{"id":91977,"date":"2025-07-25T17:52:17","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T17:52:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/91977\/"},"modified":"2025-07-25T17:52:17","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T17:52:17","slug":"why-everybody-refuses-to-believe-crime-is-falling-even-though-it-is","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/91977\/","title":{"rendered":"Why everybody refuses to believe crime is falling, even though it is"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Homicides in Los Angeles are <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2025-07-09\/los-angeles-homicide-total-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">on track to hit a nearly 60-year low<\/a>. Property crime across California dipped in the last year and now stands at its lowest ebb in three decades. <\/p>\n<p>Yet a feeling persists that the Golden State has been tarnished by a wave of unchecked crime. <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2025-06-10\/la-ice-protests-truth-vs-fiction\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Conservative media fanned that notion in June<\/a>, when unruly and sometimes violent crowds took over streets in a few L.A. neighborhoods. <\/p>\n<p> Newsletter <\/p>\n<p class=\"module-title\">You&#8217;re reading the Essential California newsletter<\/p>\n<p class=\"module-description\">Sign up to start every day with California&#8217;s most important stories.<\/p>\n<p>Enter email address   <\/p>\n<p> Sign Me Up   <\/p>\n<p class=\"module-disclaimer\"> You may occasionally receive promotional content from the Los Angeles Times. <\/p>\n<p><a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ppic.org\/blog\/overall-crime-in-california-fell-last-year-but-shoplifting-continued-to-rise\/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=overall-crime-in-california-fell-last-year-but-shoplifting-continued-to-rise?utm_source=ppic&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=blog_subscriber\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Statistics and analysis<\/a> from the Public Policy Institute of California suggest that though most types of crime numbers in the state are headed in the right direction \u2014 downward \u2014 perception does not always meet reality.<\/p>\n<p>Crime feels like it\u2019s everywhere on TV and social media<\/p>\n<p>The average citizen now has a front-row seat to more robbery, battery and noxious behavior than ever. That\u2019s because mobile phones and social media give all of us a front-row seat to the most antisocial miscreant behavior in our midst.<\/p>\n<p>Nothing enrages a tax-paying, law-abiding citizen like the sight of some knucklehead(s) busting into stores, ransacking shelves or covering buildings with graffiti. It <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2024-06-10\/video-shows-group-forcing-their-way-into-autozone-after-street-takeover\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">happened at an Auto Zone store in South L.A.<\/a> in June. And at <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2025-07-21\/vandals-ransack-autozone-street-takeover-in-south-l-a\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">another Auto Zone<\/a> again this week. It\u2019s not just that the do-badders are breaking the law; it\u2019s that they seem to be relishing doing wrong. And they seem to have no concern about consequences. <\/p>\n<p>In the June incident, many of the thieves can be seen videoing their handiwork. One young woman holds a pink balloon. Like it\u2019s a party. Ah, the impunity. <\/p>\n<p>Those images do more to instill and inflate Californians\u2019 sense of lawlessness than perhaps any other factor. A boatload of statistics showing that many crimes have decreased can\u2019t pack the emotional wallop of watching a crime spree unfold before your eyes.<\/p>\n<p>And yet. Two explosive videos do not a trend make. Researcher Magnus Lofstrom at the Public Policy Institute of California reported this week that crime totals for 2024 \u201cprovide mostly good news for Californians,\u201d adding: \u201cMost of the crimes that saw notable increases during and after the pandemic fell in 2024.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>            <img class=\"image\" alt=\"LAPD graduate officers hug as Chief Jim McDonnell looks on during a graduation ceremony\"   width=\"1200\" height=\"860\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1753465935_835_\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/>         <\/p>\n<p>LAPD graduate Amri Camarena hugs her sister Elvira Espindola-Diaz, also an officer, after receiving her diploma from Chief Jim McDonnell on May 2.<\/p>\n<p>(Myung J. Chun\/Los Angeles Times)<\/p>\n<p>       The numbers show most types of crime are decreasing<\/p>\n<p>Violent crime decreased statewide by 9.6% from 2023 to 2024, the stats showed. That included a 13.7% dip in the homicide rate, reflecting what LAPD figures show for the state\u2019s largest city. Property crimes declined 10% from 2023 to 2024 and by the same amount over the last five years. Burglaries have dropped nearly 20% over those five years, and larceny declined more than 14%. <\/p>\n<p>To be sure, there is some bad news hidden in those trends. Even as violent crime have fallen, aggravated assaults have gone up nearly 22% over five years.<\/p>\n<p>Lofstrom told me no one can quite explain the increase. There is a theory that the increasing ranks of homeless people could contribute to the increase, as those living without shelter present as easier perpetrators, and victims, of violence.<\/p>\n<p>A couple of other problem spots: Auto theft rose markedly, by 19% since 2019. Shoplifting also continued a rise that became pronounced at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>Those numbers, and video of outrageous smash-and-grab and takeover robberies, might explain why <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2024-11-05\/california-election-night-proposition-36\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">California voters last year approved Proposition 36<\/a>. The measure toughens penalties for many crimes by reclassifying some misdemeanors as felonies, including when the items stolen are worth $950 or less. <\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll see next year whether the new penalties, put in place in 2025, have an impact on crime. But even then, let\u2019s not forget: Viral videos represent a narrow slice of our world, not all of reality. No matter how the ugly images make you feel, crime is generally on the downswing. And that\u2019s a good thing.