{"id":613705,"date":"2026-02-24T22:10:12","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T22:10:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/613705\/"},"modified":"2026-02-24T22:10:12","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T22:10:12","slug":"guardian-essential-poll-more-than-half-of-australians-open-to-voting-for-one-nation-despite-hansons-muslim-comments-one-nation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/613705\/","title":{"rendered":"Guardian Essential poll: more than half of Australians open to voting for One Nation despite Hanson\u2019s Muslim comments | One Nation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Nearly 60% of Australians say they would be open to voting for One Nation at the next federal election, with nearly half of those currently backing Labor saying they\u2019d consider backing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/pauline-hanson\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Pauline Hanson<\/a>, ringing alarm bells for both the government and Coalition about the march of the rightwing populist party.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Meanwhile Angus Taylor\u2019s appointment as Liberal leader has done little to boost the opposition\u2019s electoral fortunes so far, with its primary vote virtually unchanged and voters split about whether his spill of Sussan Ley would make them more or less likely to vote for the Coalition.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The latest Guardian <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/essential-poll\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Essential poll<\/a>, of 1,002 Australians last week, found a largely unchanged primary vote federally. Labor recorded a 30% primary, one point down from January, while the Coalition ticked up one point to 26%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">One Nation\u2019s primary vote was unchanged on 22%, with the Greens on 11% and 7% voting for independent or other groups, with 4% undecided.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Despite mounting controversies over One Nation \u2013 including Hanson\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2026\/feb\/20\/pauline-hanson-afp-federal-police-muslim-comments-ntwnfb\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">inflammatory comments about Muslims<\/a>, her stunt <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2025\/nov\/25\/pauline-hanson-suspended-from-senate-over-burqa-stunt-as-mehreen-faruqi-says-parliament-drips-in-racism\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">of wearing a burqa in the Senate<\/a>, and scrutiny about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2026\/feb\/03\/pauline-hanson-free-flight-gina-rinehart-hancock-ntwnfb\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">transparency and her relationship with billionaire Gina Rinehart<\/a> \u2013 the Essential poll has continued to show rising support for the party since at least October.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">In the same week Hanson <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2026\/feb\/18\/pauline-hanson-comments-australian-muslims-ntwnfb\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">refused to apologise for telling Sky News<\/a> \u201chow can you tell me there are good Muslims?\u201d, 58% of respondents to the Essential poll said they either would vote for One Nation, or were open to voting for them, at the next election due by 2028.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/email-newsletters?CMP=copyembed&amp;CMP=emailbutton\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sign up: AU Breaking News email<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Among all respondents, 25% said they would \u201cdefinitely\u201d back the rightwing populist party at the next election, with 33% saying they\u2019re \u201copen\u201d to it. Only 28% said they would \u201cnever vote for One Nation\u201d, with 14% unsure.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">One Nation\u2019s primary vote, surging from 6.4% of the lower house vote at the May 2025 election to nearly a quarter of voters in various published polls today, has worried the major parties \u2013 particularly the Coalition, with January\u2019s split by the Nationals and the opposition\u2019s rightward lurch being partly attributed to concerns about the rise of Hanson\u2019s party.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">But February\u2019s Essential poll finds a substantial number of Labor voters are also open to One Nation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Among respondents who said they voted for the Coalition, 17% said they would definitely vote One Nation next time, with a startling 51% saying they were open to doing so. Among Labor voters, 12% said they\u2019d definitely vote One Nation, with 33% saying they\u2019d be open to it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The polling period coincided with Angus Taylor\u2019s first full week as Liberal leader, after ousting former opposition leader <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/sussan-ley\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sussan Ley<\/a> in a party room coup the previous week.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Asked how Taylor\u2019s elevation would influence votes, 12% said they would be much more likely to vote Liberal, while 14% said \u201csomewhat more likely\u201d; conversely, 12% said they\u2019d be much less likely and 7% somewhat less likely to vote Liberal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Overall, 26% said they\u2019d be more likely and 19% less likely to vote for the Liberals under Taylor, with 14% replying \u201cdon\u2019t know\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Peter Lewis, executive director of Essential Media, said the major parties could not ignore the rise of Hanson\u2019s party.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cThe approach for 30 years has been to isolate One Nation. These numbers suggest that is no longer a viable strategy for either side of politics,\u201d Lewis said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cWith populists gaining traction around the globe, rather than cancelling her we need to understand what is driving her surging popularity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">One Nation\u2019s surge comes despite the lack of a workable policy agenda, including vague plans to deport 75,000 \u201cillegal immigrants\u201d and slash student and skilled work visas, to allow \u201ccitizens initiated referenda\u201d for constitutional change, and abolish the federal department of climate change, the National Indigenous Australians Agency and the Therapeutic Goods Administration.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Anthony Albanese, appearing on Karl Stefanovic\u2019s podcast on Tuesday, said One Nation\u2019s vote was increasing in polls as former Coalition voters looked for alternatives to the opposition, describing it as \u201cpeople expressing frustration with the system they think isn\u2019t working for them\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Albanese said his Labor government was focused on providing cost-of-living support, and said One Nation had opposed key government policies like legislating penalty rates.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cThat\u2019s the difference I have with a group like One Nation \u2026 they\u2019ll identify grievance but never come up with a single cost-of-living support, and indeed oppose all of those things.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">In December, former federal Labor president Wayne Swan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2025\/dec\/06\/wayne-swan-warns-labor-not-to-speak-to-australians-in-highly-stylised-political-way\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">warned of the potential<\/a> \u201cfor our primary vote to drop down below 30%, in a preferential voting system, for a Nigel Farage-type [rightwing] coalition to come along and sweep up the conservative parties and engage in a full-throated contest.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Swan also said Labor needed to be better at \u201cengaging with people and talking with them, and not at them\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Last September, Swan warned Labor had \u201cfailed to secure strong support from lower-income, lower-educated Australians\u201d, and said it needed to focus on an agenda around basic services like housing, health and tax. He described Labor\u2019s victory at the 2025 election as \u201cwide but shallow\u201d, raising concerns about a drop in the primary vote.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Nearly 60% of Australians say they would be open to voting for One Nation at the next federal&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":613706,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4740,50],"class_list":{"0":"post-613705","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"tag-australia","9":"tag-news"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/116127899742857918","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/613705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=613705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/613705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/613706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=613705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=613705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=613705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}