{"id":491481,"date":"2026-01-04T09:50:12","date_gmt":"2026-01-04T09:50:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/491481\/"},"modified":"2026-01-04T09:50:12","modified_gmt":"2026-01-04T09:50:12","slug":"nfl-week-18-playoff-scenarios-with-nfc-west-title-settled-whats-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/491481\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 18 playoff scenarios: With NFC West title settled, what\u2019s next?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With one day left in the NFL regular season, 12 of the 14 seeds in the postseason bracket remain undecided.<\/p>\n<p>Nary a seed in the AFC has been solidified, including the No. 1 spot and the first-round bye that comes with it. That seed will go to either the Denver Broncos, New England Patriots or Jacksonville Jaguars, with the Jags the lone team that could land anywhere from No. 1 to No. 7 in the AFC.<\/p>\n<p>The top seed in the NFC was finally decided Saturday night with the Seattle Seahawks\u2019 win over the San Francisco 49ers in the Bay Area, but there\u2019s plenty more to be determined in that conference, too. In fact, things are so absurd in the NFC South that a game between teams guaranteed to miss the playoffs will now determine whether the Carolina Panthers (8-9) or Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9) represent the division with the NFC\u2019s No. 4 seed.<\/p>\n<p>A graphic breakdown of all the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/interactive\/nfl-playoff-picture-week-18-scenarios\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Week 18 playoff seeding scenarios can be found here<\/a>. Below is a listing of all the games with postseason stakes on the line, which matchups have been set and how each team with a shot at home-field advantage in the first round can clinch a top-four seed Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>AFC<\/p>\n<p><strong>MATCHUPS SET:<\/strong><br \/>No. 1 seed and first-round bye: TBD<br \/>No. 7 seed TBD at No. 2 seed TBD<br \/>No. 6 seed TBD at No. 3 seed TBD<br \/>No. 5 seed TBD at No. 4 seed TBD<\/p>\n<p><strong>CLINCHED BUT SEED NOT SET:<br \/><\/strong>Denver Broncos (13-3) \u2014 AFC West<br \/>New England Patriots (13-3) \u2014 AFC East<br \/>Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4) \u2014 playoff berth<br \/>Houston Texans (11-5) \u2014 playoff berth<br \/>Buffalo Bills (11-5) \u2014 AFC Wild Card berth<br \/>Los Angeles Chargers (11-5) \u2014 AFC Wild Card berth<\/p>\n<p>AFC EastMiami Dolphins (7-9) at\u00a0New England Patriots (13-3)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 4:25 p.m. (ET), Fox<\/p>\n<p><strong>New England is the AFC No. 1 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. New England win + Denver loss or tie OR<\/p>\n<p>2. New England tie + Denver loss<\/p>\n<p><strong>New England is the AFC No. 2 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. New England win + Denver win OR<\/p>\n<p>2. New England tie + Denver tie OR<\/p>\n<p>3. New England loss or tie + Jacksonville loss or tie<\/p>\n<p><strong>New England is the AFC No. 3 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. New England loss + Jacksonville win<\/p>\n<p>New York Jets (3-13) at Buffalo Bills (11-5)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 4:25 p.m. (ET), CBS<\/p>\n<p>Buffalo\u2019s division title hopes faded last week with a loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Bills could fall anywhere between the Nos. 5 and 7 seeds, with a loss to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6932075\/2026\/01\/01\/new-york-jets-worst-teams-ever\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">potentially the worst team in Jets history<\/a> guaranteeing the latter.<\/p>\n<p>AFC NorthBaltimore Ravens (8-8) at Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 8:20 p.m. (ET), NBC<\/p>\n<p><strong>Baltimore is AFC North champion and the AFC No. 4 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Baltimore win<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pittsburgh is AFC North champion and the AFC No. 4 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Pittsburgh win or tie<\/p>\n<p>This is as straightforward as it gets, hence the prime-time slot. One question hovering over the festivities: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6934376\/2026\/01\/02\/mike-tomlin-john-harbaugh-hot-seat-ravens-steelers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Could this be the end for Mike Tomlin or John Harbaugh<\/a>?