{"id":934758,"date":"2026-07-14T17:39:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T17:39:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/934758\/"},"modified":"2026-07-14T17:39:19","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T17:39:19","slug":"column-the-iran-war-could-shape-american-policy-for-decades","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/934758\/","title":{"rendered":"Column: The Iran war could shape American policy for decades"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The war with Iran that never really ended is back on. Like everybody else, including the Trump administration and the Iranian regime, I have no idea how it will end. But it eventually will, and how it will be remembered will matter enormously.<\/p>\n<p>Politics is about many things, but whether you call it \u201cspin,\u201d \u201cframing\u201d or \u201cnarrative competition,\u201d storytelling is never far from the heart of it. As the philosopher Richard Rorty observed, \u201cCompetition for political leadership is in part a competition between differing stories about a nation\u2019s self-identity, and between differing symbols of its greatness.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Sometimes the story itself is the point, like the recent clashes over the American founding \u2014 1619 vs. 1776 \u2014 and sometimes the story is a means to some other political end, like winning an election or passing controversial legislation. If people believe the spin that elections are routinely stolen thanks to votes by illegal immigrants, then passing the SAVE Act makes sense. If they don\u2019t believe that story \u2014 perhaps because it\u2019s not true \u2014 but do believe that the bill is another chapter in the story of President Trump\u2019s goal of undermining confidence in elections, then passing it doesn\u2019t make sense.<\/p>\n<p>Very often the story is more lastingly important than the facts.<\/p>\n<p>Take the New Deal. Save for the Founding and the Civil War, I\u2019m hard-pressed to think of a story that shaped American politics more. The modern Democratic Party was defined by it. And in many ways, so was the GOP.<\/p>\n<p>For decades, the reigning view was that President Franklin Roosevelt\u2019s New Deal was a huge success. To deny this was \u2014 and often still is \u2014 dismissed as nuttery. According to legend, the New Deal unified the country, defeated the Great Depression and proved that politicians and experts could plan the economy for the benefit of all Americans. Hence the unceasing progressive quest for <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/opinions\/2025\/10\/03\/trump-roosevelt-new-deal-depression\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">a<\/a> \u201c<a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2012\/sep\/07\/barack-obama-convention-speech-deal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">new<\/a> <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thenation.com\/article\/society\/new-deal-congress-budget\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">New<\/a> <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/thedispatch.com\/newsletter\/gfile\/the-newest-deal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Deal<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This story has facts in its favor. It also has facts heavily weighted against it. The economy didn\u2019t really recover until well after the New Deal was over. The 1930s was no period of \u201cwe\u2019re all in together\u201d unity. Instead it was a time of significant domestic upheaval: the Harlem Riots and labor unrest \u2014 \u201c<a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/apwu.org\/news\/1934-southern-workers-spark-massive-textile-strike\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">the Uprising of 1934<\/a>\u201d alone was one the largest industrial strikes in American history \u2014 and <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/depts.washington.edu\/moves\/unemployed_map.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">hundreds<\/a> of unemployment protests.<\/p>\n<p>Nor was the New Deal a <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalreview.com\/2005\/06\/roosevelt-mystique-jonah-goldberg\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">coherent, uniformly successful plan<\/a>. FDR made stuff up as he went.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTo look upon these programs as the result of a unified plan,\u201d wrote Raymond Moley, FDR\u2019s right-hand man during much of the New Deal, \u201cwas to believe that the accumulation of stuffed snakes, baseball pictures, school flags, old tennis shoes, carpenter\u2019s tools, geometry books, and chemistry sets in a boy\u2019s bedroom could have been put there by an interior decorator.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In 1940, when Alvin Hansen, an economic advisor to FDR, was asked if the principle of the New Deal was \u201ceconomically sound,\u201d Hansen replied, \u201cI really do not know what the basic principle of the New Deal is.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>My aim isn\u2019t to relitigate a very lost cause, but simply to note that the triumphant narrative of the New Deal swamped all others, and shaped domestic politics and policy for generations.<\/p>\n<p>Which brings me, finally, to the war. I think it\u2019s obvious that once Trump realized his little war in Iran wasn\u2019t going to repeat the \u201csuccess\u201d of his little war in Venezuela, he had no idea or plan for what to do next. He\u2019s been improvising ever since. His strategy looks more like the boy\u2019s messy bedroom Moley described than a successful work of interior design.<\/p>\n<p>But what if the war ends successfully? A lot of the president\u2019s critics assume that\u2019s impossible. They shouldn\u2019t. It\u2019s true that Trump misread the Iranians, but that doesn\u2019t mean the Iranians aren\u2019t misreading Trump. Indeed, hostilities resumed last week precisely because the Iranians got greedy, launching fresh attacks in the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p>The Iranian regime could still fall. Europe, fed up with the chaos and disruption, could get over its well-earned frustration with Trump and join the fray, helping to secure the strait. I\u2019m not saying this is likely, just that it is quite possible.<\/p>\n<p>What then? You can be sure people will have very different stories to tell about this war. Many opponents of \u201cforever wars,\u201d on the left and right, will still pronounce it a failure no matter what. Some supporters will argue that Trump merely lucked out. Many others will claim this was the \u201cchess master\u2019s\u201d plan all along.<\/p>\n<p>Some story will prevail, and that story \u2014 accurate or not \u2014 will shape American foreign policy for years to come.<\/p>\n<p>X: <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jonahdispatch?lang=en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">@JonahDispatch<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The war with Iran that never really ended is back on. Like everybody else, including the Trump administration&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":934759,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[5123],"tags":[376791,326426,1582,276,71316,8988,14167,271020,6087,15561,2961,224,5337,376790,68175,1807,645,376789,4352,131],"class_list":["post-934758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-los-angeles","tag-american-founding","tag-american-policy","tag-ca","tag-california","tag-decade","tag-election","tag-fact","tag-fdr","tag-iran-war","tag-iranians","tag-la","tag-los-angeles","tag-losangeles","tag-narrative-competition","tag-new-deal","tag-president-trump","tag-story","tag-successful-plan","tag-trump-administration","tag-war"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/116919557572822005","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/934758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=934758"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/934758\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/934759"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=934758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=934758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=934758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}