4% of the cars registered in Colorado. That big spike was largely due to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpr.org\/2025\/09\/03\/spike-in-ev-sales-before-tax-credits-end\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">federal tax credits going away<\/a> right before October. Over that same period, more than 438,000 EVs were sold or leased in the U.S. That\u2019s a tenth of the total market share nationwide.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGood or bad, EVs were brought to us,\u201d Jeff Silverberg, general manager of John Elway Chevrolet in Englewood, said. \u201cIt wasn&#8217;t really the consumer pulling for them, it was more so the manufacturer, the governments certainly pushing them. Now, as a car dealer, I think most everyone in my position would agree, I will sell anything.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And that includes selling EVs with savings that were \u201cgenerationally good,\u201d Silverberg said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere&#8217;s no calculator on Earth that says a $70,000 vehicle should lease for $249. Certainly not a good one. And that&#8217;s what we saw.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Screaming deals on EVs also helped fill the growing void of compact and budget cars. While cheaper sedans like the Ford Focus have gone away, others like the Toyota Corolla <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thecarconnection.com\/tips\/economy\/1144163_cheapest-new-cars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">keep getting more expensive<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As for Myers, leasing her Nissan Leaf was also about finding something environmentally friendly. But with the federal rebates now gone and state rebates taking a hit too, that could turn the EV market on its head. And when her lease is up, Myers isn\u2019t sure what she\u2019ll do.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat we would look at is: Is it cost-effective? Would we buy this car outright? Would we continue just to lease it? Does our lease rate go up?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Manufacturers and dealers are hedging their bets<\/p>\n<p>Tommy Mica and his dad, Roman, run <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UC6S0jAvcapqJ48ZzLfva12g\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Fast Lane<\/a> (TFL) Car. Roman\u2019s a former TV reporter, and now they\u2019re content creators who cover the auto industry, and they say automakers seem unsure about the economic future.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOn the face of it, things seem good. The sales numbers are still strong,\u201d Tommy said. \u201cBut I get that there&#8217;s this underlying tone across the majority of manufacturers [that] things are not OK.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"SILENT RECESSION CAR SALES\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/20251119-silent-recession-cars-nff-hwv-002.jpg\"\/>Nathan Fernando-Fescas\/CPR NewsTommy Mica of TFL Car sits inside a 1989 Cadillac Allante convertible. He says he bought it for under $2,000.<\/p>\n<p>TFL Car gets millions of views a month across its social media channels. The Micas have 22 acres of testing grounds near Berthoud, and they\u2019re all about automotive performance. But they\u2019ve also got their fingers on the pulse of the car economy.<\/p>\n<p>And right now, tariffs are a big wildcard.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBecause these are companies that move incredibly slowly,\u201d Tommy said. \u201cThey take years and years to make decisions, and they can&#8217;t make decisions if the laws are changing every couple of weeks.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And Tommy stressed that there\u2019s no such thing as an American-made car anymore.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYour cars are made from parts from around the world, and these companies are losing it trying to figure out how to keep the wheels on the bus, both literally and figuratively,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"SILENT RECESSION CAR SALES\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/20251119-silent-recession-cars-nff-hwv-003.jpg\"\/>Nathan Fernando-Fescas\/CPR NewsA vintage Chevrolet sits near the waiting area of John Elway Chevrolet in Englewood.<\/p>\n<p>For Silverberg of John Elway Chevrolet, he said manufacturers and dealers like his are trying to hedge.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCertainty is good for business, and positive certainty is even better than negative certainty. We don&#8217;t see a lot of certainty.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>On top of fewer EV incentives and tariffs increasing costs, buyers are also seeing high interest rates and all sorts of fees that can be tacked on when buying a vehicle.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo I think people are doing what is normal in human nature, which is keep your hands close to the vest when you&#8217;re not so sure about what&#8217;s going on,\u201d Silverberg said.<\/p>\n<p>What about the financials and the risks?<\/p>\n<p>To be clear, people are<a href=\"https:\/\/www.coxautoinc.com\/insights-hub\/cox-automotive-forecast-sept-2025-u-s-auto-sales-forecast\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> still buying vehicles<\/a>. But there are other trends to note.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>For one, nearly 20% of monthly payments for new cars are above $1,000, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.edmunds.com\/industry\/press\/average-down-payment-on-new-vehicles-falls-to-near-4-year-low-in-q3-as-affordability-pressures-persist-according-to-edmunds.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Edmunds<\/a>. That\u2019s tied to more sales of big SUVs, trucks and luxury vehicles. For used vehicles, those payments now make up over 6%, which is an all-time high.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"SILENT RECESSION CAR SALES\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/20251119-silent-recession-cars-nff-hwv-004.jpg\"\/>Nathan Fernando-Fescas\/CPR NewsBrand new 2025 Chevy SUVs gleam inside the main showroom of John Elway Chevrolet in Englewood.