{"id":777286,"date":"2026-05-06T12:58:17","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T12:58:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/777286\/"},"modified":"2026-05-06T12:58:17","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T12:58:17","slug":"your-nhl-lottery-team-knows-where-their-pick-is-now-heres-why-they-should-trade-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/777286\/","title":{"rendered":"Your NHL lottery team knows where their pick is now. Here\u2019s why they should trade it"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last night saw the hockey world settle in to watch the NHL draft lottery, an annual event in which a collection of ping-pong balls reward whichever franchise and its fans are found to be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7248880\/2026\/05\/05\/toronto-maple-leafs-nhl-draft-lottery-no-1-pick\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the most noble and pure of heart<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>So now we know the NHL\u2019s order for this June\u2019s draft, pending any trades. And it really feels like we\u2019re only saying that last part to be polite. It\u2019s exceedingly rare to see a team trade a pick in the first half of the first round, at least once the lottery has come and gone and the pick order is locked in. And that\u2019s especially true if you ignore trades where teams move up or down a few spots, like the Flyers moving up to 12th last year in a minor draft-floor deal with the Penguins. As far as anything bigger, we might see a move every year or two, like last year\u2019s Noah Dobson trade, or the Senators getting Alex DeBrincat in 2022. But it\u2019s rare.<\/p>\n<p>And that\u2019s a shame, because every lottery team should be open to trading their pick. Yes, all of them.<\/p>\n<p>Being \u201copen to\u201d trading a pick isn\u2019t the same as actually doing it, of course. But it\u2019s hard to shake the feeling that most teams walk out of the lottery with their draft pick and decide it\u2019s completely untouchable. Don\u2019t even ask. Making a big move with an early-ish first is off the table.<\/p>\n<p>But it shouldn\u2019t be. So today, in what will no doubt turn out to be an act of utter futility, let\u2019s try to convince all 15 lottery teams they should trade their first-round pick.<\/p>\n<p>(Yes, 15 teams. You\u2019re off the hook, Detroit. Always nice to see someone <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7021215\/2026\/03\/06\/blues-red-wings-trade-justin-faulk\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hand in the assignment early<\/a> for extra credit.)<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll start with the 16th pick and work our way to the first choice, which is to say that we\u2019ll start on high difficulty and work our way up to virtually impossible. Let\u2019s do this.<\/p>\n<p>16. Washington Capitals<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>They need to start preparing for the end of the Alexander Ovechkin era, which is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7192181\/2026\/04\/13\/alex-ovechkin-nhl-retirement-capitals\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">either very close or has already arrived<\/a>. They\u2019ve got a decent pipeline and Ryan Leonard, but they are going to need more to get back into contention someday.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> If Ovechkin isn\u2019t done, don\u2019t you owe it to him to do everything you can to let him take a last swing at winning something? The situation isn\u2019t quite as dire as it would be if he didn\u2019t have that one ring from 2018, but true legends deserve every run they can get.<\/p>\n<p>Could trading a mid-round pick for immediate help push the Caps back into contender status? Unlikely, but not impossible \u2014 just look at what the Penguins pulled off this year with Sidney Crosby. At the very least, that kind of return to the postseason has to be the bar if Ovechkin comes back, right?<\/p>\n<p>14. Columbus Blue Jackets<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>They\u2019re slowly but surely building something in Columbus, but nobody thinks they\u2019re one or two veterans away from a Cup. So stay patient and keep stocking the cupboard.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> You always hear about the two-year window that Edmonton has with Connor McDavid or Toronto with Auston Matthews, but should we be having a version of that conversation about Zach Werenski? The presumptive Norris winner has two years left on his deal, and he\u2019s in his prime as probably the best player the franchise has ever had. Staying patient is fine, but when you\u2019ve won just a single seven-game series in your history, a little bit of urgency feels appropriate.<\/p>\n<p>13. New York Islanders<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>You\u2019re building around Matthew Schaefer, and the playbook for this sort of thing is clear: If you\u2019re lucky enough to land a true franchise player, you surround him with other young talent that can all hit their peak at the same time.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> That\u2019s pretty convincing, and the Islanders are one of several teams where this feels like an especially tough case to make.<\/p>\n<p>But what if Schaefer isn\u2019t the typical elite prospect, but something even better? He just finished one of the greatest rookie seasons any blueliner has ever had, after all. What could year two be like? Or year three? It\u2019s at least possible the Islanders didn\u2019t just stumble into a great prospect, but found a true unicorn.