<\/p>\n<p>  AFC SouthTennessee Titans (3-13) at\u00a0Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 1 p.m. (ET), Fox<\/p>\n<p><strong>Jacksonville is AFC South champion and the AFC No. 1 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Jacksonville win + Denver loss + New England loss<\/p>\n<p><strong>Jacksonville is AFC South champion and the AFC No. 2 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Jacksonville win + New England win + Denver loss OR<\/p>\n<p>2. Jacksonville win + Denver win + New England loss<\/p>\n<p><strong>Jacksonville is AFC South champion and the AFC No. 3 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Jacksonville loss + Houston loss or tie OR<\/p>\n<p>2. Jacksonville win + Denver win + New England win<\/p>\n<p>Indianapolis Colts (8-8) at Houston Texans (11-5)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 1 p.m. (ET), CBS<\/p>\n<p><strong>Houston is AFC South champion and the AFC No. 3 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Houston win + Jacksonville loss<\/p>\n<p>Yes, the Texans still have a chance at winning the AFC South. But given that it hinges on the 3-13 Titans winning in Jacksonville, that chance could best be described as slim. More likely than not, this team is the No. 5 seed and hitting the road to play whoever wins the AFC North rock fight between Pittsburgh and Baltimore.<\/p>\n<p>AFC WestLos Angeles Chargers (11-5) at\u00a0Denver Broncos (13-3)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 4:25 p.m. (ET), CBS<\/p>\n<p><strong>Denver is the AFC No. 1 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Denver win OR<\/p>\n<p>2. Denver tie + New England loss or tie OR<\/p>\n<p>3. New England loss + Jacksonville loss or tie<\/p>\n<p><strong>Denver is the AFC No. 2 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Denver loss + New England win + Jacksonville loss OR<\/p>\n<p>2. Denver loss + Jacksonville win + New England loss<\/p>\n<p><strong>Denver is the AFC No. 3 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Denver loss + New England win + Jacksonville win<\/p>\n<p>The Chargers\u2019 chances of taking the AFC West away from the Broncos disappeared with last week\u2019s home loss to Houston. Like the Bills, their seed possibilities range from No. 5 to No. 7, with a second straight opening-round game on the road guaranteed. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6927430\/2025\/12\/29\/chargers-rest-justin-herbert-broncos-top-seed-afc\/?source=athletic_scoopcity_newsletter&amp;campaign=16285172&amp;userId=30362515\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert<\/a> is sitting this one out in the Mile High City, which goes a long way toward explaining why the Broncos are 13.5-point favorites on BetMGM.<\/p>\n<p>NFC<\/p>\n<p><strong>SEEDS\/MATCHUPS SET:<br \/><\/strong>No. 1 seed and first-round bye: Seattle Seahawks (14-3)<br \/>No. 7 Green Bay Packers (9-6-1) at No. 2 TBD<br \/>No. 6 TBD at No. 3 TBD<br \/>No. 5 TBD at No. 4 TBD<\/p>\n<p><strong>CLINCHED BUT SEED NOT SET:<br \/><\/strong>Chicago Bears (11-5) \u2014 NFC North<br \/>Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) \u2014 NFC East<br \/>San Francisco 49ers (12-5) \u2014 NFC Wild Card berth<br \/>Los Angeles Rams (11-5) \u2014 NFC Wild Card berth<\/p>\n<p>NFC EastWashington Commanders (4-12) at Philadelphia Eagles (11-5)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 4:25 p.m. (ET), CBS<\/p>\n<p><strong>Philadelphia is the NFC No. 2 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Philadelphia win + Chicago loss or tie<\/p>\n<p><strong>Philadelphia is the NFC No. 3 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Chicago win OR<\/p>\n<p>2. Philadelphia loss OR<\/p>\n<p>3. Philadelphia tie + Chicago tie<\/p>\n<p>The Eagles could still secure home-field advantage through the first two rounds with some help from Detroit, but coach <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6936130\/2026\/01\/02\/nfl-week-18-starters-inactives-resting-playoffs-draft\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nick Sirianni is sitting multiple key starters<\/a>, including quarterback Jalen Hurts.