{"id":963456,"date":"2026-07-27T23:40:18","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T23:40:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/963456\/"},"modified":"2026-07-27T23:40:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T23:40:18","slug":"noaa-report-finds-gulf-of-maine-warming-slowed-but-ecosystem-unstable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/963456\/","title":{"rendered":"NOAA report finds Gulf of Maine warming slowed, but ecosystem unstable"},"content":{"rendered":"

Maine\u2019s fishing ports are doing well for now, but climate change is destabilizing the Gulf of Maine, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration\u2019s latest \u201cState of the Ecosystem\u201d report for New England waters. Federal scientists presented the report to the New England Fishery Management Council in April, and published it online<\/a> last week.<\/p>\n

They found that some Maine fishing ports are growing busier, likely driven by the high price of lobster. Stonington, Harpswell and Friendship all see more activity now than they did roughly 20 years ago.<\/p>\n

And 2025, like 2024, offered slightly cooler water temperatures after more than a decade of rapid and record-breaking warming in the Gulf of Maine. But the scientists predict that temperatures will warm again this fall, and will continue to rise long-term as the burning of fossil fuels releases greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.<\/p>\n

To weather these ongoing changes, fishermen and their communities need to diversify their businesses, experts say.<\/p>\n

\u201cThings don\u2019t look particularly stable either in terms of the fishery or the ecosystem,\u201d said Joseph Caracappa, a research biologist at NOAA\u2019s Northeast Fisheries Science Center who edited the report. \u201cWe\u2019re seeing big changes that are sweeping across the ecology of the system and fisheries. Even socially, culturally \u2014 how communities are structured, where people are fishing, who\u2019s actually doing the fishing.\u201d<\/p>\n

This annual report includes contributions from more than 100 scientists across the Northeast. NOAA has had to make do with fewer resources as the federal government\u2019s priorities have changed under the second Trump administration, but otherwise the report has been prepared and published as usual, Caracappa said. And in fact, this latest report debuted a new section dedicated to forecasting ocean conditions in the year ahead.<\/p>\n

That could help the report\u2019s intended audience of fisheries managers navigate an uncertain future, said Michelle Bachman, a senior fishery analyst at the New England Fishery Management Council, which gives federal officials recommended management plans for fisheries in the region\u2019s federal waters.<\/p>\n

Bachman said that when she began working at the council in 2008, she and her colleagues did not talk about climate change. That\u2019s now changed, in part thanks to these reports from NOAA, which have been published annually for about 10 years.<\/p>\n

\u201cEverything is changing, and in ways that we don\u2019t totally understand,\u201d she said. \u201cAnd we need to be ready to respond to a dynamic system, as opposed to acting like we\u2019re managing something that\u2019s static.\u201d<\/p>\n

A changing ocean<\/p>\n

That volatility is apparent in the ocean temperatures off of Maine\u2019s coast. <\/p>\n

Around 2012, the region suffered a major marine heatwave. In 2015, researchers published a now-famous study<\/a> showing that the Gulf of Maine was warming faster than 99 percent of the ocean.<\/p>\n

But since about 2021, those temperatures have cooled down somewhat<\/a>. The Gulf of Maine is still warmer than it was historically, but compared to the most recent very warm years, now is \u201ckind of a nice reprieve\u201d for marine species that prefer cooler water, Bachman said.<\/p>\n

Scientists attribute these temperature swings in large part to the competing influences of the warm Gulf Stream ocean current coming from the south and the Labrador Current coming from the north. Over the past two years, the Gulf Stream has had less of an influence on New England waters, but it appears to be coming back, according to the State of the Ecosystem report.<\/p>\n

Temperature changes are scrambling where different species live. Warming temperatures have contributed to the decline of cod in this region. The 2012 marine heatwave led to the collapse of the Northern shrimp fishery. Southern New England has largely lost its lobsters, while Maine gained more until very recently.<\/p>\n

Across New England as a whole, commercial fisheries have consolidated mostly into lobster and scallop. <\/p>\n

