{"id":50738,"date":"2025-07-09T06:49:16","date_gmt":"2025-07-09T06:49:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/50738\/"},"modified":"2025-07-09T06:49:16","modified_gmt":"2025-07-09T06:49:16","slug":"trump-tariffs-portend-more-economic-troubles-for-south-korea-and-japan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/50738\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump tariffs portend more economic troubles for South Korea and Japan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>WASHINGTON, DC &#8211; JULY 7: An aide picks up a page from a letter to Japan and South Korea, signed by U.S. President Donald Trump, announcing 25% tariffs beginning on August 1st, during the daily press briefing in the Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House on July 7, 2025 in Washington, DC. <\/p>\n<p>Andrew Harnik | Getty Images News | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>In the first batch of &#8220;tariff letters&#8221; sent to trading partners, U.S. President Donald Trump took aim at two of the closest U.S. allies in Asia: Japan and South Korea \u2014 both are already bearing the brunt of the existing duties on auto and steel exports.<\/p>\n<p>Additional tariffs would further hurt these two exports-dependent economies that are grappling with a slowdown in growth, with Japan likely staring at a technical recession, or two straight quarters of economic contraction.<\/p>\n<p>Both <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/05\/16\/japan-economy-gdp-contracts-more-than-expected-0point2percent-from-prior-three-months.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Japan<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/04\/24\/south-korea-gdp-contracts-in-the-first-quarter.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">South Korea <\/a>saw first-quarter gross domestic product contract on a quarter-on-quarter basis.<\/p>\n<p>While South Korean imports to the U.S. face 25% tariffs, the same as Trump promised in April, the rate on Japan has been raised by 1 percentage point to 25%.<\/p>\n<p>Exports \u2014 including services \u2014 made up almost <a href=\"https:\/\/data.worldbank.org\/indicator\/NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS?locations=JP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">22% of Japan&#8217;s GDP in 2023<\/a>, according to the latest data from the World Bank, and <a href=\"https:\/\/data.worldbank.org\/indicator\/NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS?locations=KR\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">44% of South Korea&#8217;s GDP in 2023.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Currently, imports of automobiles and auto parts to the U.S. incur a 25% tariff, while steel and aluminum attract a 50% levy on most countries.<\/p>\n<p>Automobiles are Japan&#8217;s largest exports to the U.S. and are also among South Korea&#8217;s top exports. South Korea was also\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.trade.gov\/data-visualization\/us-steel-import-monitor\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the fourth-largest exporter of steel to the U.S.<\/a>\u00a0in 2024, according to the International Trade Administration under the U.S. Commerce Department.<\/p>\n<p>Japan&#8217;s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/japan-will-continue-trade-talks-with-us-pm-ishiba-says-2025-07-08\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">reportedly said<\/a> the country &#8220;actively seeks the chance of an agreement that benefits both countries, while protecting Japan&#8217;s national interest.&#8221; In May, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/business\/2025\/05\/11\/economy\/japan-continues-to-ask-for-auto-tariff-abolition\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ishiba said<\/a> that his country will not accept a deal that does not see the removal of auto tariffs.<\/p>\n<p>The newly announced tariffs will lower Japan&#8217;s GDP by 0.1 percentage point by end-2026, according to Norihiro Yamaguchi, Lead Japan Economist at Oxford Economics.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Given that the economy is already suffering from high tariffs on auto and elevated global trade policy uncertainly, and also weak consumption, the impact shouldn&#8217;t be dismissed,&#8221; he told CNBC <\/p>\n<p>Yamaguchi said that Japan&#8217;s economy will &#8220;barely grow&#8221; in the second half of 2025 and in the first half of 2026, if not falling into a recession.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. is Japan&#8217;s largest export market, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.customs.go.jp\/toukei\/shinbun\/trade-st_e\/2024\/2024_117e.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">21.3 trillion yen ($145.76 billion) of shipments<\/a> to the country in 2024, while <a href=\"https:\/\/english.motie.go.kr\/eng\/article\/EATCLdfa319ada\/2185\/view#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">South Korea exported goods worth $127.8 billion to the U.S.<\/a> in the same year, and counts the U.S. as its second-largest export market.<\/p>\n<p>Reflecting a &#8220;more intensified tariff policy stance,&#8221; the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bok.or.kr\/eng\/bbs\/E0000634\/view.do?nttId=10091648&amp;searchCnd=1&amp;searchKwd=&amp;depth2=400417&amp;depth3=400423&amp;depth=400423&amp;pageUnit=10&amp;pageIndex=1&amp;programType=newsDataEng&amp;menuNo=400423&amp;oldMenuNo=400423\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bank of Korea in May<\/a> nearly halved GDP growth estimates for 2025 to 0.8% from February&#8217;s projection of 1.5%.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The recovery in domestic demand has been delayed, while export growth is expected to slow further due to the impact of U.S. tariffs,&#8221; the BOK said.<\/p>\n<p>Frederic Neumann, Chief Asia Economist at HSBC told CNBC that should Japan and South Korea fail to reach a deal, these tariffs will pose &#8220;considerable headwinds to growth.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>Both Japan and South Korea are already facing sluggish domestic demand.<\/p>\n<p>Stock Chart IconStock chart icon<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static-redesign.cnbcfm.com\/dist\/a54b41835a8b60db28c2.svg\" class=\"Collapsible-dismissButton\" alt=\"hide content\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Offering a silver lining, Trump said that he was willing to &#8220;perhaps, consider an adjustment to this letter&#8221; if the countries were to open their &#8220;heretofore closed&#8221; markets to the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>Pressure tactics are being brought to bear on South Korea and Japan, said Vishnu Varathan, managing director at Mizuho Securities.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The frustration with Japan&#8217;s more principled and holistic approach (covering sectoral tariffs) stalling a deal being a source of frustration for U.S. trade negotiators, and crucially for Trump, speaks for itself.&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p>While Trump has not publicly expressed anger toward South Korea, Varathan said &#8220;it is not unimaginable that there are sticking points similar to Japan&#8217;s, thereby invoking the letter.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Markets, meanwhile, appear to be shrugging of the tariff threats \u2014 for now. HSBC&#8217;s Neumann said that Trump&#8217;s letters essentially amounts to a deadline extension for tariff negotiations by three weeks.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Financial markets are taking the latest news in their stride, focusing on the possibility that the threatened tariffs may still be whittled down through negotiation,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>Stock Chart IconStock chart icon<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static-redesign.cnbcfm.com\/dist\/a54b41835a8b60db28c2.svg\" class=\"Collapsible-dismissButton\" alt=\"hide content\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"WASHINGTON, DC &#8211; JULY 7: An aide picks up a page from a letter to Japan and South&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":50739,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[8000,81,7995,50,7997,130,103],"class_list":{"0":"post-50738","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-world","8":"tag-asia-economy","9":"tag-business-news","10":"tag-kospi-index","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-nikkei-225-index","13":"tag-trade","14":"tag-world"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/114821946708767082","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50738","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50738"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50738\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50739"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50738"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50738"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50738"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}