{"id":728004,"date":"2026-04-14T19:40:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T19:40:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/728004\/"},"modified":"2026-04-14T19:40:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T19:40:17","slug":"ny-giants-draft-odds-tracking-the-changes-as-the-draft-approaches","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/728004\/","title":{"rendered":"NY Giants draft odds: Tracking the changes as the draft approaches"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"\">One week ago, I posted a column with the FanDuel 2026 NFL Draft odds for overall pick No. 5, which is currently held by none other than your New York Football Giants. You can see it <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bigblueview.com\/new-york-giants-draft\/158710\/ny-giants-draft-odds-sonny-styles-the-betting-favorite-at-pick-no-5\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:here.;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;here.&quot;}\" class=\"link \">here.<\/a> The weeks and days leading up to the NFL draft are overrun with ever-changing narratives, smokescreens, hype, rumors, and innuendo. The public perception of which players are most likely to go to which teams is in constant flux. Today we\u2019ll take another look at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fanduel.com\/research\/nfl-draft-odds-2026-who-will-be-the-first-overall-pick\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:FanDuel odds for Pick 5;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;FanDuel odds for Pick 5&quot;}\" class=\"link \">FanDuel odds for Pick 5<\/a>, to see how they\u2019ve moved and what we might glean from that. I\u2019ll post another update next week, with the final draft odds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Looking at mock drafts from the so-called \u201cexperts\u201d is one way to gauge how the first round of the draft might unfold, and to that end Ed Valentine has been posting a mock draft tracker each Friday. Here is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bigblueview.com\/new-york-giants-draft\/158968\/mock-draft-tracker-is-the-giants-choice-at-no-5-down-to-3-players\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:the latest;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;the latest&quot;}\" class=\"link \">the latest<\/a>. Of course, mock drafts, gambling odds, and public sentiment ultimately don\u2019t matter on draft night. NFL teams \u2013 or at least those that are good at what they do \u2014 tune out the noise.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Big Blue\u2019s brass is responsible for constructing a draft board and only they know what direction the team is going to go in at Pick 5, and with their other selections. The plans for Pick 5 need to account for, and as necessary adjust to, (a) one or more players that they covet getting snagged before they\u2019re on the clock, and (b) the possibility of one or more teams trading up to grab a specific player. In my view, the Jets at No. 2, Cardinals at No. 3, Titans at No. 4, and Giants at No. 5 are all trade-down candidates, if they get the right offer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza is almost certainly going to the Raiders at Pick 1. But after that, this draft is harder to predict than most, because Mendoza is the only quarterback likely to go anywhere near the top of the draft, and the talent level of the top non-QB prospects is relatively flat and spread across multiple positions. A year ago, it was pretty clear that after the Titans took Miami QB Cam Ward at No. 1, the next two picks were almost certain to be Colorado WR\/CB Travis Hunter and Penn State Edge Abdul Carter, in some order, followed by LSU tackle Will Campbell to the Patriots at No. 4 \u2013 and that\u2019s exactly how it unfolded.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">This draft has no such clarity at the top. In addition to there being no consensus on the order of the other top prospects after Mendoza, the teams drafting 2-5 all have multiple needs, and could go in several directions, including trading out as discussed above. The mock drafts and the FanDuel odds try to take all of that into account. In the end, I think very few prognosticators will nail the Top-5 picks exactly. It\u2019s just that kind of year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Let\u2019s take a look at the movement in the odds. As a reminder, the odds are tagged to the pick itself and not the team.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"628\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"standard-img\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/a732002bfb767cbf4b12788f31c38a62.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"\">These were the odds as of April 7 for the \u201cfavorites\u201d at Pick 5:<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<ul class=\"content-list\">\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Ohio State LB Sonny Styles:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0+185<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Ohio State S Caleb Downs:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 +380<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Notre Dame RB Jeremiyah Love:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0+500<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Ohio State WR Carnell Tate:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 +900<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Miami OT Francis Mauigoa\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 +1000<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"\">These are the odds as of April 14 for the top seven choices at Pick 5. I\u2019ve expanded it because there are now seven players with odds of +2,000 (20:1) or better:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"content-list\">\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Ohio State LB Sonny Styles:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0+175<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Miami OT Francis Mauigoa\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0+440<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Ohio State S Caleb Downs:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 +600<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Notre Dame RB Jeremiyah Love:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0+600<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Ohio State WR Carnell Tate:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 +800<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">LSU CB Mansoor Delane\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 +2000<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p class=\"\">Utah OT Spencer Fano\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 +2000<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"\">What can we take away from these changes?