{"id":475049,"date":"2025-12-27T13:42:12","date_gmt":"2025-12-27T13:42:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/475049\/"},"modified":"2025-12-27T13:42:12","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T13:42:12","slug":"north-texas-vs-san-diego-state-prediction-odds-spread-2025-new-mexico-bowl-picks-from-proven-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/475049\/","title":{"rendered":"North Texas vs. San Diego State prediction, odds, spread: 2025 New Mexico Bowl picks from proven model"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Teams looking to finish their season on a high note meet when the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/college-football\/teams\/NTEXAS\/north-texas-mean-green\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">North Texas Mean Green<\/a> battle the <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/college-football\/teams\/SDGST\/san-diego-state-aztecs\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">San Diego State Aztecs<\/a> in the 2025 New Mexico Bowl on Saturday. UNT, who lost head coach Eric Morris to Oklahoma State, is coming off a 34-21 loss to Tulane in the American Conference Championship Game, while San Diego State finished its regular season with a 23-17 two-overtime loss at New Mexico on Nov. 28. The Mean Green (11-2), who finished tied for first in the American at 7-1, have won six of their last seven games. The Aztecs (9-3), who finished in a four-way tie for the Mountain West title, are 2-2 in their last four games. Star North Texas quarterback <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/college-football\/players\/29388141\/drew-mestemaker\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Drew Mestemaker<\/a> is playing in this game before then deciding on his future plans. SDSU starting quarterback <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/college-football\/players\/28875131\/jayden-denegal\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jayden Denegal<\/a> (shoulder) had surgery recently and will not play.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Kickoff from University Stadium in Albuquerque, N.M., is at 5:45 p.m. ET. The Mean Green are 6.5-point favorites in the latest North Texas vs. San Diego State odds, while the over\/under for total points scored is 52.5 via SportsLine consensus. Before making any North Texas vs. San Diego State picks,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/north-texas-vs-san-diego-state-odds-line-2025-college-football-picks-for-new-mexico-bowl-matchup-from-proven-model\/#ttag=12272025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_cfb_model_NorthTexasSanDiegoState\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>New users can target the\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><strong>DraftKings promo code<\/strong><\/a><strong>, which offers\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=draftkings&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\"><strong>$200 in bonus bets if your $5+ bet wins<\/strong><\/a><strong>:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is 31-19 on its top-rated college football money-line picks since the beginning of the 2024 season.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Now, the model has set its sights on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/college-football\/game-forecast\/NCAAF_20251227_NTEXAS@SDGST\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">North Texas vs. San Diego State<\/a>. You can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/north-texas-vs-san-diego-state-odds-line-2025-college-football-picks-for-new-mexico-bowl-matchup-from-proven-model\/#ttag=12272025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_cfb_model_NorthTexasSanDiegoState\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit SportsLine now to see the picks<\/a>. Here are the FBS <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/college-football\/odds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">college football odds<\/a> and trends for SDSU vs. North Texas:<\/p>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>North Texas vs. San Diego State                                                                                                                                                                 spread<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>North Texas -6.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>North Texas vs. San Diego State                                                                                                                                                             over\/under<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>52.5 points<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>North Texas vs. San Diego State                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             money line\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>North Texas -231, San Diego State +190<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>North Texas vs. San Diego State                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     picks<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/north-texas-vs-san-diego-state-odds-line-2025-college-football-picks-for-new-mexico-bowl-matchup-from-proven-model\/#ttag=12272025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_cfb_model_NorthTexasSanDiegoState\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See picks at SportsLine<\/a><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>North Texas vs. San Diego State                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       streaming\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fubo.tv\/welcome\/leagues\/191261?irad=399332&amp;irmp=416484&amp;sharedid=HTW\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">Fubo<\/a>\u00a0(Try for free) \u00a0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<p><strong>New users can also check out the latest\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/fanduel-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><strong>FanDuel promo code<\/strong><\/a><strong>\u00a0and\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=fanduel&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\"><strong>get $250 in bonus bets at FanDuel if your $5 bet wins<\/strong><\/a><strong>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>How to make North Texas vs. San Diego State picks<\/p>\n<p>SportsLine&#8217;s model is <strong>going Over (52.5) on the total.<\/strong> The Over has hit in three of North Texas&#8217; last four games.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The model has Mestemaker throwing for more than 365 yards and three touchdowns, while San Diego  State running back <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/college-football\/players\/28922964\/lucky-sutton\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lucky Sutton<\/a> rushes for more than 110 yards and one touchdown. The teams are projected to combine for 59 points as the Over clears in well over 50% of simulations.<\/p>\n<p>The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/north-texas-vs-san-diego-state-odds-line-2025-college-football-picks-for-new-mexico-bowl-matchup-from-proven-model\/#ttag=12272025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_cfb_model_NorthTexasSanDiegoState\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">You can see the model&#8217;s pick at SportsLine<\/a>. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>So who wins North Texas vs. San Diego State, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/north-texas-vs-san-diego-state-odds-line-2025-college-football-picks-for-new-mexico-bowl-matchup-from-proven-model\/#ttag=12272025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_cfb_model_NorthTexasSanDiegoState\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the North Texas vs. San Diego State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that&#8217;s up on its top-ranked money-line and total picks<\/a>, and find out.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Teams looking to finish their season on a high note meet when the North Texas Mean Green battle&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":475050,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5134],"tags":[5229,17530,1582,276,1428,215275,215277,215276,74060,215272,215273,215274,3549,13875,7264,67,586,132,5230,68,2969],"class_list":{"0":"post-475049","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-san-diego","8":"tag-america","9":"tag-betting","10":"tag-ca","11":"tag-california","12":"tag-college-football","13":"tag-new-mexico-bowl-game-odds","14":"tag-new-mexico-bowl-game-predictions","15":"tag-new-mexico-bowl-picks","16":"tag-north-texas-mean-green","17":"tag-north-texas-san-diego-state-odds","18":"tag-north-texas-san-diego-state-picks","19":"tag-north-texas-san-diego-state-prediction","20":"tag-san-diego","21":"tag-san-diego-state-aztecs","22":"tag-sandiego","23":"tag-united-states","24":"tag-united-states-of-america","25":"tag-unitedstates","26":"tag-unitedstatesofamerica","27":"tag-us","28":"tag-usa"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/475049","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=475049"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/475049\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/475050"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=475049"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=475049"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=475049"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}