<\/p>\n<p>And if that\u2019s the case, then trying to get some winning done right now \u2014 before he potentially resets the blue line market on his second contract \u2014 could be the right play. A No. 13 pick probably doesn\u2019t help you much at all during that two-year window, but you could flip it for something that could.<\/p>\n<p>The short version: If Mathieu Darche doesn\u2019t trade this pick it\u2019s because he doesn\u2019t believe in Matthew Schaefer. Cool, who\u2019s next.<\/p>\n<p>12. New Jersey Devils<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>They have a new GM, and new GMs use their draft picks, they don\u2019t trade them away.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> The Devils are one of a handful of lottery teams that could at least convince itself a Cup is in play. Granted, they\u2019d need to stay healthy for a change, but that\u2019s going to be the case for any team. The Devils have spent the last three years being hyped as a quasi-contender and have won just a single playoff game in that time. With Nico Hischier entering the last year of his deal, and <a href=\"https:\/\/pucksandpitchforks.com\/nico-hischier-s-comments-as-season-ends-have-devils-fans-raising-their-eyebrows\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">not sounding especially enthused<\/a> about the direction of the franchise, we may be reaching shoot or get off the point territory in New Jersey.<\/p>\n<p>11 and 15. St. Louis Blues<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>They have a new GM, and new GMs use their draft picks, they don\u2019t trade them away. Wait, we\u2019re going to be using that one a lot, aren\u2019t we\u2026<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> Alex Steen isn\u2019t exactly new, having been with the organization for a while, and you\u2019d assume he\u2019s been working closely with Doug Armstrong on the team\u2019s recent strategy. That strategy seems to be centered on telling everyone you want to trade all your best players and then not doing that, so anything could be in play here.<\/p>\n<p>But while the Blues seem to be closer to a rebuild than to contention, they\u2019re an easier case to make for our purposes than just about anyone else, for a simple reason: They have two picks in the top 15. They could trade one and use the other. Or they could try an NFL-style move and package both picks to try to move up closer to the top of the draft. Or they could do what the Habs did last year in similar circumstances, and flip both picks for a star player. More picks means more options, and some of those options could absolutely involve the trade market.<\/p>\n<p>10. Nashville Predators<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>They\u2019re about to have a new GM, and new GMs\u2026 you know what, you get it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> The Predators are a classic team that\u2019s a bit too old and a bit too flawed, and we know what direction that usually goes. But it\u2019s also possible whoever takes over for Barry Trotz might look at a roster built around aging stars like Roman Josi, Filip Forsberg, Ryan O\u2019Reilly and Steven Stamkos, plus a 31-year-old goalie, and decide it\u2019s time to take a swing. It wouldn\u2019t necessarily be the right choice, but it\u2019s plausible.<\/p>\n<p>9. Florida Panthers<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>Years of contending have depleted the farm system, making this a rare and unexpected opportunity to do some restocking.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> Flags fly forever. The Panthers did the perpetual rebuild thing for the better part of two decades, so they can tell you all about how unpredictable top-10 picks can be. They have a championship core right now, and the goal should be getting the group into as many deep playoff runs as possible before the bill comes due.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s why the Panthers were an easy choice for most likely team to trade their pick in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7251398\/2026\/05\/05\/nhl-draft-lottery-power-rankings-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">yesterday\u2019s lottery power rankings<\/a>. If anything, the only argument against the Panthers trading this pick now is that it would make more sense to use it on a prospect and then trade him down the road when any holes on the current roster have fully revealed themselves.<\/p>\n<p>8. Winnipeg Jets<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>We know the drill in Winnipeg, where the best and maybe only way to land a star is to draft and develop one. That means keeping and hitting on high picks, not shopping them for short-term help.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> That makes all the sense in the world, right up until the best player that the draft-and-develop approach has ever yielded starts sounding like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7206176\/2026\/04\/17\/connor-hellebuyck-jets-stanley-cup\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a guy who wants to win now<\/a>. Connor Hellebuyck\u2019s comments were more nuanced than some made them out to be, but they still loom large. When he says \u201cto just put that same product on the ice, I don\u2019t think it worked for a reason,\u201d that might be enough to make Kevin Cheveldayoff think twice about the value of drafting a prospect who\u2019s unlikely to make an impact for a few more years.