\u201cBoth have high climate vulnerability risks,\u201d said Caracappa. \u201cYou\u2019re really at the whim of the environment on whether or not you can sustain that. So, things might be good as long as the conditions hold out.\u201d<\/p>\n

Scientists expect the lobster population even in Maine waters to decline from now on. But that doesn\u2019t mean the fishery will be lost entirely, said Katherine Mills, a senior scientist at the Gulf of Maine Research Institute. Mills was not involved in NOAA\u2019s State of the Ecosystem report, but studies similar topics.<\/p>\n

\u201cI don\u2019t want to present false hope about the future of the fishery, but I also don\u2019t want to convey that it is about to collapse, because I think that it\u2019s not either of those situations,\u201d she said. \u201cWe should have a lobster resource that continues to sustain a fishery here in Maine, but we may have to adjust to lower volume.\u201d <\/p>\n

And so far, decreases in volume have been counterbalanced by increases in value, she added.<\/p>\n

Still, she and other scientists say it\u2019s worth diversifying Maine\u2019s commercial fisheries in order to make the industry more resilient in a changing climate. That diversification could take different forms, according to Mills.<\/p>\n

Fishermen might adapt their gear to better target individual species, for example to catch haddock while avoiding cod. Southern species moving north into the Gulf of Maine, such as black sea bass, could present opportunities for new fisheries. And diversification could also mean embracing aquaculture, which some Maine fishermen are already beginning to do, especially with oysters and kelp.<\/p>\n

An information gap<\/p>\n

At the same time, the federal government is collecting less of the data that scientists depend on to try and understand the changing marine ecosystem.<\/p>\n

The number and frequency of stock assessments that NOAA conducts to monitor the populations of fish and other marine species has dropped under the current administration.<\/p>\n

In 2025, seven out of 24 stock assessments that NOAA\u2019s Northeast Fisheries Science Center had planned to conduct<\/a> were canceled and replaced with less comprehensive data updates. In 2026, the science center had planned to conduct more than 20 stock assessments; most have been canceled or replaced with less comprehensive updates and only six full assessments are going forward.<\/p>\n

\u201cHaving strong assessments, frequent assessments, lots of data \u2014 it\u2019s crucial,\u201d said Alex Dunn, a public affairs officer at the New England Fishery Management Council.<\/p>\n

To help fill this data gap, NOAA scientists are inviting the public to contribute their observations of the ocean.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe\u2019ve been collecting observations from anyone that lives on the coast, anyone that works on the water, and trying to fit that into the bigger picture,\u201d Caracappa said. \u201cWe\u2019re trying to get more information that we might not be able to get from some formal scientific resource-intensive processes like big surveys, and try to actually ask the people that are out there all the time what they\u2019re seeing.\u201d<\/p>\n

Members of the public can report unusual or notable ocean observations to [email\u00a0protected]<\/a>.<\/p>\n

___<\/p>\n

This story was originally published by The Maine Monitor<\/a> and distributed through a partnership with The Associated Press.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Maine\u2019s fishing ports are doing well for now, but climate change is destabilizing the Gulf of Maine, according…\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":963457,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[23],"tags":[2906,387330,3425,10109,10106,285,168,69,746,22138,89281,57,387329,169499,2741,2735,387328,12231,71813,930,159,74119,61,67,132,68,313],"class_list":["post-963456","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-agriculture","tag-alex-dunn","tag-animals","tag-climate","tag-climate-and-environment","tag-climate-change","tag-domestic-news","tag-donald-trump","tag-environment","tag-environmental-science","tag-fisheries","tag-general-news","tag-katherine-mills","tag-lobsters","tag-maine","tag-me-state-wire","tag-michele-bachmann","tag-national-oceanic-and-atmospheric-administration","tag-oceanography","tag-oceans","tag-science","tag-shellfish","tag-u-s-news","tag-united-states","tag-unitedstates","tag-us","tag-weather"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/116994587179826920","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/963456","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=963456"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/963456\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/963457"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=963456"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=963456"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=963456"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}