<\/p>\n<p>NFC NorthDetroit Lions (8-8) at Chicago Bears (11-5)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 4:25 p.m. (ET), Fox<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chicago is the NFC No. 2 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Chicago win OR<\/p>\n<p>2. Philadelphia loss OR<\/p>\n<p>3. Chicago tie + Philadelphia tie<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chicago is the NFC No. 3 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Chicago loss + Philadelphia win OR<\/p>\n<p>2. Chicago tie + Philadelphia win<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6936130\/2026\/01\/02\/nfl-week-18-starters-inactives-resting-playoffs-draft\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Green Bay Packers are starting third-string quarterback Clayton Tune<\/a> at Minnesota with the No. 7 seed already secured, and the Bears are playing for the right to host back-to-back playoff games at frigid Soldier Field. The Eagles\u2019 decision to sit several starters sure helps.<\/p>\n<p>NFC SouthNew Orleans (6-10) at Atlanta Falcons (7-9)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 1 p.m. (ET), Fox<\/p>\n<p><strong>Carolina Panthers (8-9) are NFC South champions and the NFC No. 4 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Atlanta Falcons win<\/p>\n<p><strong>Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9) are NFC South champions and the NFC No. 4 seed with:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1. Atlanta Falcons loss or tie<\/p>\n<p>The story of the NFC South? Two teams with losing records, both of which were eliminated from playoff contention long ago, will decide which of the other two teams in the division with losing records will get to host a first-round playoff game next week. Some reason for hope for the Panthers after Saturday\u2019s loss: Chris Olave, the Saints\u2019 top receiver, is not playing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6934146\/2026\/01\/01\/saints-chris-olave-out-falcons-blood-clot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">after receiving a blood-clot diagnosis<\/a>, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6932474\/2026\/01\/02\/atlanta-falcons-week-18-raheem-morris-terry-fontenot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Falcons have won three straight<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>NFC WestArizona Cardinals (3-13) at Los Angeles Rams (11-5)<\/p>\n<p>Sunday, 4:25 p.m. (ET), Fox<\/p>\n<p>The Rams can do no better than the No. 5 seed and no worse than the No. 6 seed after Monday night\u2019s stunning 27-24 loss at Atlanta. The calculus is simple: Win and get the No. 5 seed (with San Francisco getting No. 6); lose or tie and get the No. 6 (with San Francisco at No. 5).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"With one day left in the NFL regular season, 12 of the 14 seeds in the postseason bracket&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":491482,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[532,8995,8996,531,8999,9001,2505,8017,8986,9006,533,1232,1105,1545,9005,7149,62,3528,67,132,68],"class_list":{"0":"post-491481","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-sports","8":"tag-baltimore-ravens","9":"tag-buffalo-bills","10":"tag-carolina-panthers","11":"tag-chicago-bears","12":"tag-denver-broncos","13":"tag-green-bay-packers","14":"tag-houston-texans","15":"tag-jacksonville-jaguars","16":"tag-los-angeles-chargers","17":"tag-los-angeles-rams","18":"tag-new-england-patriots","19":"tag-nfl","20":"tag-philadelphia-eagles","21":"tag-pittsburgh-steelers","22":"tag-san-francisco-49ers","23":"tag-seattle-seahawks","24":"tag-sports","25":"tag-tampa-bay-buccaneers","26":"tag-united-states","27":"tag-unitedstates","28":"tag-us"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/115836212034710513","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/491481","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=491481"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/491481\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/491482"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=491481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=491481"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=491481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}