{"id":620719,"date":"2026-02-27T20:50:27","date_gmt":"2026-02-27T20:50:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/620719\/"},"modified":"2026-02-27T20:50:27","modified_gmt":"2026-02-27T20:50:27","slug":"our-favorite-picks-for-friday-february-27","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/620719\/","title":{"rendered":"Our favorite picks for Friday, February 27"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The ATP and WTA Tours are currently in full swing. We\u2019re just a week away from the start of the 2026 BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells, which is considered the \u201cfifth Slam.\u201d However, there\u2019s still some high-leverage tennis to be played before that, as the men are playing 500-level events in Dubai and Acapulco \u2014\u00a0while others are playing in Santiago (250). Meanwhile, the women are in either Merida (500) or Austin (250). With that in mind, we have a lot to cover over the next couple of days. I\u2019ll be writing up my tennis best bets from Monday to Friday, then I\u2019ll post my championship picks on the VSiN Pro Picks page for Sunday. That said, keep reading for my tennis best bets for Friday, February 27.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/data.vsin.com\/propicks\/sport\/?sportid=tennis&amp;timeframe=current&amp;_gl=1*163z9nn*_ga*NDI3MjY1MTk0LjE3MDQzMjU4MTU.*_ga_9JYMWSCRCK*czE3NzA2NzY3MTQkbzckZzAkdDE3NzA2NzY3MTUkajYwJGwwJGgw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">RELATED: Check out the VSiN picks page for picks and best bets from all of our talented VSiN hosts and analysts! <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Gill Alexander, host of A Numbers Game, posts a bunch of tennis plays to the VSiN picks page. He does a great job handicapping tennis. That page is also where I post all of my Challenger-level picks + plays for all of the tournaments I\u2019m not writing up daily. <\/p>\n<p>Daniil Medvedev vs. Felix Auger Aliassime \u2013 Dubai <\/p>\n<p>Since the start of 2026, we have seen a better version of Medvedev than we have seen in quite some time. The Russian is 12-4 in the new year, and his hold percentage is up from 82.9% in 2025 to 83.3% in 2026. That serve keeps trending back up after a miserable 2024 season. Medvedev is also breaking at a 35.4% clip, plus his advanced stats at TennisViz are rather favorable. Well, when looking at those, I\u2019m particularly interested in Shot Quality on the return and the backhand wing. <\/p>\n<p>The courts in Dubai are very quick, so holds are coming easy to everyone. However, Medvedev\u2019s Return Quality is 7.7 and Auger-Aliassime\u2019s is 7.2. That edge when looking to break could make the difference here. I\u2019ll also have my eyes open for the backhand-to-backhand exchanges. Medvedev has one of the best two-handers on the planet, and his Backhand Quality is up at 8.0. Meanwhile, Auger-Aliassime\u2019s is down at 6.7. I just wouldn\u2019t be surprised if Medvedev breaks down Auger-Aliassime\u2019s two-hander, as he has done in previous meetings between these two. <\/p>\n<p>Medvedev is 7-2 against Auger-Aliassime in his career, and he\u2019s also 7-0 in the matches that they have completed on hard courts. Last year, Auger-Aliassime did have a 6-3 lead over the Russian in Doha, but Medvedev wasn\u2019t able to finish that match. So, perhaps that\u2019ll give the Canadian some confidence. But still, this is a pretty lopsided series, and there are reasons for it. Medvedev can get pressure on the Auger-Aliassime serve and attack the Canadian\u2019s biggest weakness from the back of the court. I don\u2019t see any reason that can\u2019t continue. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Bet: Medvedev ML (-125 \u2013 1.5 units) <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>NOTE: Due to how late the Acapulco matches start, it has been difficult to get them included in these articles. However, I am handicapping that event on the Pro Picks page. Check the day of matches \u2014\u00a0and a few hours before matches \u2014\u00a0to see if I have anything there.<\/p>\n<p>Added Plays<\/p>\n<p>I usually have A LOT MORE on the <a href=\"https:\/\/data.vsin.com\/propicks\/sport\/?sportid=tennis&amp;timeframe=current&amp;_gl=1*163z9nn*_ga*NDI3MjY1MTk0LjE3MDQzMjU4MTU.*_ga_9JYMWSCRCK*czE3NzA2NzY3MTQkbzckZzAkdDE3NzA2NzY3MTUkajYwJGwwJGgw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Pro Picks page<\/a>. Those plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I\u2019ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you\u2019re looking for action.<\/p>\n<p>Tennis Links\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/data.vsin.com\/tennis\/betting-splits\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">VSiN Tennis Betting Splits<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vsin.com\/odds\/tennis\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tennis Odds<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vsin.com\/podcast\/beating-the-book-podcast\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Gill Alexander\u2019s Beating The Book Podcast<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The ATP and WTA Tours are currently in full swing. We\u2019re just a week away from the start&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":620720,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[48],"tags":[1479,62,1464,67,132,68,2212],"class_list":["post-620719","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tennis","tag-atp","tag-sports","tag-tennis","tag-united-states","tag-unitedstates","tag-us","tag-wta"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/116144572295134307","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620719","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=620719"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620719\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/620720"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=620719"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=620719"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=620719"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}