{"id":454451,"date":"2025-12-18T00:52:11","date_gmt":"2025-12-18T00:52:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/454451\/"},"modified":"2025-12-18T00:52:11","modified_gmt":"2025-12-18T00:52:11","slug":"elon-musk-predicts-agi-by-2026-he-predicted-agi-by-2025-last-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/454451\/","title":{"rendered":"Elon Musk Predicts AGI by 2026 (He Predicted AGI by 2025 Last Year)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Elon Musk predicts that his company xAI could achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI) within the next couple of years, and maybe as soon as 2026, according to a new report from Business Insider<\/a>. If it feels like you\u2019ve heard that one before, it\u2019s probably because you have.<\/p>\n

Musk predicted the same thing in 2024, claiming AGI would be achieved by 2025. Take a look at any calendar, and you\u2019ll see that we\u2019re just a few weeks away from the end of 2025.<\/p>\n

\u201cHow long until AGI?\u201d asked Logan Kilpatrick<\/a>, the head of product at Google AI Studio, in May 2024.<\/p>\n

\u201cNext year,\u201d Musk replied, to which Kipatrick responded, \u201cBig if true.\u201d<\/p>\n

It wasn\u2019t true, of course. But Musk has a long history of, shall we say, optimistic<\/a> predictions about his own company\u2019s future accomplishments. And his predictions often have ulterior motives.<\/p>\n

Remember when Musk was making the most noise about the dangers of AI and worries that it could destroy the world? The billionaire signed on to a letter in March 2023<\/a> calling for a six month pause in all AI development. It was revealed less than a month later that Musk was secretly building his own AI project<\/a> at Twitter. By July 2023, Musk had officially announced the creation of xAI, the company that makes his Grok AI chatbot.<\/p>\n

The CEO wasn\u2019t earnestly worried about the risks posed by AI. He was just frustrated that OpenAI was way ahead at the time.<\/p>\n

Musk\u2019s treatment of AGI, or any new technology, largely depends on how he can hype his companies at any given point in time. And the perpetually prospect of achieving AGI, whether you think it would be good or bad for the world, helps drive investment in AI technology, the thing that seems to be propping up the entire U.S. economy at the moment<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The new report from Business Insider also says that Musk told xAI staff that investment in the private company was going well, with \u201caround $20 billion to $30 billion in funding per year.\u201d An email to xAI with questions about the report was met with an auto-response that simply said \u201cLegacy Media Lies.\u201d Musk has great contempt for the news media and previously had an auto-responder at Twitter that sent a poop emoji.<\/p>\n

Part of the problem in discussing AGI is that there\u2019s no single agreed upon a definition. As IBM describes it<\/a>, we\u2019ll have achieved AGI when artificial intelligence can \u201cmatch or exceed the cognitive abilities of human beings across any task.\u201d But obviously defining terms like \u201ccognitive abilities\u201d and \u201cany task\u201d is extremely complicated.<\/p>\n

Other folks like to define AGI as a kind of self-awareness that would make artificial intelligence more like humans. Instead of just regurgitating words from its training data, the AI would understand itself as a kind of consciousness. People in that camp are excited and\/or concerned about that theoretical tipping point because they assume it would be the start of the robot revolution and AI\u2019s attempt to destroy humanity. Musk has hyped those fears tremendously, though he\u2019s backed off recently.<\/p>\n

Absent large robotic armies, achieving AGI in the present day with a system that loathes humanity would probably look more like the 1970 sci-fi movie Colossus: The Forbin Project<\/a>, where non-humanoid systems engage nuclear weapons systems to threaten the world. We don\u2019t really have the advanced humanoid robots for a Terminator 2 situation just yet.<\/p>\n

But Musk is working on that too. He predicts Tesla will produce 1 million humanoid Optimus robots per year within the next five years, and they\u2019ll even be babysitting your kids<\/a>. He just needs to figure out how to get Optimus working without teleoperation<\/a> before all of that can happen.<\/p>\n

Who knows? AGI could magically be achieved in the next few weeks, and maybe Musk\u2019s old prediction will come true. But the billionaire also has another prediction deadline just over the horizon. Back in October, Musk told Joe Rogan he\u2019d demonstrate a flying car<\/a> by the end of this year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Elon Musk predicts that his company xAI could achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI) within the next couple of…\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":421272,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[21753,691,738,66,34949,158,67,132,68,744],"class_list":{"0":"post-454451","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-agi","9":"tag-ai","10":"tag-artificial-intelligence","11":"tag-elon-musk","12":"tag-grok","13":"tag-technology","14":"tag-united-states","15":"tag-unitedstates","16":"tag-us","17":"tag-xai"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/115737837221366865","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454451","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=454451"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454451\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/421272"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=454451"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=454451"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=454451"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}