<\/p>\n<p>As Hellebuyck said: \u201cCan you get the pieces that you need?\u201d Not without trading something of value, no, probably not.<\/p>\n<p>7. Seattle Kraken<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>Matty Beniers is a good player, but the fact he\u2019s head-and-shoulders above everyone else the Kraken have ever drafted tells you how badly this team needs to hit a home run on a draft pick. Now\u2019s their chance.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> Patience is nice and all but (gestures at enormous shadow cast by an incoming NBA team) maybe <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7141687\/2026\/04\/16\/seattle-kraken-nhl-nba-expansion\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">now\u2019s not the time<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>6. Calgary Flames<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>The Flames have spent the last few years trading away virtually every good veteran player on the team, collecting picks and prospects along the way. They can call it a rebuild or a retool or whatever you want, but we all know what\u2019s happening in Calgary. And it should be, because it\u2019s exactly what this franchise needs.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> This one\u2019s pretty straightforward. They\u2019ve got a new arena on the way, and ownership would probably prefer to have at least a winning-adjacent team to help pack the building. It\u2019s hard to move the needle all that much with a No. 6 pick, at least right away. (Even Matthew Tkachuk, one of the best sixth picks ever, took until his third year to crack 50 points.)<\/p>\n<p>Would trading the sixth pick for immediate help be much better? Not really. But what about using the pick as a starting point to try to move up to one of the top three spots? That feels a little more intriguing, right? And the Flames would have plenty of ammo to help make it happen.<\/p>\n<p>5. New York Rangers<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>They\u2019re \u201cretooling,\u201d as you may have noted from their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6977481\/2026\/01\/16\/ny-rangers-trade-rumors-chris-drury-nhl\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">most recent letter to fans<\/a>, or from them trading Artemi Panarin for pennies on the dollar. Rebuild strategy can be tricky, but a good rule of thumb is that they typically don\u2019t involve trading away top-five picks.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> Wait, are we sure the Ranger are rebuilding? I mean, they were, or at least they were sure planning to back in January when they sent out that letter. But that was before the Panarin trade that they had no real choice on but that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7022002\/2026\/02\/04\/nhl-trade-grades-artemi-panarin-kings-rangers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">didn\u2019t yield much<\/a>. And it was also before a deadline that saw them fail to move Vincent Trocheck despite his value being at a post-Olympics high. Mix in veterans who would be hard (and maybe impossible) to move like Mika Zibanejad and J.T. Miller, not to mention the world\u2019s most expensive goalie, and over $16 million worth of a veteran top defensive pair, and the Rangers might be starting to realize what they want and what they can actually do are two different things.<\/p>\n<p>If that\u2019s the case, they can keep trying anyways. They could also decide to steer into the skid.<\/p>\n<p>4. Chicago Blackhawks<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>You\u2019re aware of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6866468\/2025\/12\/06\/blackhawks-gm-kyle-davidson-rebuild\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the Kyle Davidson experience<\/a>, yes? His bosses are, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7200758\/2026\/04\/16\/kyle-davidson-extension-blackhawks-rebuild\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">they seem to be enjoying it<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> There\u2019s no such thing as too many prospects. But there is such a thing as not enough veteran talent, and at some point you wonder if Davidson and the Hawks aren\u2019t taking this whole \u201cwe\u2019ll worry about actually winning someday down the line\u201d thing a bit too far. Connor Bedard is about to start his fourth year in the league, and it would be nice for him to play a meaningful game in the second half of a season at some point. If he did that with a pair of NHL-caliber wingers, even better.<\/p>\n<p>Also, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MarkLazerus\/status\/2051806638462418955\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">Laz agrees with me<\/a>, and he\u2019s never wrong about anything.<\/p>\n<p>3. Vancouver Canucks<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>This stupid league is rigged so who even cares.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> You\u2019re going to see a lot of takes over the next few days about how the Canucks have never had the first overall pick, but that\u2019s not true. They\u2019ve never used one, but they did have one, back in 1999, for a few minutes. They also had the fourth pick that year. And then eventually, the second and third, which they used to change the course of franchise history by picking the Sedin twins.