{"id":916350,"date":"2026-07-06T13:06:21","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T13:06:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/916350\/"},"modified":"2026-07-06T13:06:21","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T13:06:21","slug":"this-surprising-wrinkle-in-the-2026-bull-market-could-drive-stocks-higher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/916350\/","title":{"rendered":"This surprising wrinkle in the 2026 bull market could drive stocks higher"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Imagine where the stock market would be this year if price-to-earnings (P\/E) ratios were expanding too.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><strong>The quick insight:<\/strong> Despite investor enthusiasm for owning stocks this year and there being only one 5% or more pullback, valuation in the broader market hasn&#8217;t kept pace.\u00a0  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The S&amp;P 500&#8217;s forward P\/E ratio is now below where it started in 2026, Truist chief market strategist Keith Lerner pointed out (see chart below).  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><strong>The reason:<\/strong> The P\/E ratio is a simple fraction, with the &#8220;P&#8221; being the price of a stock or market and the &#8220;E&#8221; representing earnings. When the denominator grows faster than the numerator, the multiple compresses.  <\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/3819A37D4D38DC4A22098189C09B4F3CF042FDD526311F4E24458649DF8BE1CB\/subgraphmysterio\/resizefit_w960;quality_80;format_webp\/https:%2F%2Fd29szjachogqwa.cloudfront.net%2Fimages%2Fuser-uploaded%2Fscreenshot-2026-07-05-at-120841-pm_4019.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"The down trending PE ratio.\" height=\"523\" width=\"919\" class=\"yf-lglytj loader\"\/><\/a> The down-trending P\/E ratio.  \u00b7 Truist         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">This year, corporate earnings have been quite strong, with the S&amp;P 500 tracking toward back-to-back quarters of above 20% earnings growth. With companies hauling in near-record profits, the &#8220;E&#8221; has risen significantly, pulling down the overall valuation multiple for the S&amp;P 500 even as stock prices remain historically high.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><strong>What&#8217;s next:<\/strong> &#8220;We are in an earnings boom, with estimates rising across large, mid, small caps, and emerging markets,&#8221; Lerner said.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The estimated year-over-year earnings growth rate for the second quarter is 23.3%, which is above the five-year average of 16.4% and the 10-year average of 10.3%, according to data from FactSet. If 23.3% is the actual growth rate for the quarter, it will mark the second consecutive quarter of year-over-year earnings growth above 20% and the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit growth for the index.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Ten of the 11 sectors in the S&amp;P 500 are expected to report year-over-year earnings growth, led by the Energy, Information Technology, and Materials sectors.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><strong>The bottom line:<\/strong> If the S&amp;P 500 delivers above its expected 23.3% earnings growth for the second quarter, it could help support the &#8220;P&#8221; part of the P\/E ratio equation as analysts race to mark up estimates further. That could set the stage in the third quarter for a one-two punch of rising stock prices and rising earnings, which the bulls would gladly welcome.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/author\/brian-sozzi\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Brian%20Sozzi;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;cpos:1;pos:1;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Brian Sozzi&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkPosition&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;yPosition&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Brian Sozzi<\/a> is Yahoo Finance&#8217;s Executive Editor and a member of Yahoo Finance&#8217;s editorial leadership team. Follow Sozzi on X<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BrianSozzi\" data-ylk=\"slk:%20%40BrianSozzi;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;cpos:2;pos:1;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot; @BrianSozzi&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkPosition&quot;:&quot;2&quot;,&quot;yPosition&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"link\"> @BrianSozzi<\/a>,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/briansozzi\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:%20Instagram;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;cpos:3;pos:1;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot; Instagram&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkPosition&quot;:&quot;3&quot;,&quot;yPosition&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"link\"> Instagram<\/a>, and<a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/briansozzi\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:%20LinkedIn;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;cpos:4;pos:1;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot; LinkedIn&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkPosition&quot;:&quot;4&quot;,&quot;yPosition&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"link\"> LinkedIn<\/a>. 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The quick&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":916351,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[6],"tags":[64,321805,41178,10287,370223,2437,67,132,68],"class_list":["post-916350","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-business","tag-chief-market-strategist","tag-corporate-earnings","tag-earnings-growth","tag-keith-lerner","tag-stock-market","tag-united-states","tag-unitedstates","tag-us"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/116873185674152187","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/916350","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=916350"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/916350\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/916351"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=916350"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=916350"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=916350"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}