{"id":72507,"date":"2025-07-18T11:28:09","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T11:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/72507\/"},"modified":"2025-07-18T11:28:09","modified_gmt":"2025-07-18T11:28:09","slug":"the-u-s-economy-does-not-look-down-and-out","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/72507\/","title":{"rendered":"The U.S. economy does not look down and out"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The New York Stock Exchange on April 8, 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Angela Weiss | Afp | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Despite the noise around tariffs and inflation fears, the U.S. economy seems to be holding its ground \u2014 for now. June\u00a0retail sales came in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/retail\/sales.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">stronger than expected<\/a>, and\u00a0weekly\u00a0jobless claims\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dol.gov\/ui\/data.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">dropped below forecasts<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Add to that a solid start to earnings season, and you&#8217;ve got a recipe for record highs: both the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched fresh peaks.<\/p>\n<p>So, is the economy truly resilient in the face of the Trump administration&#8217;s shifting trade winds? Or are we simply in the eye of the storm, with August 1 \u2014 the Trump tariff deadline \u2014 looming on the horizon?<\/p>\n<p>Remember, economic data is always a step behind. The real impact of tariffs may not show up for months, especially if businesses and consumers are stockpiling ahead of time\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/17\/kelly-evans-the-tariff-math.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">foreign exporters are cutting their prices<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Even when the new tariffs hit, the effects might be muted at first as inventories clear.<\/p>\n<p>Still, for now, investors can take comfort in the fact that markets are being lifted by fundamentals \u2014 not\u00a0just\u00a0fear or speculation.<\/p>\n<p>And yes, to borrow a line from Starship: the U.S. economy is still built on rock-solid data\u2026 not on rock and roll.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Lim Hui Jie<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline0\"\/>What you need to know today<\/p>\n<p><strong>Arbitrage versus market manipulation.<\/strong> The line between arbitrage and market manipulation has long been one of the grayest areas in financial markets \u2014 and India&#8217;s recent action against high-frequency trading giant Jane Street has brought that murky boundary into sharp focus. Experts <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/18\/jane-street-sebi-arbitrage-become-market-manipulation-mens-re-derivative-india-markets.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tell us the difference<\/a> between the two.<\/p>\n<p><strong>S&amp;P and Nasdaq storm to new records. <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/16\/stock-market-today-live-updates.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. stocks climbed Thursday<\/a> due to solid earnings and economic data, with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.SPX\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">S&amp;P 500<\/a> up 0.54% for a record close of 6,297.36 \u2014 its ninth this year. The tech-heavy <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/.IXIC\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nasdaq Composite<\/a> advanced 0.75% for its tenth record close of 2025, ending at 20,885.65. In Asia, Australian equities notched a record high as other markets traded mixed.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Trump AG seeks release of Epstein&#8217;s jury transcripts. <\/strong>President\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/donald-trump\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Donald Trump<\/a> said Thursday night that he had asked\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/03\/19\/doge-map-of-musk-world-as-trump-ag-warns-tesla-vandals.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Attorney General Pam Bondi<\/a>\u00a0to seek the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/18\/trump-epstein-case-grand-jury.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">unsealing of grand jury testimony<\/a> related to the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/17\/epstein-comey-trump-tyrant.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">criminal prosecution<\/a>\u00a0of the notorious pedophile.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Japan inflation eases. <\/strong>Core inflation cooled to 3.3% in June, coming down from a 29-month high of 3.7% as rice inflation showed signs of easing. The increase in rice prices eased slightly, rising 100.2% year over year, compared with the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/06\/20\/japans-core-inflation-hits-highest-level-since-jan-2023-putting-pressure-on-boj-to-raise-rates.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">101.7% jump in May<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>[PRO] The U.S. consumer pushes back on recession fears.<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/17\/the-us-consumer-is-pushing-back-against-recession-fears-once-again.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. consumers appear to prove economic pessimists<\/a> wrong this summer as they flex their spending muscle, according to June&#8217;s retail sales report. But some alternative data suggests that the consumer is hanging in there.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline1\"\/>And finally&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>The new fee aims to restore integrity to the U.S. immigration system, the government told CNBC.<\/p>\n<p>Alan Schein Photography | The Image Bank | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p><strong>Travelers to the US must pay a new $250 \u2018visa integrity fee\u2019<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Visitors to the United States will need to pay a &#8220;visa integrity fee,&#8221; according to a provision of the Trump administration&#8217;s recently enacted\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.congress.gov\/bill\/119th-congress\/house-bill\/1\/text\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">One Big Beautiful Bill Act<\/a>. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The fee applies to all visitors who need\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/travel.state.gov\/content\/travel\/en\/us-visas\/visa-information-resources\/all-visa-categories.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">non-immigrant visas<\/a>\u00a0to enter, and cannot be waived.<\/p>\n<p>However, travelers may also be able to get the fees reimbursed, according to the provision.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Monica Pitrelli<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/18\/visa-integrity-fee-what-to-know-about-new-travel-fee-to-enter-the-us-.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u00bb Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The New York Stock Exchange on April 8, 2025. Angela Weiss | Afp | Getty Images Despite the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":72508,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[64,81,77,69,79,135,67,132,68,7999],"class_list":{"0":"post-72507","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-business-news","10":"tag-donald-j-trump","11":"tag-donald-trump","12":"tag-economy","13":"tag-markets","14":"tag-united-states","15":"tag-unitedstates","16":"tag-us","17":"tag-world-markets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/114874004415511401","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72507","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72507"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72507\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/72508"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72507"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72507"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72507"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}