<\/p>\n<p>Today\u2019s top stories            <img class=\"image\" alt=\"Farmworkers stand amid produce with their sweatshirt hoods up and backs to the camera\"   width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1753465936_830_\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/>         <\/p>\n<p>Farmworkers take a break from picking leafy greens in San Jacinto to listen to community organizers Sandra Reyes and Enrique Velasco, center, during an event informing them of their legal rights.<\/p>\n<p>(Allen J. Schaben\/Los Angeles Times)<\/p>\n<p>       Fear of ICE raids is making heat intolerable for Southern California families<\/p>\n<ul class=\"rte2-style-ul\">\n<li>Fear induced by ongoing ICE raids has led some California workers to not show up, forcing those who do to work <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/environment\/story\/2025-07-25\/ice-raids-heat-immigrant-families-southern-california\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">harder, under worsening heat conditions<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>Meanwhile, many families have been driven into hiding indoors, forgoing simple yet essential activities that would have allowed them to stay cool.<\/li>\n<li>Summer is just beginning, and organizers believe this will only worsen as temperatures continue to rise.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The 9th Circuit upholds a block on background checks for California ammunition buyersWhat else is going onCommentary and opinionsThis morning\u2019s must readsOther must readsFor your downtime            <img class=\"image\" alt=\"The book tunnel and labyrinth area on the second floor of The Last Bookstore \"   width=\"1200\" height=\"864\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1753465937_447_\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/>         <\/p>\n<p>The book tunnel and labyrinth area on the second floor are favorite photo stops for tourists, customers and visitors at the Last Bookstore on the corner of Spring Street and 5th in downtown Los Angeles.<\/p>\n<p>(For The Times)<\/p>\n<p>       Going outStaying inA question for you: What are some ways you pamper your dogs?<\/p>\n<p><b>Robert<\/b> says, \u201cMy wife, Shuang, cooks fresh salmon mixed with rice for our elderly Chihuahua, Puddin.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Email us at <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/newsletter\/2025-07-25\/mailto:essentialcalifornia@latimes.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">essentialcalifornia@latimes.com<\/a>, and your response might appear in the newsletter this week.<\/p>\n<p>And finally &#8230; your photo of the day <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/business\/story\/2025-07-24\/food-delivery-robots-are-becoming-more-commonplace-in-los-angeles-neighborhoods\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">           <img class=\"image\" alt=\"A food delivery robots crosses a street\"   width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1753465937_601_\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/>    <\/a>     <\/p>\n<p>A Coco Robotics food delivery robot crosses 11th Street as it travels along Montana Avenue in Santa Monica.<\/p>\n<p>(Robert Gauthier\/Los Angeles Times)<\/p>\n<p>Today\u2019s great photo is from Times photographer<b> Robert Gauthier<\/b>, who captured a food delivery robot as it crossed the street. The startup behind these bots is <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/business\/story\/2025-07-24\/food-delivery-robots-are-becoming-more-commonplace-in-los-angeles-neighborhoods\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">planning to expand aggressively across the country <\/a>in the coming year \u2014 but the residents of Silver Lake have given them mixed reviews thus far. <\/p>\n<p>Have a great day, from the Essential California team<\/p>\n<p>Jim Rainey, staff writer<br \/>Diamy Wang, homepage intern<br \/>Izzy Nunes, audience intern<br \/>Kevinisha Walker, multiplatform editor<br \/>Andrew Campa, Sunday writer<br \/>Karim Doumar, head of newsletters<\/p>\n<p>How can we make this newsletter more useful? Send comments to <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/newsletter\/2025-07-25\/mailto:essentialcalifornia@latimes.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">essentialcalifornia@latimes.com<\/a>. Check our <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/latimes.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">top stories<\/a>, <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/latimes.com\/sections\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">topics<\/a> and the <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/latimes.com\/latest\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">latest articles<\/a> on <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/latimes.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">latimes.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Homicides in Los Angeles are on track to hit a nearly 60-year low. Property crime across California dipped&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":91978,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5123],"tags":[1582,276,11791,7823,4140,4238,11789,99,6276,2961,224,2444,5337,11395,7825,5996,11792,11790,3549,290,6620,7827],"class_list":{"0":"post-91977","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-los-angeles","8":"tag-ca","9":"tag-california","10":"tag-civic-revolt","11":"tag-covid","12":"tag-covid-19","13":"tag-days","14":"tag-essential-california","15":"tag-israel","16":"tag-l-a","17":"tag-la","18":"tag-los-angeles","19":"tag-los-angeles-times","20":"tag-losangeles","21":"tag-may","22":"tag-pandemic","23":"tag-part","24":"tag-president-biden","25":"tag-red-county","26":"tag-san-diego","27":"tag-state","28":"tag-time","29":"tag-years"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/114915151293613316","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91977","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91977"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91977\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91978"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91977"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91977"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91977"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}