<\/p>\n<p>The Canucks owned all of those top picks that year because their GM, Brian Burke, didn\u2019t sit around and mope about bad luck. He knew who he wanted, and so he got to work and made it happen. He made calls, he plotted out scenarios, he put a series of deals together, and he threatened to fight other GMs in a barn unless they agreed. That last one might not be accurate, but I\u2019m betting it probably was. The point is, he didn\u2019t take no for an answer. And he didn\u2019t let some ping-pong balls get in the way.<\/p>\n<p>You wanted a top-two pick? Cool, go get one. Or get something even better. You\u2019ve got more than enough ammo to make it happen, you just need a little bit of that Burkie mojo to see it through. Step one: Hire a GM who knows how to get things done instead of just talk a good game about what might have been.<\/p>\n<p>2. San Jose Sharks<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>They\u2019ve been rebuilding for years, and while this season represented a big (and mostly unexpectedly early) step forward, the work isn\u2019t done yet. The lottery gods have rewarded you again, and you say thank you very much, draft another stud, and start shopping for discounts on bulk ring purchases in a few years.<\/p>\n<p>Stay the course, in other words, and it will pay off. Soon, just not quite yet.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> Much like the Islanders, the Sharks may have a unicorn of their own in Macklin Celebrini. With only one more year left on his rookie deal, there probably isn\u2019t time to take a real swing at a Stanley Cup before his cap hit soars. But that doesn\u2019t mean you don\u2019t want to keep last year\u2019s momentum, and at this point some immediate help might do more to get you there than yet another prospect to throw on the pile. And as an added bonus, the Pacific is wide open right now, as the cross-state Ducks have shown. It\u2019s there for the taking. So go take it.<\/p>\n<p>1. Toronto Maple Leafs<\/p>\n<p><strong>Obviously not, because: <\/strong>A team with no prospects and little hope just spent 24 hours getting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7235335\/2026\/05\/04\/maple-leafs-pelley-chayka-sundin-nhl\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">dunked on by the entire hockey world<\/a> for their new front office, then immediately won a long-shot draft lottery that could change everything. There is zero chance they\u2019d trade this pick. Come on.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OK, but\u2026 :<\/strong> John Chayka\u2019s an analytics guy, right? I feel like Keith Pelley may have mentioned that once or twice. Well, one thing analytics guys love to do is trade down in drafts to accumulate extra pick value. And you\u2019d think that would be especially true for a team lacking in picks and prospects.<\/p>\n<p>No? Not convincing? OK, let\u2019s try this angle: We\u2019re told the franchise\u2019s top priority is keeping Auston Matthews, and while adding an elite young winger might help <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7253990\/2026\/05\/05\/maple-leafs-auston-matthews-contract-trade\/?unlocked_article_code=1.gFA.He--.WucL0NQdQqFp&amp;smid=ta-android-share\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">convince him to stick around<\/a>, it\u2019s possible he\u2019s not all that interested in waiting. If that\u2019s the case, and the Leafs want to add an immediate impact player, they just went from having exactly zero assets they could trade for that guy to having one. Which might be all they\u2019d need.<\/p>\n<p>Still no? OK, what if you put yourself in Chayka\u2019s shoes and realized the reaction to your hiring had made it clear you\u2019re already on the clock. None of the prospects in this year\u2019s draft are expected to be immediate impact players. You can make the obvious move and then wait for it to pay off, hoping against hope that your already perilously short honeymoon period hasn\u2019t already run out of time before then. Or you can show everybody how smart you are by making a big, creative move that nobody sees coming, the way a true visionary would.<\/p>\n<p>Still not on board? Yeah, me neither.<\/p>\n<p>Fine, screw it: Matthews and the first overall pick for Connor McDavid, who says no?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Last night saw the hockey world settle in to watch the NHL draft lottery, an annual event in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":777287,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[3113,291,3110,1323,3111,2994,1301,1302,293,1328,2999,62,2996,1304,67,132,68,3114,3109,292],"class_list":{"0":"post-777286","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nhl","8":"tag-calgary-flames","9":"tag-chicago-blackhawks","10":"tag-columbus-blue-jackets","11":"tag-florida-panthers","12":"tag-nashville-predators","13":"tag-new-jersey-devils","14":"tag-new-york-islanders","15":"tag-new-york-rangers","16":"tag-nhl","17":"tag-san-jose-sharks","18":"tag-seattle-kraken","19":"tag-sports","20":"tag-st-louis-blues","21":"tag-toronto-maple-leafs","22":"tag-united-states","23":"tag-unitedstates","24":"tag-us","25":"tag-vancouver-canucks","26":"tag-washington-capitals","27":"tag-winnipeg-jets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/116527753271939590","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777286","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777286"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777286\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/777287"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777286"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777286"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777286"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}