<\/p>\n<p>On top of bigger monthly payments, the average down payment is at its lowest in 4 years. Plus, many buyers are taking out <a href=\"https:\/\/www.news5cleveland.com\/money\/consumer\/cash-strapped-consumers-turning-to-84-month-car-loans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">longer-term loans<\/a>. And keeping up with payments over the long term could get really tough for some buyers.<\/p>\n<p>Shaun Davies, an associate professor of finance at the University of Colorado Boulder, points to subprime auto loans. Those are for people with poorer credit, and they tend to come with higher interest rates and fees.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDelinquency rates of 60 days plus on [those] payments is ticking upward,\u201d Davies said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>More than 6.5% of borrowers have defaulted on those loans recently, \u201cwhich is definitely concerning,\u201d Davies added.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat&#8217;s oftentimes the canary in the coal mine because these are the folks with the most limited access to credit.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It is just one measure, and Davies stressed that subprime auto loans typically account for 15 to 20% of all auto loans. But this rise suggests more households are being squeezed, with some having to choose between car payments and things like covering rent or buying groceries.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnd when we start seeing them pull back, that can be a sign or a warning sign of things to come for the general economy,\u201d Davies said.<\/p>\n<p>When gauging the overall health of our economy, Davies looks for different indicators. And he does point to one strong sign: Banks have a lot more capital on hand than they did right before the Great Recession.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe&#8217;re not horrible yet,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"SILENT RECESSION CAR SALES\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/20251119-silent-recession-cars-nff-hwv-001.jpg\"\/>Nathan Fernando-Fescas\/CPR NewsNumerous vintage vehicles sit in a large garage on the TFL Car ranch in Berthoud, Colorado. They include a Fiat, Porsche, Cadillac and Chevrolet (front to back). The selling price of these vehicles ranges from less than $1,000 to more than $40,000. TFL uses these vehicles in their online content, highlighting the interesting stories and features of each.<\/p>\n<p>Tommy Mica of TFL Car says the 1989 Cadillac Allante he bought used for around $2,000 is popular among his viewers, who love to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=vz9MAjovc50\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">watch videos about it<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is a tremendous amount of interest in cars that people can buy for under $5,000,\u201d he said. \u201cSo this is something that we&#8217;ve found a niche in; folks really want to see how far their dollar can go.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But the used market has gotten really expensive and competitive too, especially for cars made in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/money\/cars\/2025\/05\/29\/used-car-prices-hit-record-highs-2025\/83919095007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the last five years<\/a>. While reporting this story, other Coloradans said it made no sense to even consider buying used because the value just isn\u2019t there.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>And when it comes to buying a new car and getting the best deal, Mica urged shoppers not to be super picky.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is genuinely impossible to buy a bad new car,\u201d he said. \u201cUnless you get one of the very rare cases of a lemon, they are going to be reliable and safe and have good technology and be quiet and do your thing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2015\" height=\"431\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/cbbed77b-fd08-45cd-8d58-09138d8af7d4.jpg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Colorado\u2019s economy is flashing warning signs. Job growth has slowed to a trickle. Layoffs are inching up. The housing market is in a slump. Both the state and its biggest population center are struggling to plug massive budget holes. On top of all that, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpr.org\/tag\/government-shutdown\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">longest government shutdown<\/a> in history was weighing on the economy.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">The big question, though, is whether all the bleak data points to something more serious: recession. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpr.org\/2025\/11\/13\/colorado-economy-recession-explained\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">And the answer is complicated.<\/a> <\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Colorado Public Radio takes a look at what those warning signs might mean through the new series Silent Recession. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpr.org\/tag\/silent-recession\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read more stories in the series here<\/a>. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"This is a part of an occasional series looking at aspects of Colorado\u2019s faltering economy. The market for&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":396259,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[64,9577,187942,79,522,67,132,68,2536],"class_list":{"0":"post-396258","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-colorado-news","10":"tag-colorados-silent-recession","11":"tag-economy","12":"tag-transportation","13":"tag-united-states","14":"tag-unitedstates","15":"tag-us","16":"tag-vehicles"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/115591758875163138","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/396258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=396258"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/396258\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/396259"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=396258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=396258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=396258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}