<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">First, the odds continue to align with the mock draft tracker, which still shows Styles as the consensus favorite to go to the Giants at Pick 5. In the latest tracker (linked above), Styles was the pick in 35 of 69 mocks last week, pushing him just above 50%. The odds for Styles have dropped very slightly, but not on any news linking him to the team. The slight shortening of his odds likely reflects the most significant change in the odds from last week, which is at Pick 2, held by the Jets. A week ago, Ohio State Edge\/LB Arvell Reese was a strong favorite to go to the Jets, at -280. A week later, Texas Tech Edge David Bailey is now the favorite to go to the Jets (-135), with Reese behind him at +105. Styles is next, but he\u2019s way down at +4000.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">If the Jets take Bailey at No. 2, it\u2019s highly likely that either the Cardinals or Titans will take Reese, and that would make it a little more probable that Styles lasts to pick No. 5, as he\u2019d only need to get past one team. It doesn\u2019t make it more likely that he\u2019s the player the Giants want, but a big part of this exercise is trying to figure out the best players that will still be available when the Giants hand in their card.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Another observation: The odds are showing a greater likelihood of the Giants taking an offensive lineman at No. 5. The biggest mover from a week ago is Mauigoa \u2013 from 10:1 all the way up to about 4.5:1, and the second shortest odds after Styles. Not only that, but Fano is lurking at 20:1. Part of the change in Mauigoa\u2019s odds is the Bailey-to-the-Jets factor noted above, which, as with Styles, increases the likelihood of him being available at No. 5. But also, we know John Harbaugh values a punishing line, and while the Giants are set at tackle for the near future, Jermaine Eluemunor is 31. They could kick either rookie inside to guard for now (some scouts think both are better suited to that position, ultimately), and\/or deploy either one as a swing tackle. Fano in particular offers great positional versatility all along the line. Tackle is a premium position where depth matters.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"1440\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"standard-img\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/4514a8a0301716ce98e9bca6a59e1f72.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"\">It\u2019s also worth noting the appearance of Delane at 20:1, and if I was going to throw in a wager, that\u2019s the one I\u2019d take given the value. Are the Giants likely to grab the LSU corner at No. 5? No. But he\u2019ll almost certainly be available to them, and it\u2019s a viable path for the team. Corner is a premium position, it\u2019s a need (in today\u2019s NFL, you can never have enough good ones), Delane is an excellent prospect who can play inside, outside, man, and zone, and he\u2019s known for his smarts and instincts. In discussing positional value, Harbaugh stated that corner is one of the two positions at the top of his list.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Finally, the odds for Downs, Love, and Tate haven\u2019t moved too much, other than a fairly significant drop for Downs. All three are certainly in play for Big Blue, if available. Of the three, I think Downs is still the most likely, but you can make the case for (or against) all of them. Downs and Tate should both make it to pick 5, while Love could get snatched before the Giants pick.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Is it any more likely than it was seven days ago that Styles will be the selection for Joe Schoen and Harbaugh? I\u2019ll say yes, but only because it\u2019s looking more likely that he\u2019ll be on the board when the Giants pick. I still have my doubts that they\u2019d take an off-ball linebacker that high. The good news is that we will know soon \u2014 the long wait is almost over.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"One week ago, I posted a column with the FanDuel 2026 NFL Draft odds for overall pick No.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":728005,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[5122],"tags":[5229,218617,40676,48480,2778,301405,22967,203021,380,2777,239696,405,403,301404,5226,5225,5228,5227,22240,57461,24890,8016,67,586,132,5230,68,2969,67501],"class_list":["post-728004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-new-york","tag-america","tag-arvell-reese","tag-caleb-downs","tag-cam-ward","tag-fernando-mendoza","tag-gambling-odds","tag-giants","tag-jermaine-eluemunor","tag-miami","tag-mock-draft","tag-mock-drafts","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-city","tag-new-york-football-giants","tag-newyork","tag-newyorkcity","tag-ny","tag-nyc","tag-ohio-state","tag-sonny-styles","tag-the-giants","tag-travis-hunter","tag-united-states","tag-united-states-of-america","tag-unitedstates","tag-unitedstatesofamerica","tag-us","tag-usa","tag-will-campbell"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/116404764261032223","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/728004","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=728004"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/728004\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/728005"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=728004"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=728004"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=728004"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}