{"id":678054,"date":"2026-03-24T09:55:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T09:55:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/678054\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T09:55:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T09:55:21","slug":"10000-expectations-in-spite-of-bear-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/678054\/","title":{"rendered":"$10,000 expectations in spite of bear market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Pakin Songmor | Moment | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Gold&#8217;s sharp selloff may have pushed the metal firmly into bear market territory, but some market veterans are sticking to ambitious long-term forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>Bullion extended its slide Tuesday, with spot prices falling as much as 2% before trimming losses to trade down 1.5% at $4,335.97 an ounce. Futures dropped about 2% to $4,317.80, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/XAG=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">silver<\/a> also declined.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The move leaves <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/XAU=\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">gold<\/a> \u2014 down roughly 21% from its late-January peak of $5,594.82 \u2014 firmly in a bear market.<\/p>\n<p>For many strategists, the recent slump reflects short-term dislocations rather than any shift in gold&#8217;s underlying fundamentals. Persistent geopolitical risks, strong central bank demand and the prospect of a weaker U.S. dollar continue to underpin a structural bull case for the metal. Gold is traditionally seen as a safe haven by investors during times of instability.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We are sticking with $10,000 by the end of the decade,&#8221; Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research told CNBC via email, even as he lowered his year-end forecast to $5,000 per ounce from $6,000 \u2014 which is still up around 15% from current levels.<\/p>\n<p>The latest leg lower came as investors unwound positions amid a stronger U.S. dollar and tentative signs of easing geopolitical tensions after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/03\/23\/trump-iran-war-power-plants-energy-infrastructure-middle-east.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. President Donald Trump<\/a> said on Monday he had ordered a five-day pause on planned strikes against Iran&#8217;s energy infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. dollar has been strengthening, which might have triggered profit-taking in gold, said market participants.<\/p>\n<p>Stock Chart IconStock chart icon<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static-redesign.cnbcfm.com\/dist\/a54b41835a8b60db28c2.svg\" class=\"Collapsible-dismissButton\" alt=\"hide content\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Gold prices since the start of the year.<\/p>\n<p>The dollar index has strengthened around 3% since the start of the war on Feb. 28.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the near-term weakness, strategists broadly view the selloff as an opportunity rather than a turning point.<\/p>\n<p>Justin Lin, investment strategist at Global X ETFs, said his base case for gold remains $6,000 per ounce by year-end, describing the recent drop as &#8220;a compelling entry point for investors.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The sell-off appears driven by a combination of short-term sensitivity to higher interest rates, portfolio rebalancing amid equity market weakness, and a degree of complacency around the ongoing conflict in Iran,&#8221; Lin said via email.<\/p>\n<p>Crucially, Lin emphasized that his bullish outlook does not depend on war-related risk premia.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Rather, it is built upon the broader backdrop of persistent geopolitical uncertainty, continued central bank demand, and sustained inflows from Asian gold ETF investors,&#8221; he said. <\/p>\n<p>That structural demand, particularly from emerging market central banks seeking to diversify reserves, is expected to provide a floor under prices. Lin added that there is a &#8220;high likelihood&#8221; central banks step up purchases following the recent selloff, helping stabilize the market.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/SCBFF\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Standard Chartered<\/a> also remains constructive, citing similar long-term drivers.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We remain constructive on gold over the longer term, underpinned by structural factors, including strong Emerging Market central bank demand and investor diversification amid geopolitical risks,&#8221; said the bank&#8217;s Senior Investment Strategist Rajat Bhattacharya, in an email to CNBC.<\/p>\n<p>The bank expects gold to rebound toward $5,375 per ounce over the next three months once the current phase of deleveraging subsides, with technical support seen around $4,100.<\/p>\n<p>A key catalyst for a recovery could be a weaker U.S. dollar, as markets anticipate the Federal Reserve will eventually cut rates.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A weaker U.S. dollar should once again support gold prices,&#8221; Bhattacharya said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Pakin Songmor | Moment | Getty Images Gold&#8217;s sharp selloff may have pushed the metal firmly into bear&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":678055,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[6],"tags":[261820,273282,285562,64,81,75964,69,282674,83,262218,141574,51282,157249,223247,67,132,68,273285,7999],"class_list":["post-678054","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-gc26j","tag-si26k","tag-agnico-eagle-mines-ltd","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-commodity-markets","tag-donald-trump","tag-franco-nevada-corp","tag-iran","tag-ishares-gold-trust","tag-justin-lin","tag-newmont-corporation","tag-spdr-gold-shares","tag-standard-chartered-plc","tag-united-states","tag-unitedstates","tag-us","tag-wheaton-precious-metals-corp","tag-world-markets"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/116283554453005104","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678054","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=678054"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678054\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/678055"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=678054"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=678054"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=678054"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}