{"id":969203,"date":"2026-07-30T14:32:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T14:32:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/969203\/"},"modified":"2026-07-30T14:32:19","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T14:32:19","slug":"us-inflation-slows-in-june-but-reversal-likely-amid-middle-east-conflict","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/969203\/","title":{"rendered":"US inflation slows in June, but reversal likely amid Middle East conflict"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">WASHINGTON, July 30 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. inflation slowed in June, but the easing is likely to be temporary as renewed hostilities in the Middle East raise oil prices.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The Personal \u200cConsumption Expenditures Price Index increased 3.7% in the 12 months through June after advancing by \u200can unrevised 4.1% in May, which was the largest gain since April 2023, the Commerce Department&#8217;s Bureau of Economic Analysis said \u200bon Thursday. The increase in PCE inflation was in line with economists&#8217; expectations.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The PCE Price Index slipped 0.1% on a month-over-month basis, the weakest reading since April 2020, after climbing 0.5% in May.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The data was included in the government&#8217;s advance estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product, which was also published on Thursday. \u200cThe moderation in PCE inflation reflected \u2060a retreat in oil prices amid a fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire. The truce has since fallen apart.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Brent oil prices are hovering just above $90 a barrel, while average \u2060U.S. gasoline prices have risen back above $4 a gallon. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the PCE Price Index rose 3.3% on a year-over-year basis in June after increasing 3.4% in May. Excluding food and energy, \u200bit \u200bedged up 0.1% over the month after gaining 0.3% \u200bin May.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The Federal Reserve tracks the PCE \u200cinflation measures for its 2% target. The U.S. central bank on Wednesday left its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range. Three members of the Fed&#8217;s policy-setting committee dissented in favor of a quarter-percentage-point hike.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh told reporters the central bank would not &#8220;waver&#8221; in its commitment to lower inflation back to target, emphasizing &#8220;there is no soft inflation target, there is no soft implicit target, \u200cnot on this committee&#8217;s watch.&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Economists expect the Fed to raise \u200bborrowing costs as soon as September. The blow from high inflation \u200bhas been softened by generous tax refunds \u200bthis year, but that cushion is fading, setting up consumer spending for a \u200csecond-half slowdown.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Consumer spending, which accounts for more \u200bthan two-thirds of economic activity, \u200brose 0.3% in June after surging 0.9% in May. When adjusted for inflation, consumer spending increased 0.4% in June, matching the rise in May.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Personal income rose 0.2% after shooting up \u200b0.7% in May. Income at the \u200cdisposal of households after accounting for inflation rose 0.3% last month. The saving rate \u200bfell to 2.7%, the lowest level since June 2022, from 2.8% in May.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">(Reporting by Lucia \u200bMutikani; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Paul Simao)  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"WASHINGTON, July 30 (Reuters) &#8211; U.S. inflation slowed in June, but the easing is likely to be temporary&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":969204,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[64,260038,79,19876,11411,389188,135484,97517,67,132,68],"class_list":["post-969203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-commerce-department39s-bureau-of-economic-analysis","tag-economy","tag-inflation-target","tag-oil-prices","tag-pce-inflation","tag-pce-price-index","tag-personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index","tag-united-states","tag-unitedstates","tag-us"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@us\/117009419373093036","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/969203","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=969203"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/969203\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/969204"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=969203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=969203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=969203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}